ATL: MILTON - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion: 175 mph

#2141 Postby zzzh » Mon Oct 07, 2024 3:40 pm

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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion: 175 mph

#2142 Postby dukeblue219 » Mon Oct 07, 2024 3:42 pm

ConvergenceZone wrote:
abajan wrote:About a half-hour ago CNN's The Lead with Jake Tapper starts with Jake emphatically stating, A Category 5 hurricane is headed for Florida's west coast. If I didn't know Milton was forecast to weaken to a Cat 3 by the time its eye reaches Florida I would think it was going to hit at Cat 5 intensity! The news media really needs to stop with the sensationalist headlines.


I know it's sickening how they spread misinformation, not very responsible. But it's all about the views.


I'm sorry but this is not misinformation. There is a category 5 hurricane -a strong one at that - headed for Florida's West Coast. The media is reporting facts as they exist.
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion: 175 mph

#2143 Postby underthwx » Mon Oct 07, 2024 3:42 pm

jfk08c wrote:
underthwx wrote:Still intensifying?.....how much more can Milton strengthen?....this is the strongest cyclone that I personally have ever heard of....


Wilma was the lowest recorded in the Atlantic at 882. They can get pretty damn low

Thanks for your reply....
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion: 175 mph

#2144 Postby MJGarrison » Mon Oct 07, 2024 3:43 pm

grapealcoholic wrote:Likely about to start an EWRC (meld)

Then next peak likely tomorrow in zone of max divergence

Why do we think it’s going to be a meld?


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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion: 175 mph

#2145 Postby lovingseason2013 » Mon Oct 07, 2024 3:43 pm

abajan wrote:About a half-hour ago CNN's The Lead with Jake Tapper starts with Jake emphatically stating, A Category 5 hurricane is headed for Florida's west coast. If I didn't know Milton was forecast to weaken to a Cat 3 by the time its eye reaches Florida I would think it was going to hit at Cat 5 intensity! The news media really needs to stop with the sensationalist headlines.

This storm has defied all predictions. I'm not sure why you would act like you know it is going to be a Cat 3 at landfall. That's more reckless than overpredicting. Originally, it was predicted to just be a frontal low and we see how that prediction worked out.
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion: 175 mph

#2146 Postby underthwx » Mon Oct 07, 2024 3:44 pm

InfernoFlameCat wrote:
underthwx wrote:Still intensifying?.....how much more can Milton strengthen?....this is the strongest cyclone that I personally have ever heard of....

You should see Patricia of 2015. mslp of 872mb and winds of 215mph.

Thanks for taking time to reply.....that is unreal how strong Patricia was....
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion: 175 mph

#2147 Postby aspen » Mon Oct 07, 2024 3:45 pm

MJGarrison wrote:
grapealcoholic wrote:Likely about to start an EWRC (meld)

Then next peak likely tomorrow in zone of max divergence

Why do we think it’s going to be a meld?


Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk

Because the latest HAFS-A/B showed a quick and successful meld starting early this evening and finishing by tomorrow morning, with a secondary peak occurring afterwards.
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion: 175 mph

#2148 Postby Rail Dawg » Mon Oct 07, 2024 3:45 pm

Am still learning the dynamics but the "Fists of God" seen/heard first-hand must be some kind of horizontal tornado.

The crazy thing is the Fist is punching down/sideways hard not sucking air up like a regular tornado.

Watched more than a few solid brick buildings disintegrate under the Fists of God.

Finally figured out why after a major hurricane some buildings would be just fine and others were selectively destroyed.

It was the Fists.

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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion: 175 mp

#2149 Postby Bocadude85 » Mon Oct 07, 2024 3:46 pm

I have several aunts who live in Tampa outside of the evacuation zones. I’ve spoken to all three and none of them are boarding up(no impact windows). They say it will miss them to the south or weaken substantially before hitting inland Hillsborough county(Temple Terrace). I hope they are right.. but I am very concerned for them.
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion: 175 mph

#2150 Postby ConvergenceZone » Mon Oct 07, 2024 3:46 pm

dukeblue219 wrote:
ConvergenceZone wrote:
abajan wrote:About a half-hour ago CNN's The Lead with Jake Tapper starts with Jake emphatically stating, A Category 5 hurricane is headed for Florida's west coast. If I didn't know Milton was forecast to weaken to a Cat 3 by the time its eye reaches Florida I would think it was going to hit at Cat 5 intensity! The news media really needs to stop with the sensationalist headlines.


