ATL: MILTON - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[Steve]

Boy, I couldn't find the center on Sat IR right now if you paid me LOL. I would think pressures are filling rather quickly at this stage.

Transfer of energy to the north for now. We’ll see if it can rotate but it looks like a pulse up at landfall or at least stability vs rapidly getting dried out from the shear. Looks super rough winds/squall wise for all of metro Tampa especially if it slows and goes in south of the bay.
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/sat ... product=ir

[Orlando]

99% of Indian River County residents have lost power

https://i.imgur.com/26hhWvr.png

They had a tornado that came through that area. I watched the coverage on the local news WFTV. It covered at least a 51 mile stretch south to north.

[Steve]

Pressure wash conditions...wind isn't terrible but what a hose job. Somehow I still have power

How is that buzz?

[johngaltfla]

99% of Indian River County residents have lost power

https://i.imgur.com/26hhWvr.png

Holy smokes!!!!

[Nimbus]

Boy, I couldn't find the center on Sat IR right now if you paid me LOL. I would think pressures are filling rather quickly at this stage.

Its still south of Tampa bay.

https://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page. ... tion=mtbf1

[TomballEd]

Alicia, Ike, Beryl? Do they count, or is Houston too far from the coast?

I would have thought post Ike they'd have beefed up windows downtown, but I take my daughter to Anderson (Texas Medical Center) now and then and downtown streets were closes for falling glass two weeks after Beryl hit, and it was a Cat 1. Also pulled part of the sliding roof off NRG Stadium, again. I hope I never see a Cat 4 here. Downtown can't handle wind.

Was the damage in downtown Houston from Beryl or the Derecho that went through? We've had so many storms this year that I've lost track lol.

Both. The derecho was in May, Beryl in July, and both blew out windows in the higher towers. I think Tampa itself dodged a bullet, they'll have mostly wind damage. The tornadoes may indeed turn out to be the bigger story. They hit in populated areas and there is damage showing up on X and Ryan Hall.

[GCANE]

I think the tornado outbreak is dissipating.
The high STP area is removed from the convection.

Not to say we wont see more tornados, but not as many and not as large.

[skillz305]

99% of Indian River County residents have lost power

https://i.imgur.com/26hhWvr.png

Holy smokes!!!!

Not true. My whole neighborhood still has power…Vero

[Ken711]

Ryan Maue
@RyanMaue
Soon, Milton will turn more to the east, even abruptly, might look like a wobble. The landfall will be almost perpendicular to the coast, and land friction will drag Milton ashore.

Concerned about center/eye more NNE movement right into Tampa Bay if the right turn doesn't happen soon.

[bjackrian]

I plotted the update positions that the NHC has released since they've been able to track by radar. Looks like they think it slowed and made a right/east wobble, and has now resumed moving at about the same heading and speed as previously. Will be interesting to see where recon finds the center within that large blob of clearing/eyelike feature.

[jfk08c]

99% of Indian River County residents have lost power

https://i.imgur.com/26hhWvr.png

Holy smokes!!!!

Not true. My whole neighborhood still has power…Vero

Welcome to the 1%

[tolakram]

[Beer Belly]

Ryan Maue
@RyanMaue
Soon, Milton will turn more to the east, even abruptly, might look like a wobble. The landfall will be almost perpendicular to the coast, and land friction will drag Milton ashore.

Concerned about center/eye more NNE movement right into Tampa Bay if the right turn doesn't happen soon.

First comment regarding friction (land vs water) that I have seen. I agree with you.

[Woofde]

Hurricane models nailed this one. The South side is totally dried out. Realistically with this radar presentation Tampa has the best chance of seeing high winds with the North part being the only healthy remaining part of the eyewall.

[xironman]

https://i.imgur.com/IBmt6MV.gif

I am going to miss my Treasure Beach landfall by 30 miles. Sad!

[GCANE]

 https://x.com/MatthewCappucci/status/1844137957181317212

[TampaWxLurker]

https://i.imgur.com/IBmt6MV.gif

I am going to miss my Treasure Beach landfall by 30 miles. Sad!

I think everyone that lives on the bay is probably pretty happy about that.

[TomballEd]

https://i.imgur.com/IBmt6MV.gif

per Ryan Hall Youtube's pro-met, correlation coefficient shows a lot on non-rain objects, he speculates birds, in the E eyewall.

[Steve]

With that expanded eye, edge of eyewall about to come ashore.

[xironman]

72 kt instantaneous not bad

988mb (29.18 inHg) Surface (Sea Level) 22.8°C (73.0°F) 21.8°C (71°F) 25° (from the NNE) 72 knots (83 mph)