ATL: BERYL - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[aspen]

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/1157676956674949152/1256727334564921516/20240629.png?ex=6681d209&is=66808089&hm=7641cb4e990256606d3616bbccd64a9246c4c8e1a438da87c7ea901a6cf4e585&

Its go time

Yikes. 24 hours after classification, and it already has a strong, solid eyewall. Major in another 24 hours perhaps?

[Hurricane2022]

Sunset over the first hurricane of this season.
https://imageshack.com/i/pmnYA631p
https://imageshack.com/i/pnn1MbUYp

You can see French Guyana and Brazil in that photo, crazy.

My country!!! Love u Brazil!!

[tolakram]

Latest, sandwich


source: https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=meso-meso1-sandwich-12-0-100-1&checked=map&colorbar=undefined

[Stormlover70]

FYI...Levi's video is out

Link please.

[weeniepatrol]

FYI...Levi's video is out

Link please.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OCT6hRnfVgk

[IcyTundra]

FYI...Levi's video is out

Link please.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OCT6hRnfVgk

[tolakram]

FInally figure out what YT changed for embedding. I'm not 100% this will always work for every video, they seem to be scrambling how embedding works.

FYI...Levi's video is out

Link please.

Youtube



Link: https://youtube.com/watch?v=OCT6hRnfVgk

[Michele B]

Tropical Storm #Beryl is getting a huge boost from an Tropical Upper Tropospheric Trough (TUTT) to its north today, with outflow rapidly expanding radially outward into the poleward outflow channel created by the TUTT.

This exceptionally favorable upper-level environment coupled w/ record warm SSTs, very high oceanic heat content, & a developing eyewall (via 12z AMSU pass), all point to an impending period of rapid-very rapid intensification w/ #Beryl.

https://x.com/webberweather/status/1807084722901889041

Ah! So! Here is definition of this Acronym. There are several others....

I recently turned a friend on to this site, told them it tends to become very"technical" when discussing a PTC, and then realized that it is quite a learning curve to figure out what all the acronyms mean.


Are they all listed out and defined somewhere so I can send that link to my friend? TIA

Here's another one for you, Michele: https://stormw.wordpress.com/abbreviations/

THANK YOU everyone!

I learned quite a few new terms, too!

I'm sure I'll still have to explain some of these to my friend. Truth be told, all she wants to know is WHEN or IF a storm is approaching us.

[Odeseus]

Curious to see how much it can RI before slamming into the graveyard. I honestly do not see a scenario where it gets out of the Caribbean as anything above a cat 1.

The stronger it gets now, the more north it goes. Then the TUTT and land interaction will tear it apart. It is rather small and will be more fragile to these things.

If it slows down its strengthening in the short term, it goes farther south and avoids the worst of the shear and less land interaction. But it is going too fast to develop much stronger before going over the Yucatán.

Going to be a fun couple of days of strengthening but this is not a long term monster storm.

[Stratton23]

Odesues I wouldn’t be so sure about that in the long term , their is also the chance this thing becomes strong enough to fight off the shear in the caribbean and stays together, the GFS shows this

[Odeseus]

Odesues I wouldn’t be so sure about that in the long term , their is also the chance this thing becomes strong enough to fight off the shear in the caribbean and stays together, the GFS shows this

Always a possibility! Hurricanes surprise me all the time. That’s why I love tracking them. I’m not a pro by any means. Just fascinated by these things.

[aspen]

Looking a little squished on visible at the moment. Perhaps a brief increase in shear.

[Hammy]

Looking a little squished on visible at the moment. Perhaps a brief increase in shear.

Still seems like there's some easterly shear going on, in part a bit of outflow from the developing system behind it

[cycloneye]

If what GFS has with Beryl going all the way reaching South Texas, the ACE it gets would be plenty.

[tiger_deF]

Looking a little squished on visible at the moment. Perhaps a brief increase in shear.

Still seems like there's some easterly shear going on, in part a bit of outflow from the developing system behind it

https://i.imgur.com/bwb082u.png

Beaten to death at this point but that basin-wide view looks like September, certainly not June/July

[BrianS]

What is 'That' behemoth sliding across Africa?? Are we about to see the ITCZ come alive?

How exciting 2024 is already. (normal disclaimers to life & property)

[UTSARoadrunner4]

Sure, we can call it Hurricane Beryl but to be economical we can just call it Berylcane

or Hurl Burl

Hurl-a-Beryl, the newest ride from the Atlantic Ocean theme park.

[tolakram]

saved loop



source: https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=meso-meso1-sandwich-96-0-50-1&checked=map&colorbar=undefined

[REDHurricane]

Looking a little squished on visible at the moment. Perhaps a brief increase in shear.

Still seems like there's some easterly shear going on, in part a bit of outflow from the developing system behind it

https://i.imgur.com/bwb082u.png

Convection is still working its way upshear and around the future eye, I think it's continuing to strengthen (or at least not weaken) anyway -- here's a poorly made gif to illustrate:



Can also be seen better here on LWIR:

[IsabelaWeather]

Looks like there are 2 large thunderstorms rotating around the eye now. Really looks to be ramping up - if it continues.