I know it's sickening how they spread misinformation, not very responsible. But it's all about the views.


I'm sorry but this is not misinformation. There is a category 5 hurricane -a strong one at that - headed for Florida's West Coast. The media is reporting facts as they exist.


It's just how they word it. It would have been if they would have said, "strong cat 5 hurricane, but expected to weaken some, heading for Florida".. That way they are calling it like it is.
Last edited by ConvergenceZone on Mon Oct 07, 2024 3:47 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion: 175 mph

#2151 Postby jdjaguar » Mon Oct 07, 2024 3:46 pm

dukeblue219 wrote:
ConvergenceZone wrote:
abajan wrote:About a half-hour ago CNN's The Lead with Jake Tapper starts with Jake emphatically stating, A Category 5 hurricane is headed for Florida's west coast. If I didn't know Milton was forecast to weaken to a Cat 3 by the time its eye reaches Florida I would think it was going to hit at Cat 5 intensity! The news media really needs to stop with the sensationalist headlines.


I know it's sickening how they spread misinformation, not very responsible. But it's all about the views.


I'm sorry but this is not misinformation. There is a category 5 hurricane -a strong one at that - headed for Florida's West Coast. The media is reporting facts as they exist.

But they omit the expected weakening before landfall.

on purpose.
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion: 175 mph

#2152 Postby NotoSans » Mon Oct 07, 2024 3:47 pm

Development somehow reminds me of Goni 2020 - small storms developing a pinhole eye that undergoes an eyewall melding...
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion: 175 mph

#2153 Postby WaveBreaking » Mon Oct 07, 2024 3:48 pm

aspen wrote:
MJGarrison wrote:
grapealcoholic wrote:Likely about to start an EWRC (meld)

Then next peak likely tomorrow in zone of max divergence

Why do we think it’s going to be a meld?


Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk

Because the latest HAFS-A/B showed a quick and successful meld starting early this evening and finishing by tomorrow morning, with a secondary peak occurring afterwards.


HWRF also shows this, and it’s usually very good with predicting internal structure.
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion: 175 mph

#2154 Postby Highteeld » Mon Oct 07, 2024 3:48 pm

Also in agreement an ERC is underway. Eye is cooling and shrinking
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https://severe.worldweather.wmo.int/TCF ... kBeven.pdf

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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion: 175 mph

#2155 Postby Steve » Mon Oct 07, 2024 3:49 pm

underthwx wrote:Still intensifying?.....how much more can Milton strengthen?....this is the strongest cyclone that I personally have ever heard of....


Loop current.
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion: 175 mph

#2156 Postby MEANINGLESS_NUMBERS » Mon Oct 07, 2024 3:50 pm

jdjaguar wrote:
dukeblue219 wrote:
ConvergenceZone wrote:
I know it's sickening how they spread misinformation, not very responsible. But it's all about the views.


I'm sorry but this is not misinformation. There is a category 5 hurricane -a strong one at that - headed for Florida's West Coast. The media is reporting facts as they exist.

But they omit the expected weakening before landfall.

on purpose.


Because the storm's biggest danger will be its storm surge, which will be worse due to its current intensity.
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion: 175 mph

#2157 Postby MetroMike » Mon Oct 07, 2024 3:51 pm

Please stop with the Red Font hype crap.
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion: 175 mph

#2158 Postby zzzh » Mon Oct 07, 2024 3:51 pm

Image
Insane
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion: 175 mph

#2159 Postby snownado » Mon Oct 07, 2024 3:51 pm

MEANINGLESS_NUMBERS wrote:
jdjaguar wrote:
dukeblue219 wrote:
I'm sorry but this is not misinformation. There is a category 5 hurricane -a strong one at that - headed for Florida's West Coast. The media is reporting facts as they exist.

But they omit the expected weakening before landfall.

on purpose.


Because the storm's biggest danger will be its storm surge, which will be worse due to its current intensity.


Can we please take this bickering about the media reports to another thread/forum?
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion: 175 mph

#2160 Postby nlosrgr8 » Mon Oct 07, 2024 3:53 pm

I don’t see contra flow on I75, watching WC. Are any planned? Anywhere?
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