EPAC: INVEST 90E - Discussion

[cycloneye]

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Sun Jun 16 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. Offshore Central America:
Satellite data indicate that a small area of low pressure located
just offshore and to the south of the Guatemala/Mexico border has
become a little better defined. Some additional slight development
is possible before the system moves inland this evening.
Regardless of development, several days of heavy rainfall are
expected across portions of southern Mexico and Central America.
These rains are likely to cause life-threatening flooding and flash
flooding.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.


Forecaster Pasch

EP, 90, 2024061618, , BEST, 0, 138N, 929W, 25, 1006, DB

https://ftp.nhc.noaa.gov/atcf/btk/bep902024.dat

[Kingarabian]

Great look to it but very broad. Let's see if it can consolidate before land interaction severely reduces its chances for development.

[cycloneye]

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Sun Jun 16 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. Offshore Central America (EP90):
A small area of low pressure located just offshore and to the south
of the Guatemala/Mexico border is producing disorganized showers
and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions appear conducive for
slight additional development before the system moves inland
tonight or early Monday. Regardless of development, several days
of heavy rainfall are expected across portions of southern Mexico
and Central America. These rains are likely to cause
life-threatening flooding and flash flooding.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.


Forecaster Roberts

[cycloneye]

Bye.

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Mon Jun 17 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. Offshore Central America (EP90):
An area of low pressure associated with disorganized showers and
thunderstorms has moved inland over Central America and further
development is not expected. Regardless of development, heavy
rainfall is forecast to continue across portions of southern Mexico
and Central America during the next several days. These rains are
likely to cause life-threatening flooding and flash flooding.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...near 0 percent.