WPAC: SHANSHAN - Post-Tropical

[doomhaMwx]

Nakanoshima entered the edge of the eye. Min SLP reported by the lighthouse on the island (blue star) is 945 mb at 04Z-05Z. Winds are lackluster though (around minimal typhoon strength), which isn't surprising given how eroded half of the eyewall is.

[cycloneye]

 https://x.com/mscuyugan/status/1828784692621181131

[Hayabusa]

06Z HFAS restrengthens at the end of the run


GEFS 06Z

While EPS 06Z most members are NE track only one outlier

[cycloneye]

 https://x.com/EarthUncutTV/status/1828840301697667185

[doomhaMwx]

Nakanoshima entered the edge of the eye. Min SLP reported by the lighthouse on the island (blue star) is 945 mb at 04Z-05Z. Winds are lackluster though (around minimal typhoon strength), which isn't surprising given how eroded half of the eyewall is.

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GWDDYUsWIAAH0SZ?format=jpg&name=4096x4096
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GWDDbLTWQAAGFA9?format=png&name=4096x4096
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GWDDdtJXEAACh2Z?format=png&name=900x900

Full pressure trace from Nakanoshima

[underthwx]

GFS 06Z similar scenario but longer timespan and more north, if this really happens Shanshan has yet to peak and it would be a big ACE maker...
https://i.imgur.com/KRWRHSr.png

Wassup Hayabusa?....hope all is well there my friend...gonna be seeing yall soon!....so...my questikn....what are the odds of this cyclone making the loop around yall mention?...thanks bro..

It's hard to say 12Z GFS remains the same scenario while Euro still recurving but seems to be trending on a slower NE track.
And also latest 12Z Euro ensemble is latching on to the GFS operational solution, we'll see if the operational Euro caves to the GFS. As a TC watcher the GFS solution would be very interesting to watch than plain old recurvature.
https://i.imgur.com/oQyuK93.png

Thankyou Hayabusa for the update!...

[Hayabusa]

Wassup Hayabusa?....hope all is well there my friend...gonna be seeing yall soon!....so...my questikn....what are the odds of this cyclone making the loop around yall mention?...thanks bro..

It's hard to say 12Z GFS remains the same scenario while Euro still recurving but seems to be trending on a slower NE track.
And also latest 12Z Euro ensemble is latching on to the GFS operational solution, we'll see if the operational Euro caves to the GFS. As a TC watcher the GFS solution would be very interesting to watch than plain old recurvature.
https://i.imgur.com/oQyuK93.png

Thankyou Hayabusa for the update!...

Now current official forecasts shows dissipation scenario while tracking NE slowly over Japan...