ATL: MILTON - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[mpic]

Every change in heading starts with a wobble but not every wobble is a change in heading. I see you wobble watchers...and I appreciate all of you

Hi everyone, my name is eastcoastFL and I'm a wobble watcher. I've been wobble watching for decades now, I just can't help it.

It's ok eastcoastFL. You are in a safe space

Beats doing chores or getting bored lol

[eastcoastFL]

Milton is moving towards the NE but he is still hanging on the right side of the line… I’m concerned about that bend to the east as it makes landfall. What if that happens a little sooner? Then a lot of the tropical storm warning areas will take the hurricane head on. Maybe the NHC feels good about the track and that’s why they didn’t put up hurricane watches.

[eastcoastFL]

I'm in Vero. What are our winds looking like over here for Milton? Getting a bit anxious but knew was always a possibility. I've looked up wind forecasts but what do you think?

Probably 60-70 and gusting in the upper 80s

[xironman]

Looks like another ERC should start in the next few hours, double eyewall showing up on radar

https://i.imgur.com/nMaBvpx.png

The NOAA plane hinted at a double maxima, could by why it has leveled off. Look for the wind field to expand again.

[Kingarabian]

Last SAB fix at 18z was a 6.5 when it was at least a T7.0. They keep going with a cool eye despite visible and BD showing a warm eye.

[eastcoastFL]

Martin county just announced school will also be closed Friday. Tomorrow 4 schools will be opened as shelters from noon tomorrow until noon Friday.

[aspen]

Looks like another ERC should start in the next few hours, double eyewall showing up on radar

https://i.imgur.com/nMaBvpx.png

The NOAA plane hinted at a double maxima, could by why it has leveled off. Look for the wind field to expand again.

Matches up with a moat-like feature in the NW quad.

[Mike33534]

Movement as predicted?

[tulum07]

Don't look at the GFS model for 10/21, a copy cat major to New Orleans!

[aspen]

Last SAB fix at 18z was a 6.5 when it was at least a T7.0. They keep going with a cool eye despite visible and BD showing a warm eye.

If I had a nickel for every time this month SAB went with T6.5 for the most obvious T7.0+ you’ve ever seen, I’d have two nickels, which isn’t a lot but it’s weird that it happened twice.

[Category5Kaiju]

https://i.ibb.co/G94f1kQ/goes16-ir-14-L.gif Movement as predicted?

All hail Super Typhoon Milton

[Exalt]

Looks like another ERC should start in the next few hours, double eyewall showing up on radar

https://i.imgur.com/nMaBvpx.png

And there's the reason behind the intensity slightly dropping. Is there any chance that there's even another EWRC before landfall? We've already had two now already..

[Michele B]

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/satlooper.php?region=14L&product=vis

My goodness she is pretty!

... he

Very handsome boy.

And frightening, too.

[Michele B]

Cat 5 - 167mph

Is this a guess or did I miss it somewhere?

We got a bulletin on our phones with this number.

[CAT-INS]

Milton looks Tight-Tight-Tight-Tight .....Breaking Bad Tuco reference!

[Highteeld]

I suspect the peak of Milton today was about an hour before recon arrived. Probably hit 900 mb at one point, but doubt it beat yesterday's max intensity.

[Hammy]

https://i.ibb.co/G94f1kQ/goes16-ir-14-L.gif Movement as predicted?

If I had no idea what was going on, and looked at that without the land, I'd swear it was in the West Pacific

[DirtyDish]

I know a couple people were downplaying the effect of the Loop Current on such a vigorous storm as its already way high in intensity. Would that change though with an EWRC and getting it back up in intensity quicker or would it still have a neglible effect given how strong the storm already is. Obviously not much is known so its gonna be speculative either way. Mainly curious to see opinions on that.

[Blown Away]

Meanwhile Milton continues ENE…

[PCswfl]

Port Charlotte Zones A,B and now C evacuation notice to leave now.