ATL: BERYL - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[ColdMiser123]

Doesn't look tilted at all on radar anymore - but recon will give us a better idea as to the storm's structure when it gets there shortly.

The most rapid pace of strengthening should be within the final 12 hours before landfall - so tonight into tomorrow morning.

[Charleswachal]

Doesn't look tilted at all on radar anymore - but recon will give us a better idea as to the storm's structure when it gets there shortly.

The most rapid pace of strengthening should be within the final 12 hours before landfall - so tonight into tomorrow morning.

So far, recon is finding pressures in the lower 990s. Appears to have deepened. Also, radar shows that we have quite the eyewall starting to develop on the West side

[utpmg]

Got some good rains in the Austin area today partially related to Beryl. I expect the same tomorrow and Monday. It will be beneficial. Winds are still low on Beryl so good there also. Mets explained why earlier today so not expecting major impacts and the trajectory has it not stalling out inland westward and bombing anyone with catastrophic flooding. So that is good also. Keep looking weak Beryl and I wishcast you to stay a TS or a depression if you feel like it.

Seemed localized; I only got .3" here in East Austin, but I know some friends at the Domain and at Onion Creek got more.

[Charleswachal]

Recon reflected. It has deepened overnight to 988.3 millibars extrapolated

[ScottNAtlanta]

Doesn't look tilted at all on radar anymore - but recon will give us a better idea as to the storm's structure when it gets there shortly.

The most rapid pace of strengthening should be within the final 12 hours before landfall - so tonight into tomorrow morning.

So far, recon is finding pressures in the lower 990s. Appears to have deepened. Also, radar shows that we have quite the eyewall starting to develop on the West side

Last reading I saw was 990 and they have not reached the center yet

[UTSARoadrunner4]

Got some good rains in the Austin area today partially related to Beryl. I expect the same tomorrow and Monday. It will be beneficial. Winds are still low on Beryl so good there also. Mets explained why earlier today so not expecting major impacts and the trajectory has it not stalling out inland westward and bombing anyone with catastrophic flooding. So that is good also. Keep looking weak Beryl and I wishcast you to stay a TS or a depression if you feel like it.

Seemed localized; I only got .3" here in East Austin, but I know some friends at the Domain and at Onion Creek got more.

Idk if those storms yesterday were Beryl related. More dryline or trough related to me. We had the same stuff here in San Antonio.

[Charleswachal]

Doesn't look tilted at all on radar anymore - but recon will give us a better idea as to the storm's structure when it gets there shortly.

The most rapid pace of strengthening should be within the final 12 hours before landfall - so tonight into tomorrow morning.

So far, recon is finding pressures in the lower 990s. Appears to have deepened. Also, radar shows that we have quite the eyewall starting to develop on the West side

Last reading I saw was 990 and they have not reached the center yet

Well it looks like it got down to 988. Usually the extrapolated pressure is a little bit on the low side, so I would say it's probably a 990 storm right now. If it keeps up that type of deepening throughout the day, I could easily see a skinny into the lower 970s and that will definitely result in a stronger storm

[ScottNAtlanta]

988.3 was lowest pressure at the center

[jabman98]

Just turned on the TV to see what local news is saying. Right now looks like landfall around 1am. Ugh. It's always scary having storms hit in the middle of the night.

[Frank P]

@7 am advisory NHC say winds are 60mph and pressure is 992 mb

[Frank P]

First light vis image.

[Smurfwicked]

Might just be deceptive but watching the radar loop it doesn't look like it's moving much. Definitely appears less than 12mph and looks like there might even be a east jog at the end of the loop which is right towards where that new pink burst showed up on infrared.

[Charleswachal]

Might just be deceptive but watching the radar loop it doesn't look like it's moving much. Definitely appears less than 12mph and looks like there might even be a east jog at the end of the loop which is right towards where that new pink burst showed up on infrared.

I think what you are seeing is the tightening of the core

[GCANE]

CAPE now up to 5500.
Super nice feeder band.
She is really drinking the juice this morning.

[GCANE]

VDM tags at 25.39N 94.82W
Right on track

[Xyls]

Giving Alicia 1983 vibes.

[ScottNAtlanta]

The problem this is dealing with right now is that the storm is too spread out. For it to strengthen, it needs for the strongest winds to tighten up near the center. Right now the low pressure is also spread out, so it needs to consolidate near the center.

[Wampadawg]

Giving Alicia 1983 vibes.

Why is it giving you Alicia vibes?

[GalvestonWXGeek]

The problem this is dealing with right now is that the storm is too spread out. For it to strengthen, it needs for the strongest winds to tighten up near the center. Right now the low pressure is also spread out, so it needs to consolidate near the center.

This "problem" sounds like a blessing to me. Let's hope that this storm stays "spread out" and only brings minimal impact to those in the path.

[Wampadawg]

You can see the contrast between those who follow and those who live through these storms! No shade to those who follow its just different once you live through these.