Low pressure in open Atlantic (0/0)

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
User avatar
drezee
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3664
Joined: Mon Jun 09, 2003 12:49 pm
Location: FL

Low pressure in open Atlantic (0/0)

#1 Postby drezee » Sun Aug 25, 2024 12:38 pm

Last edited by drezee on Mon Aug 26, 2024 11:59 pm, edited 1 time in total.
1 likes   

User avatar
boca
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 6365
Age: 60
Joined: Mon Dec 15, 2003 8:49 am
Location: Boca Raton,FL

Re: Low pressure in open Atlantic 23N 53N

#2 Postby boca » Sun Aug 25, 2024 4:42 pm

This system might be a sneaky home brew was it gets further west north of Puerto Rico.
1 likes   

User avatar
Teban54
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3168
Joined: Sat May 19, 2018 1:19 pm

Re: Low pressure in open Atlantic 23N 53N

#3 Postby Teban54 » Sun Aug 25, 2024 4:45 pm

Image
1 likes   

User avatar
drezee
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3664
Joined: Mon Jun 09, 2003 12:49 pm
Location: FL

Re: Low pressure in open Atlantic 27N 60W

#4 Postby drezee » Mon Aug 26, 2024 11:59 pm

Firing some convection
0 likes   

ChrisH-UK
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 611
Joined: Sat May 29, 2021 8:22 am

Re: Low pressure in open Atlantic 27N 60W

#5 Postby ChrisH-UK » Tue Aug 27, 2024 8:39 am

Looked real nice at dawn with a lot of convection then it got blown off. Worth keeping a eye on it with it been tiny global models couple easily miss it.
Source - https://col.st/LtPUz

Image
2 likes   

User avatar
Nimbus
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5274
Joined: Mon Jul 19, 2004 10:54 am

Re: Low pressure in open Atlantic 27N 60W

#6 Postby Nimbus » Tue Aug 27, 2024 12:42 pm

ChrisH-UK wrote:Looked real nice at dawn with a lot of convection then it got blown off. Worth keeping a eye on it with it been tiny global models couple easily miss it.
Source - https://col.st/LtPUz

[url]https://imagizer.imageshack.com/img922/1603/JP3c09.gif [/url]


Is getting sheared out by the TUTT, years ago a storm like this would never even be recorded unless a ship happened to pass near the center. Wonder why the NHC didn't flag the low level signature though?
0 likes   

User avatar
drezee
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3664
Joined: Mon Jun 09, 2003 12:49 pm
Location: FL

Re: Low pressure in open Atlantic 27N 60W

#7 Postby drezee » Tue Aug 27, 2024 1:36 pm

0 likes   

User avatar
Teban54
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3168
Joined: Sat May 19, 2018 1:19 pm

Re: Low pressure in open Atlantic 27N 60W

#8 Postby Teban54 » Tue Aug 27, 2024 3:25 pm

Convection from this morning had poofed, but replaced by new towers in the afternoon.

Image
0 likes   

LarryWx
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 6246
Joined: Sun Sep 07, 2003 2:04 pm
Location: GA

Re: Low pressure in open Atlantic 27N 60W

#9 Postby LarryWx » Tue Aug 27, 2024 3:44 pm



The NHC doesn’t normally consider a disturbance a TC unless convection persists at the center for longer than this did. So, by their definition, this wasn’t Francine or a TC at all.
Remember the Invest of N FL in June that went into GA? Similar situation.
3 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

ChrisH-UK
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 611
Joined: Sat May 29, 2021 8:22 am

Re: Low pressure in open Atlantic 27N 60W

#10 Postby ChrisH-UK » Tue Aug 27, 2024 5:56 pm

The little swirl that want to a storm. This system has been having convection but which keeps been blown away due to shear.

Image
0 likes   

User avatar
Teban54
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3168
Joined: Sat May 19, 2018 1:19 pm

Re: Low pressure in open Atlantic 27N 60W

#11 Postby Teban54 » Tue Aug 27, 2024 8:46 pm

The system has produced yet another convective blowup that has since been pushed away by shear. Large-scale shear seems rather favorable across most of the Atlantic, except that it found one of the worst spots to be in.

Image

Image
1 likes   

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 143862
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: Low pressure in open Atlantic (10/10)

#12 Postby cycloneye » Wed Aug 28, 2024 4:44 am

Western Atlantic:
An area of low pressure a few hundred miles southeast of Bermuda is
producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental
conditions appear unfavorable for additional development of this
system. By Thursday, upper-level winds are forecast to strengthen
over the system, and further development is not expected as the
system moves north-northeastward around 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.
2 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
Teban54
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3168
Joined: Sat May 19, 2018 1:19 pm

Re: Low pressure in open Atlantic (10/10)

#13 Postby Teban54 » Wed Aug 28, 2024 8:19 am

Yet another attempt at sustaining convection that failed... This thing surely is persistent.

Image
1 likes   

User avatar
mitchell
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 404
Joined: Wed Mar 19, 2003 8:22 am
Location: Delaware
Contact:

Re: Low pressure in open Atlantic (10/10)

#14 Postby mitchell » Wed Aug 28, 2024 11:03 am

Looking badly sheared
0 likes   

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 143862
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: Low pressure in open Atlantic (0/0)

#15 Postby cycloneye » Wed Aug 28, 2024 12:35 pm

2 PM. Bye.

Western Atlantic:
A small area of low pressure located a few hundred miles southeast
of Bermuda is producing limited shower and thunderstorm activity
well to the northeast of its center. Dry air and strong upper-level
winds are expected to prevent development of this system while the
low moves generally north-northeastward at about 10 mph during the
next day or so.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...near 0 percent.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

ChrisH-UK
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 611
Joined: Sat May 29, 2021 8:22 am

Re: Low pressure in open Atlantic (0/0)

#16 Postby ChrisH-UK » Thu Aug 29, 2024 12:03 pm

It's still going refusing to die, plenty of convection but unable to determine if there is a circulation behind the clouds and ASCAT is showing winds around 20 knots and no circulation.

Source - https://col.st/HQZQh

Image
1 likes   


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Hurricane2022 and 91 guests