Possible development in the SW GOMEX this weekend (Is INVEST 93L)

[cycloneye]

And yet, another one is in the line for this weekend.

Southwestern Gulf of Mexico:
Another broad area of low pressure is forecast to develop over the
southwestern Gulf of Mexico this weekend. Environmental conditions
are expected to be conducive for gradual development of this system
early next week while it moves slowly northward or northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

[Category5Kaiju]

Keeping my eyes peeled for this one. Early indications, especially the GFS, seem to suggest that this could be a much stronger system than PTC1 will be.

[AnnularCane]

I was briefly wondering why our little red PTC was surrounded by a lemon. Makes me think of the strawberry lemonade I just had.

[Hypercane_Kyle]

Fairly decent model consensus on this one... definitely bares watching.

[StPeteMike]

Some of y’all thought the season started off too slow and Mother Nature said “try me”.

2 name storms before the end of June will convince me we will go through all the names for sure this season.

[cycloneye]

Good X thread.

 https://x.com/ScotPilie_Wx/status/1802883290568757371




 https://x.com/ScotPilie_Wx/status/1802883376430350792




 https://x.com/ScotPilie_Wx/status/1802883724717027675




 https://x.com/ScotPilie_Wx/status/1802883844170776743

[Lagreeneyes03]

Texas is never going to dry out at this rate. It will keep temps down, but will all feel the same because we'll have inherited Florida's humidity rate.

[sphelps8681]

Some of y’all thought the season started off too slow and Mother Nature said “try me”.

2 name storms before the end of June will convince me we will go through all the names for sure this season.

No I think she said hold my beer!! LOL!!

[galaxy401]

BOC is cranking so far this June. Always the hotbed in June.

[cycloneye]

Southwestern Gulf of Mexico:
Another broad area of low pressure is forecast to develop over the
southwestern Gulf of Mexico this weekend. Environmental conditions
are expected to be conducive for gradual development of this system
early next week while it moves slowly northward or northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

[cycloneye]

8 AM:

Southwestern Gulf of Mexico:
Another broad area of low pressure is forecast to develop over the
southwestern Gulf of Mexico this weekend. Environmental conditions
are expected to be conducive for gradual development of this system
early next week while it moves slowly northward or northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

[Edwards Limestone]

Texas is never going to dry out at this rate. It will keep temps down, but will all feel the same because we'll have inherited Florida's humidity rate.

Texas is a massive state, and the southern half and southwestern portion are still in severe drought. This forum is too DFW centric sometimes.

[Cpv17]

Texas is never going to dry out at this rate. It will keep temps down, but will all feel the same because we'll have inherited Florida's humidity rate.

Texas is a massive state, and the southern half and southwestern portion is still in severe drought. This forum is too DFW centric sometimes.

Yep. Been saying that for years.

[GalvestonDuck]

Texas is never going to dry out at this rate. It will keep temps down, but will all feel the same because we'll have inherited Florida's humidity rate.

Texas is a massive state, and the southern half and southwestern portion is still in severe drought. This forum is too DFW centric sometimes.

Yep. Been saying that for years.

SETX checking in.

GOM is definitely looking like it will have a busy June/July.

(Edited to add -- Wow! It's been over a decade since I last posted? Whew! Yes, it's still me. Less active than before, but still here. Good to see some new faces.)

[Cyclenall]

Texas is a massive state, and the southern half and southwestern portion is still in severe drought. This forum is too DFW centric sometimes.

Yep. Been saying that for years.

SETX checking in.

GOM is definitely looking like it will have a busy June/July.

(Edited to add -- Wow! It's been over a decade since I last posted? Whew! Yes, it's still me. Less active than before, but still here. Good to see some new faces.)

Here is quite the coincidence, (I know this is off-topic) - literally 2 days ago I thought about your username handle and "Galveston, oh Galveston (And yeah, it's a barrier island. Wanna make something of it?)" as your location entry lol. I wasn't even on S2K when I thought of it! I never thought you were going to post on here again, welcome back .

[cycloneye]

8 PM up to 30%:

Southwestern Gulf of Mexico:
Another broad area of low pressure is forecast to develop over the
southwestern Gulf of Mexico this weekend. Environmental conditions
are expected to be conducive for gradual development of this system
early next week while it moves slowly northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

[LearnedHat]

Any update on this potential second system? Need a whole summer of these things pounding the Texas/upper Mexican coast to help the restoration/revitalization project on my land.

[cycloneye]

8 AM.

Southwestern Gulf of Mexico:
Another broad area of low pressure is forecast to develop over the
southwestern Gulf of Mexico this weekend. Environmental conditions
are expected to be conducive for gradual development of this system
through early next week while it moves slowly west-northwestward or
northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

[cycloneye]

2 PM.

Southwestern Gulf of Mexico:
Another broad area of low pressure is forecast to develop over the
southwestern Gulf of Mexico this weekend. Environmental conditions
are expected to be conducive for gradual development of this system
through early next week while it moves slowly west-northwestward or
northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

[cycloneye]

8 PM:

Southwestern Gulf of Mexico:
A broad area of low pressure is forecast to form near the Yucatan
Peninsula of Mexico on Friday. Environmental conditions appear to
be conducive for gradual development thereafter, and this system
could become a tropical depression over the southwestern Gulf of
Mexico this weekend while it moves slowly west-northwestward or
northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.