ATL: KIRK - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[Travorum]

Big winds in Kirk's north on SAR, although not associated with the developing core.

Platform: RCM-1
Acquisition Date: 2024-10-01 20:59:20 UTC
Storm Name: AL122024 / KIRK
Storm ID: AL12
Storm Center Longitude: -39.750
Storm Center Latitude: 15.798
Incidence Angle (Degrees): 56.948
Quadrant 1 NE VMax (kts): 72.52
Quadrant 2 SE VMax (kts): 52.01
Quadrant 3 SW VMax (kts): 33.44
Quadrant 4 NW VMax (kts): 91.15
RMax (nmi): 22.00 - 122.00

[Teban54]

[cycloneye]

AL, 12, 2024100200, , BEST, 0, 164N, 404W, 65, 986, HU

[Hurricane2022]

Looks like there is some cold blobs of convection exploding just south of the LLC, Let's see if that can help Kirk to become better aligned and ready to start a more significant intensification phase.

[kevin]

A blend of ADT/AiDT/DPRINT/DMINT puts the current intensity at 70kt/984mb. Raw T# are even up to 5.4 as an eye is forming on Dvorak/IR imagery.

[aspen]

Looking a lot better this morning. Starting to shrimp out a bit with concentrated deep convection trying to wrap around the center. I imagine we’ll see a low-end Cat 2 by tonight if this keeps up, then a major tomorrow.

[cycloneye]

AL, 12, 2024100212, , BEST, 0, 177N, 426W, 75, 980, HU

[Sciencerocks]

[zzzh]

Dual rotating hot towers

[aspen]

Now forecast to hit Cat 4 intensity.

[cheezyWXguy]

Today appears to be the day that Kirk is going to put itself together. Banding is impressive and the core looks to be tightening up.

[REDHurricane]

[kevin]

Kirk is looking good, expecting significant strengthening in the next 24 hours. The automatic ADT center seems a bit misaligned with the center of convection. It could be that the convection just isn't symmetrical yet, but if I'd adjust the center I think ADT would be around 80 kt, similar to the 82 kt DPRINT analysis. SATCON still a bit lower at 72 kt. Either way, I expect an upgrade to 80 kt at the next advisory and a cat 2 soon afterwards.

[cycloneye]

Up to 80kt.

AL, 12, 2024100218, , BEST, 0, 186N, 436W, 80, 980, HU

[Sciencerocks]

[HurricaneRyan]

Captain Kirk has arrived gentlemen

[Buck]

He has a very Typhoon-like look to him.

[Teban54]

Boom!

[cheezyWXguy]

Kirk’s going to town right now and everyone’s gone, lol

[zzzh]

This is probably close to major hurricane now. Anyone knows why the goes16 meso sector switched from Kirk to random area in the midwest?