ATL: MILTON - Post-Tropical - Discussion
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StormPyrate
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion: 155 mph / 923 mbs
So am I seeing this correct that its of track to the east and south of official track?
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St Petersburg Florida
Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion: 155 mph / 923 mbs
Recon is descending. Gonna be an insane pass.
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I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
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Bocadude85
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion: 155 mph / 923 mbs
Looks like the ENE track has resumed.
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tolakram
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion: 155 mph / 923 mbs
STAY ON TOPIC. If you have to say something like ... not to go off topic, don't.
saved loop
saved loop
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M a r k
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion: 155 mph / 923 mbs
StormPyrate wrote:So am I seeing this correct that its of track to the east and south of official track?
yes but last couple frames seem to be correcting a bit back but still gonna miss the forecast point
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Just like Jon Snow..."I know nothing" except what I know, and most of what I know is gathered by the fine people of the NHC
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ScottNAtlanta
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion: 155 mph / 923 mbs
It looks to me (looking at a longer loop) that the northerly turn is starting
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Kazmit
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion: 155 mph / 923 mbs
Wow.
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I am only a tropical weather enthusiast. My predictions are not official and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
I am only a tropical weather enthusiast. My predictions are not official and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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InfernoFlameCat
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion: 155 mph / 923 mbs
The hurricane still has a very similar structure compared to yesterday, with the long comma shape to it. Really am looking forward to this recon coming up.
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ScottNAtlanta
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion: 155 mph / 923 mbs
Looks like the outflow is really increasing on the far north side.
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tolakram
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion: 155 mph / 923 mbs
Just a reminder that with a storm approaching land we are in storm mode, comments can and will be deleted. Storm mode has existed since I joined storm2k, this is not new. One liners or off topic posts are subject to removal. Nothing personal, unless it's an actual violation of S2K policy. Thanks.
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M a r k
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Charleswachal
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion: 155 mph / 923 mbs
my guess for center fix will be 175 mph winds with 903 mb pressure
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion: 155 mph / 923 mbs
The tricky part when a strong upper-level trough is involved in a forecast is to guess whether the positives brought by enhanced poleward outflow outweighs the negatives brought by increasing vertical wind shear and dry air entrainment...unfortunately this time the positives have the upper-hand.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to RSMC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to RSMC and NWS products.
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FLpanhandle91
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion: 155 mph / 923 mbs
Recon going for a NW to SE pass first.
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tolakram
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion: 155 mph / 923 mbs
My guess is a crazy low 903.
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M a r k
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Sciencerocks
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion: 155 mph / 923 mbs
my strongest winds and pressure guess for this recon is flight level 165 knts and 905 mb's pressure.
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion: 155 mph / 923 mbs
Raw T# now at 7.7 (900mb/160kt) with an eye temperature of 16.2C. I don't think the storm has already caught up to this intensity so for the first pass I'm going with 906 mb / 150 kt as my guess. If Milton can stay like this for a few hours it's bound to reach the Dvorak intensity eventually. MPI in this region of the basin in 179 kt per AI-RI by the way.
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BIFF_THE_UNRULY
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion: 155 mph / 923 mbs
Gonna go way high, price is right rules
Ill take 880/190mph. It looks good here and i think they will find a monster
yes slight wobble but the overall NHC track is intact
Ill take 880/190mph. It looks good here and i think they will find a monster
StormPyrate wrote:So am I seeing this correct that its of track to the east and south of official track?
yes slight wobble but the overall NHC track is intact
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sicktght311
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Frank P
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion: 155 mph / 923 mbs
910 mb winds 160 mph... bank it..
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