ATL: HELENE - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[FLpanhandle91]

[cheezyWXguy]

Radar velocities in the southern eyewall are plausibly showing up to 135mph or so. Highest I’ve seen yet.

[NDG]

Recon is about 1.5 hours away, we might only get another 2 or maybe 3 samples before landfall?

Landfall is not until close to 11 pm tonight, still plenty of time to get plenty of samples.

[CrazyC83]

Radar velocities in the southern eyewall are plausibly showing up to 135mph or so. Highest I’ve seen yet.

It's a bit far from the radar to use estimates, but based on trends, 110 kt might be a reasonable wind estimate right now (pressure 948 mb).

[psyclone]

TS conditions here. Extra spicy. Power flashes....we're going dark soon

[HurricaneRyan]

Helene is certainly not an ugly duckling anymore

[BIFF_THE_UNRULY]

TS conditions here. Extra spicy. Power flashes....we're going dark soon

we are getting blinks on and off in pasco but nothing terrible. Hope your area holds up. You got alot of mobile and modular homes out that way

[grapealcoholic]

Lightning in the eyewall

[xironman]

https://i.postimg.cc/Qdb14QkQ/20242701410-20242701940-ABI-AL092024-GEOCOLOR-1000x1000.gif

You can see it going left

[tronbunny]

From what I see
https://zoom.earth/maps/radar/#view=28.0715,-82.3422,7.56z/date=2024-09-26,16:25,-4/overlays=wind,crosshair
Helene is east and slightly south of track center right now

[BIFF_THE_UNRULY]

From what I see
https://zoom.earth/maps/radar/#view=28.0715,-82.3422,7.56z/date=2024-09-26,16:25,-4/overlays=wind,crosshair
Helene is east and slightly south of track center right now
https://imgur.com/a/RtazyZo

yes

[timmeister]

On satellite imagery it looks like the eye is closing and it's starting an ERC. Any mets on here that agree?

[BIFF_THE_UNRULY]

From what I see
https://zoom.earth/maps/radar/#view=28.0715,-82.3422,7.56z/date=2024-09-26,16:25,-4/overlays=wind,crosshair
Helene is east and slightly south of track center right now
https://imgur.com/a/RtazyZo

Oh my I love that website

[caneman]

As many of us expected, It has in fact been moving right of forecast track and is still moving on right side of cone. Looks like on my radar app track was moved very close to Perry now

[PavelGaborik10]

On satellite imagery it looks like the eye is closing and it's starting an ERC. Any mets on here that agree?

No signs of an EWRC on radar.

[caneman]

From what I see
https://zoom.earth/maps/radar/#view=28.0715,-82.3422,7.56z/date=2024-09-26,16:25,-4/overlays=wind,crosshair
Helene is east and slightly south of track center right now
https://imgur.com/a/RtazyZo

Oh my I love that website

I use zoom earth. They finally moved track very close to Perry now. In fact our eyes weren't deceiving us. 20 or 30 miles closer to the west coast.

[Kazmit]

On satellite imagery it looks like the eye is closing and it's starting an ERC. Any mets on here that agree?

I believe that is just the eye contracting as explosive convection surrounds it. A sign of intensification.

[Teban54]

Don't know why the eye became elliptical earlier, but latest frames are back to a classic round eye. (RAMMB uses a different color scale than Tropical Tidbits, which makes convection look much shallower than it actually is.)

[cheezyWXguy]

On satellite imagery it looks like the eye is closing and it's starting an ERC. Any mets on here that agree?

It’s not, it’s just intense eyewall convection spilling over into the eye. Common for strengthening hurricanes. Not to say it couldn’t start one before landfall, but if it did there wouldn’t be enough time for any impact to the storm’s intensity or size.

[BIFF_THE_UNRULY]

From what I see
https://zoom.earth/maps/radar/#view=28.0715,-82.3422,7.56z/date=2024-09-26,16:25,-4/overlays=wind,crosshair
Helene is east and slightly south of track center right now
https://imgur.com/a/RtazyZo

Oh my I love that website

I use zoom earth. They finally moved track very close to Perry now. In fact our eyes weren't deceiving us. 20 or 30 miles closer to the west coast.

I think tho it will it up with the Northward component later.

Klystron 9 appears to me to be heading due north almost.