ConvergenceZone wrote:psyclone wrote:ConvergenceZone wrote:As someone pointed out earlier is that this system will be moving at an absolute lightning speed. While that's bad for preparation, it should be over just a few short hours after it begins, thus a short duration event. Also, will have much less time to get really strong.
Can you define "lightning speed"...I'm not seeing that. I do see plenty of solutions...some of which are very strong. If a system organizes it can intensify very rapidly if the stars align. OHC in the Gulf and Caribbean is record highs for this date per McNoldy's data. Otis went from a cat 1 to a 5 in 12 hours last year with similar rocket fuel. Explosive development should be a consideration even if that outcome isn't most likely.
I just go by where the models are showing the system every 6 hours. Also remember this system initially didn't suppose to hit land until next Sunday or Monday and now it's showing late Thursday and Friday. That's quite a difference in speed. I mean to get from where it is right now to the north gulf coast in only 4 and 1/2 to 5 days can only happen with a very quick mover. And that's also probably why the other models are keeping it much weaker than the GFS.
Yes according to the models this should be moving pretty quick once it turns to the northeast. Seems to happen a lot with these storms that approach Florida from the SW. Frances felt like it went on forever but Wilma was just a horrifying couple of hours.
