2024 Tropical Waves

[cycloneye]

Waves at 7/4/24 on 06z analysis.

An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is from 22N32W to 02N35W, moving
westward at 15 to 20 kt. The broad tropical wave is embedded in
dry Saharan air, suppressing the development of showers and
thunderstorms.

An eastern Caribbean tropical wave (Invest 96L) is along 66.5W,
south of 20N to across Puerto Rico and into Venezuela, moving
rapidly westward at around 25 kt. Fresh to strong easterly winds
associated with this wave cover much of the NE Caribbean, along
with 7 to 8 ft seas. Some remnant 7 to 9 ft seas are east of the
Lesser Antilles. Development, if any, of this system should be
slow to occur while it moves quickly westward to west-
northwestward at 20 to 25 kt across the Caribbean Sea during the
next several days. This system is then forecast to cross the
Yucatan Peninsula and enter the southwestern Gulf of Mexico by
early next week where some development could occur. Gusty winds
and locally heavy rainfall are possible across portions of the
Greater Antilles over the next few days. The chance of tropical
cyclone formation in the next 48 hours and 7 days is low. Please
refer to the latest NHC Tropical Weather Outlook at
www.hurricanes.gov for more details

[cycloneye]

Waves at 7/7/24 from 06z analysis.

An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 27W, south of 21N,
moving westward at 10-15 kt. A few showers are evident on satellite
imagery from 08N to 10N and near the trough axis. The wave is
embedded within a dry Saharan airmass that is suppressing the
development of showers and thunderstorms north of 10N.

A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 54W, south of 22N,
moving westward at 10-15 kt. Isolated thunderstorms are noted from
12N to 19N between 52W and 58W.

A western Caribbean tropical wave is along 85W, south of 23N,
moving westward at 10 kt. The wave is interacting with an upper
level low located south of the Cayman Islands, resulting in
scattered moderate to isolated strong convection south of 22N and
between 76W and 88W.

[MEANINGLESS_NUMBERS]

Although the parade of waves continues, there is model support for any of them developing. MDR back to its usual quiet July.

[mantis83]

Although the parade of waves continues, there is model support for any of them developing. MDR back to its usual quiet July.

i'm not seeing any model support for any waves......perhaps you meant NO model support?

[MEANINGLESS_NUMBERS]

Although the parade of waves continues, there is model support for any of them developing. MDR back to its usual quiet July.

i'm not seeing any model support for any waves......perhaps you meant NO model support?

Yes lol

[cycloneye]

Waves at 9/7/24 on 06z analysis.

A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 39W, south of 20W,
moving westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
observed from 03N to 09N and between 31W and 40W. The northern
portion of the wave is embedded within a dry Saharan airmass that
is suppressing the development of showers and thunderstorms.

An eastern Caribbean tropical wave is along 68W, south of 20N,
moving westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered showers are found near the
northern portion of the wave.

[cycloneye]

Waves at 7/11/24 on 06z analysis.

A tropical wave has been added in the eastern Atlantic, along 20W,
south of 18N, based on satellite imagery, Hovmoller diagram and
wave diagnostic data. The wave is moving westward at 10-15 kt.
Scattered moderate convection is observed from 06N to 12N and east
of 22W.

An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 32W, south of 16N, moving
westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted from
04N to 10N and between 32W and 40W.

A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 46W, south of 23N, moving
westward at 10 kt. Isolated showers are found south of 16N and between
42W and 49W.

A tropical wave is approaching the Lesser Antilles, along 61W,
south of 25N, and moving westward at 10-15 kt. No deep convection
is present near the trough axis.

A western Caribbean tropical wave is near 85W, south of 22N, moving
westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection
is present south of 17N and west of 75W.

[cycloneye]

Waves at 7/11/24 on 12z analysis:

An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is over the eastern Cabo Verde
Islands near 23W from 20N southward, and moving westward at 10 to
15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is observed from 08N to 11N
between 18W and 23W.

Another eastern Atlantic tropical wave is near 33W from 15N
southward, and moving westward around 10 kt. Under the influence
of Saharan Dust, no significant convection is observed.

A central Atlantic tropical wave is near 48W from 22N southward,
and moving westward around 10 kt. Widely scattered showers are
found from 10N to 15N between 47W and 51W.

An eastern Caribbean tropical wave is near 64W from near the
Virgin Islands southward into northern Venezuela, and moving
westward at 15 to 20 kt. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms are occurring near Trinidad and Tobago, and over
northeastern Venezuela.

A western Caribbean tropical wave is near 86W from the Yucatan
Channel southward Honduras and Nicaragua into the East Pacific
Ocean. It is moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Widely scattered
showers and isolated thunderstorms are occurring over Belize.
Interaction with the East Pacific monsoon trough is triggering
numerous heavy showers and scattered strong thunderstorms at the
southwestern Caribbean Sea.

[cycloneye]

Waves at 7/13/24 on 06z anaylisis.


An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is near 37W from 20N southward,
and moving westward at around 15 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is seen from 08N to 11N between 32W and 40W.

An eastern Caribbean tropical wave is near 65W from N of Puerto
Rico to NW Venezuela, moving W at around 15 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is noted from 14N to 23N between the Leeward Islands
and 68W, including the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico.

A western Caribbean tropical wave is near 80W from the Cayman
Islands S across western Panama and into the East Pacific Ocean,
moving westward around 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
found over coastal waters along the Nicaragua and Costa Rica
coasts.

[cycloneye]

Waves at 7/14/24 on 06z analysis.

A nearly emerged tropical wave extends through the Cabo Verde
Islands from 23N southward, moving W at around 15 kt. Scattered
moderate convection is noted with this wave from 07N to 10N
between 20W and 30W.

