Interesting Feature Northeast Gulf of Mexico

[tropicwatch]

Tail end of front has left some decent 850mb vorticity and disturbed weather in the northeastern Gulf of Mexico. Pressures are still high in the are but will have to see if it completely detaches from the front. Could be interesting if it stays in the gulf for a couple of days.

[TomballEd]

GFS suggests shear will prevent development until it is very close to the Texas coast and probably won't have time to develop this. Only three GEFS members develop it, all have weak systems.

I remember Humberto, non-tropical systems that only have a short window of favorable conditions can intensify, but I'm not expecting development. I'd also keep an eye on the other side of Florida, less shear, better moisture and pre-existing convection. That could move either W or NE.

[tropicwatch]

No convection to speak of but the 850mb vorticity appears to be increasing.

https://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/windmain.php?&basin=atlantic&sat=wg8&prod=vor&zoom=&time=

[ChrisH-UK]

Still rolling along in the gulf. It has a broad rotation with some convective development and will end up bring a bit of rain fall to northern Texas

A radar loop out of Lake Charles and a 2 hour sat lopp.

[Nimbus]

Still rolling along in the gulf. It has a broad rotation with some convective development and will end up bring a bit of rain fall to northern Texas

A radar loop out of Lake Charles and a 2 hour sat lopp.

[url]https://imagizer.imageshack.com/img922/48/Kq0Den.gif [/url]

[url]https://imagizer.imageshack.com/img922/1732/XahMGC.gif [/url]

When the GFS first modeled this a few days ago I thought it might get a yellow area.
No low level energy from the wave in the Bahamas could track west with it this fast and the surface pressure at buoy 42002 is just now sinking below 30 inches. Dew point temp in the western gulf is ~80 degrees so it could go warm core if it had a little more time.

[Teban54]

Certainly looks intriguing with plenty of vorticity and some recent convective blowups. Not much at the surface (as of 6 hours ago), however.

[mpic]

I wondered what was fixing to bring us 10 days of rain. I've been working my butt off to get mowing and weedeating done ahead of it. I also have my very first generator coming on Wednesday lol. Hope I never need it, but we really need some rain here.