ATL: FRANCINE - Remnants - Discussion

[Teban54]

I just find it amusing and even surreal that, despite days of concerns that shear and dry air would pick up closer to the coast, Francine managed to become yet another Gulf storm that intensified right until landfall. This is in spite of CIMSS showing 50-60 kts of shear over it.

We should be thankful that it lost many of the opportunities it had to become a monstrous major hurricane, from before its invest designation to when it already became a TS and started developing a core. Of course, a Cat 2 is still a Cat 2, with its impacts already felt and continuing through the next few hours and days.

[psyclone]

It's a minor storm. I think the correlation is interesting but right now it's just that. I think the super warm gulf waters allowing a storm to intensify in the face of shear is more plausible. My opinion.

You may not remember but at the tail end of 2005 season we had a fella on the board doing his space weather stuff and he predicted the last storm of the season 3 weeks in advance!Many on the board scoffed me included but he had it down to the day after that I said hmmnnn....don't know

Did he do it more than once? It's virtually impossible now to predict most space-weather phenomena three weeks in advance, and it was even more virtually impossible almost 20 years ago...

Jim Hughes from Martinsburg WV. It was his entire schtick. He bounced around to multiple weather websites back in the day. Yes my memory is occasionally good. Bring back Greatone...for those with extra long memories!!!

[Steve]

As wondered blowing up for the start of DMAX

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/sat ... product=ir

[ConvergenceZone]

I just find it amusing and even surreal that, despite days of concerns that shear and dry air would pick up closer to the coast, Francine managed to become yet another Gulf storm that intensified right until landfall. This is in spite of CIMSS showing 50-60 kts of shear over it.

We should be thankful that it lost many of the opportunities it had to become a monstrous major hurricane, from before its invest designation to when it already became a TS and started developing a core. Of course, a Cat 2 is still a Cat 2, with its impacts already felt and continuing through the next few hours and days.

That's true! So we will remember this and the next time the NHC is calling for the weakening of a storm prior to landfall, we will be able to say, "it may not weaken. Remember Francine in 2024?"

[ConvergenceZone]

Let's hope this is the last USA landfalling storm of the season.

[Teban54]

Huge convective blowup right over NOLA:

[Steve]

Huge convective blowup right over NOLA:

https://i.postimg.cc/c4szvbPP/goes16-ir-06-L-202409112227.gif

Having good times.

[wxman57]

New Orleans airports reporting gusts to 48 and 42 kts, but sustained wind below TS strength. Francine is under-performing, which is good for my sister in the western eyewall. No obs close to hurricane strength yet, just strong wind gusts.

[MGC]

Getting thunder and lightning past few minutes. Still not to bad here on MS Coast in the Pass. Just gusty and rainy......MGC

[NDG]

A 9 mb drop in just 4 hours right before landfall was very impressive.
It was supposed to be weakening while making landfall. One day we'll get it right.

[fwbbreeze]

You may not remember but at the tail end of 2005 season we had a fella on the board doing his space weather stuff and he predicted the last storm of the season 3 weeks in advance!Many on the board scoffed me included but he had it down to the day after that I said hmmnnn....don't know

Did he do it more than once? It's virtually impossible now to predict most space-weather phenomena three weeks in advance, and it was even more virtually impossible almost 20 years ago...

Jim Hughes from Martinsburg WV. It was his entire schtick. He bounced around to multiple weather websites back in the day. Yes my memory is occasionally good. Bring back Greatone...for those with extra long memories!!!

Code red!! code red! Greatone was a trip.

[MONTEGUT_LA]

Limited on power and having a hard time loading radar. Can anyone tell me if the storm is moving off of Thibodaux? We been getting hammer for a while now.

[NDG]

New Orleans airports reporting gusts to 48 and 42 kts, but sustained wind below TS strength. Francine is under-performing, which is good for my sister in the western eyewall. No obs close to hurricane strength yet, just strong wind gusts.

I guess you missed the 62 mph wind gust at MSY 30 minutes ago.


Sep 11, 6:36 pm 75 75 100 ENE 37G62

[Steve]

Limited on power and having a hard time loading radar. Can anyone tell me if the storm is moving off of Thibodaux? We been getting hammer for a while now.

Y’all on the edge of northeastern eyewall

https://radar.weather.gov/station/KHDC/ ... y/standard

[MONTEGUT_LA]

Limited on power and having a hard time loading radar. Can anyone tell me if the storm is moving off of Thibodaux? We been getting hammer for a while now.

Y’all on the edge of eastern eyewall

Feels like we been hammered for hours. We are safe right now and on generator power, but if it dont slack off soon we may start taking in water.

[Craters]

Limited on power and having a hard time loading radar. Can anyone tell me if the storm is moving off of Thibodaux? We been getting hammer for a while now.

Looking at the Lake Charles radar, so I'm not sure how high it's seeing at that range, but Thibodaux should be entering the northern part of the eye soon if it's not there already.

[Stormcenter]

Francine is coming a lot closer to
NOLA than the NHC or anyone thought.

[cheezyWXguy]

The fact that this storm has been on the struggle bus for so long and still made it to cat2 is impressive

[Teban54]

The fact that this storm has been on the struggle bus for so long and still made it to cat2 is impressive

Now imagine if this applies to the season as a whole. There remains a distinct chance we could be saying "The fact that 2024 has been on the struggle bus for so long and still made it to hyperactive ACE is impressive".

[AnnularCane]

Francine is nothing if not persistent.