A central Atlantic tropical wave is near 42W from 21N southward,
and moving westward at around 10 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is seen from 08N to 11N between 41W and 48W.

A central Caribbean tropical wave is near 71W from Hispaniola to
Colombia, and moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is occurring over waters near Dominican Republic.

A western Caribbean tropical wave along 85W is approaching the
Gulf of Honduras but otherwise has moved inland into Central
America and now extends south into the far eastern Pacific Ocean.
This wave is moving W at around 10 kt and is inducing scattered
moderate convection near the coasts of Costa Rica and Panama.

[cycloneye]

Waves at 7/15/24 on 06z analysis.

An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is near 32W from 23N southward,
and moving westward at around 15 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is noted from 06N to 10N between 23W and 33W.

A central Atlantic tropical wave is near 49W from 21N southward,
and moving westward at around 15 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is seen from 06N to 11N between 44W and 54W.

A central Caribbean tropical wave is near 75W from eastern Cuba to
Colombia. It is moving westward around 10 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is occurring in and near the Windward Passage and just
N of eastern Cuba.

A western Caribbean tropical wave along 89W has nearly exited the
basin into Honduras, Nicaragua, and the eastern Pacific Ocean.
However, a small part of its axis is still over the Gulf of
Honduras, and is moving W at around 10 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is occurring in the Gulf of Honduras, including waters
near the Bay Islands.

[cycloneye]

Waves at 7/16/24 on 06z analysis.

A central Atlantic tropical wave is near 38W from 22N southward,
and moving westward at around 10 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is present from 07N to 10N between 35W and 38W.

A western Atlantic tropical wave is near 59W, from 20N to just W
of Barbados to Guyana, moving W at around 20 kt. Scattered
moderate convection is noted over waters near Suriname and Guyana.

A western Caribbean tropical wave along 88W is nearly fully into
Central America and the eastern Pacific Ocean, but its axis is
still over portions of the Gulf of Honduras, and moving W at
around 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted in the Gulf
of Honduras.

[cycloneye]

2 waves at 7/17/24 on 12z surface analysis.

A tropical wave in the central Atlantic has been repositioned
farther west to near 49W, south of 21N, based on recent satellite
imagery and tropical wave guidance. The wave is moving westward
at 15 kt. The wave axis is embedded in dry Saharan air limiting
the development of showers and thunderstorms.

An eastern Caribbean tropical wave is along 70W, south of 21N,
moving at 10-15 kt. A few showers are noted from 13N to 17N and
between 65W and 69W.

[cycloneye]

3 waves at 7/19/24 on 06z analysis.

A tropical wave is added to the 0600 UTC surface map based on
satellite imagery and the Hovmoller Diagram. A broad cyclonic
circulation is associated with this wave that is producing some
shower activity.

A tropical wave is over the eastern Caribbean along 62W from 20N
southward, moving westward at 20 to 25 kt. Scattered showers and
isolated thunderstorms are near the wave axis. The wave appears
to enhance convection over eastern Venezuela.

Another tropical wave is moving westward across the western
Caribbean at about 20 kt. Its axis is along 83W/84W. The wave is
producing scattered showers and thunderstorms. This convective
activity is affecting parts of Honduras, eastern Nicaragua, Costa
Rica and western Panama as well as the waters from 15N to 19N
between 80W and 87W.

[cycloneye]

Two waves at 7/21/24 on 06z analysis.

An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is near 32W/33W from 20N
southward, moving westward at around 10 kt. Scattered showers are
noted where the wave axis meets the monsoon trough.

A central Caribbean tropical wave is near 78W/79W and extends from
eastern Cuba and western Jamaica southward into eastern Panama.
It is moving westward at 10 kt. Scattered to numerous showers and
thunderstorms are occurring over parts of Jamaica, eastern Cuba
and the Cayman Islands.

[cycloneye]

Waves at 7/22/24 on 06z analysis.


A tropical wave is near 39W from 19N southward, moving westward
at 1O to 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is near the southern
end of the wave axis.

A tropical wave is moving across the western Caribbean. Its axis
is along 81W and extends from the Cayman Islands southward across
western Panama. It is moving westward at 5 to 10 kt. The wave,
combined with an upper-level low, continues to enhance convection
over parts of the NW Caribbean, western Cuba, the Yucatan Peninsula
and the Yucatan Channel.

[GCANE]

Interesting convection and LL vorticity at 10N 35W

[cycloneye]

Waves at 7/23/24 on 06z analysis.

A central Atlantic tropical wave is near 41.5W from 19N
southward, and moving westward at around 10 kt. Scattered showers
are noted along the southern portion of the wave environment.

A western Caribbean tropical wave is near 87W over the
northwestern Caribbean into central Honduras. No significant
convection is noted near this wave at this time.

[cycloneye]

Waves at 7/25/24 on 06z analysis.

A tropical wave is in the E Atlantic extending from 07N to 18N
with axis near 26W, moving W at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is from 07N to 10N between 24W and 33W.

A tropical wave is just E of the Lesser Antilles with axis S of
17N near 60W, moving W at around 15 kt. Scattered showers are
noted along the wave axis.

[cycloneye]

Waves at 7/26/24 on 06z analysis.

An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is near 19N, south of 20N,
moving west 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is evident
from 11N to 14N between 17W and 20W.

An eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 32W, south
of 21N, moving westward 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate convection
is observed from 09N to 12N and between 29W and 31W.

A central Caribbean tropical wave has its axis along 73W, south
of 21N, moving westward at 15-20 kt. No significant convection is
noted near the wave axis.