ATL: BERYL - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[Hurricane2022]

A MDR CATEGORY 4 MAJOR HURRICANE.
IN JUNE 30.
THAT MADE A 150 MPH LANDFALL.
IN JULY 1.
THIS SAME SYSTEM REACHES CATEGORY 5.
IN JULY 2.
BECOMING THE EARLIEST CATEGORY 5 EVER RECORDED IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN.

Ladies and gentleman, please meet Hurricane Beryl.

I don't think it's confirmed yet. Where are you seeing this?

Sorry, I ended up getting too excited. But I still think NHC will upgrade Beryl to C5 soon

[aspen]

Looks like a double max on that side. Maybe the start of an EWRC again

Yeah it’s also near where those massive hot towers are firing. Hot towers just outside the CDO sometimes signal the beginnings of an EWRC (ex: Willa ‘18).

[Kazmit]

Ironically, despite previous comments that recon may have missed Beryl at its peak, they might be in when it's visual presentation is at its best. Ultra-cold cloudtops.

https://i.imgur.com/0gxVebH.jpeg

I thought it looked more "picturesque" earlier but Dvorak-wise that CDO is as thick as it's ever been.

[CrazyC83]

This also reminds me of Felix in 2007 since that was another very small and powerful storm in that region. Those kind of storms tend to have higher pressures for their intensity, especially since like Felix, Beryl is beneath a ridge and at low latitude.

[Sciencerocks]

[InfernoFlameCat]

Dropsonde supports 938mb. Seems to be slowly deepening.

[Charleswachal]

https://i.imgur.com/wDjfl9S.gif

Just what this thing needs. More hot towers! Looks like we got another area of hot towers developing on the Northeast side. Not sure if we're going to get another pass in that area but sure seems like it's even going to get stronger

[HurricaneBrain]

Very apparent NW jog…

https://i.imgur.com/wDjfl9S.gif

[3090]

Very apparent NW jog…

https://i.imgur.com/wDjfl9S.gif

Very very concerning in its overall trajectory.

[5t0rmsguy]

https://i.imgur.com/wDjfl9S.gif

Just what this thing needs. More hot towers! Looks like we got another area of hot towers developing on the Northeast side. Not sure if we're going to get another pass in that area but sure seems like it's even going to get stronger

that might make it an Cat 5 right?

[AerospaceEng]

Very apparent NW jog…

https://i.imgur.com/wDjfl9S.gif

Very very concerning in its overall trajectory.

Yes. This thing has been hugging the right edge of the cone all day, and still is even now.

[USTropics]

I hope this isn't too far off topic, but could somebody go to Levi's video for today (https://youtu.be/HaBJbrV77II) and take a look at the patches of cumulus to the north of 96L, please? Between about 12:10 and 12:40 in the video, when he has the view of Beryl and 96L on a loop, there are some obvious, long-wavelength "ripples," for lack of a better term, that pass through the broken cumulus layer. They actually seem to affect the density, dispersion, and/or configuration of the cumulus. Are they some sort of gravity-wave phenomenon? If so, what would be causing them to propagate over such a large area? There doesn't seem to be any synchronized activity in the vicinity of 96L that would be comparable in scale...

Thanks!

I'm on mobile atm but if you are referring to the cloud formation just to the north of 96L thats a result of air mass gradient between the more stable air associated with the SAL directly to the north and the pocket of moist air associated with 96L. It's similar to the marine stratocumulus clouds that result from the stable air mass in the north Pacific.

https://www.nesdis.noaa.gov/marine-stratocumulus-clouds

[Hurricane2022]

We did it, we did it Beryl. You're going to be officially the earliest Category 5 hurricane on record in the Atlantic Basin.

[Hurricane2022]

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 19 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 938 MB
EYE DIAMETER 15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 140 KT WITH GUSTS TO 170 KT.
64 KT....... 35NE 25SE 15SW 30NW.
50 KT....... 60NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT.......110NE 100SE 60SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 135SE 75SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

[Beef Stew]

...BERYL BECOMES A POTENTIALLY CATASTROPHIC CATEGORY 5 HURRICANE IN THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN... ...EXPECTED TO BRING LIFE-THREATENING WINDS AND STORM SURGE TO JAMAICA LATER THIS WEEK...

[KC7NEC]

000
WTNT32 KNHC 012355
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
Hurricane Beryl Intermediate Advisory Number 13A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022024
800 PM AST Mon Jul 01 2024

...NOAA HURRICANE HUNTERS FIND BERYL EVEN STRONGER AS IT MOVES
QUICKLY ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN...
...HURRICANE WARNING ISSUED FOR JAMAICA...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.4N 64.0W
ABOUT 575 MI...925 KM ESE OF ISLA BEATA DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
ABOUT 910 MI...1460 KM ESE OF KINGSTON JAMAICA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...155 MPH...250 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 21 MPH...33 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...938 MB...27.70 INCHES

[CrazyC83]

 https://twitter.com/CC_StormWatch/status/1807969860837622218

[Category5Kaiju]

[InfernoFlameCat]

Wow who would have thought. Wow. Amazing. Category 5. They got it when it peaked.

[weeniepatrol]

When the Atlantic gets a category 5 before the EPAC gets a single depression, you know you're in for a cursed season.