EPAC: INVEST 92E - Discussion

[cycloneye]

EP, 92, 2024071518, , BEST, 0, 130N, 1240W, 25, 1008, DB, 34, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1010, 120, 60, 0, 0, E, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 009, SPAWNINVEST, ep792024 to ep922024,

https://ftp.nhc.noaa.gov/atcf/btk/bep922024.dat

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Mon Jul 15 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. Western East Pacific (EP92):
Satellite images indicate that a broad area of low pressure has
formed within a larger area of disorganized shower and thunderstorm
activity centered several hundred miles southwest of the southern
tip of the Baja California peninsula. Environmental conditions
appear generally conducive for further development, and a tropical
depression could form around midweek while the system moves west-
northwestward at 10 to 15 mph across the western part of the basin.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.


Forecaster Blake

[Category5Kaiju]

[cycloneye]

Is running out of time.

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Tue Jul 16 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. Western East Pacific (EP92):
A broad, elongated area of low pressure located several hundred
miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula
is producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
Environmental conditions appear marginally conducive for some
development, and a tropical depression could form in the next day
or two while the system moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph
across the western part of the basin.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.


Forecaster Kelly

[cycloneye]

Bye.

Western East Pacific (EP92):
A broad, elongated area of low pressure located several hundred
miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula
continues to produce a large area of disorganized showers and
thunderstorms. While a tropical depression could still form during
the next day or two, the window for further development is
shortening with stronger upper-level winds and cooler waters
anticipated on Thursday. The system is forecast to move west-
northwestward at 10-15 mph across the western part of the basin.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

[Hurricane2022]

Bye.

Western East Pacific (EP92):
A broad, elongated area of low pressure located several hundred
miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula
continues to produce a large area of disorganized showers and
thunderstorms. While a tropical depression could still form during
the next day or two, the window for further development is
shortening with stronger upper-level winds and cooler waters
anticipated on Thursday. The system is forecast to move west-
northwestward at 10-15 mph across the western part of the basin.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

[HurricaneRyan]

EPAC just taking Ls this season

[Teban54]

[dexterlabio]

See, if this happens in the ATL the general response would be "it's only July"