ATL: MILTON - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion: Makes landfall near Siesta Key in Sarasota county / 120 mph

#5241 Postby xtyphooncyclonex » Wed Oct 09, 2024 9:15 pm

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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion: Makes landfall near Siesta Key in Sarasota county / 120 mph

#5242 Postby xtyphooncyclonex » Wed Oct 09, 2024 9:20 pm

jasons2k wrote:
hipshot wrote:
Steve wrote:
I love Josh and all those guys. If you don’t want to give him any attention probably don’t watch or post about him? I haven’t seen him at all today more on accident though. I only listened to 5 seconds of that so maybe I missed something. I’ve been more tuned in to intense feeds


What makes him dangerous??

Josh has written PH. D. caliber papers on tropical systems. He’s one of the smartest chasers out there. But definitely the “do not try this at home” mantra applies.

Josh's work on Haiyan, one of the strongest storms ever, made me follow him. It was our country's worst storm ever --- killing over 10k and inflicting at least $10b of economic damage. The communities in Tacloban and Palo remember him and he's been able to help them: especially with those videos rescuing people during Haiyan's surge and talks on the data he had gathered.
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REMINDER: My opinions that I, or any other NON Pro-Met in this forum, are unofficial. Please do not take my opinions as an official forecast and warning. I am NOT a meteorologist. Following my forecasts blindly may lead to false alarm, danger and risk if official forecasts from agencies are ignored.

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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion: Makes landfall near Siesta Key in Sarasota county / 120 mph

#5243 Postby Meteorcane » Wed Oct 09, 2024 9:23 pm

As predicted the backside of this system is no joke. A sensor set up by UF on the beach in Venice just measured sustained 92 gust 107... hopefully people don't think that just because it isn't raining, the winds won't be significant.  https://x.com/SheaGibsonWx/status/1844198360020095219

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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion: Makes landfall near Siesta Key in Sarasota county / 120 mph

#5244 Postby Steve » Wed Oct 09, 2024 9:33 pm

Meteorcane wrote:As predicted the backside of this system is no joke. A sensor set up by UF on the beach in Venice just measured sustained 92 gust 107... hopefully people don't think that just because it isn't raining, the winds won't be significant.  https://x.com/SheaGibsonWx/status/1844198360020095219



Some people wanted to down play. That was wrong. Effects are coming in multiple ways.
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion: Makes landfall near Siesta Key in Sarasota county / 120 mph

#5245 Postby Mike33534 » Wed Oct 09, 2024 9:42 pm

So up here in pasco... we still getting slammed heh, my yard looks like a train wreck. many noises on roof
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion: Makes landfall near Siesta Key in Sarasota county / 120 mph

#5246 Postby psyclone » Wed Oct 09, 2024 9:43 pm

What a beating. Free pressure wash for everything
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion: Makes landfall near Siesta Key in Sarasota county / 120 mph

#5247 Postby Craters » Wed Oct 09, 2024 9:44 pm

Pipelines182 wrote:Looks like Tampa got spared again. Their mayor is going to regret telling people they would meet certain death if they didn’t evacuate.

These weakening storms really just don’t pack much punch in the wind department, do they? Cat 1 Beryl had more impressive winds over land from the videos I’ve seen.

I, and a zillion others, I'm sure, can say from experience that Beryl did indeed have impressive winds for a Cat 1 storm. Some of the winds from Milton that they've been showing on The Weather Channel don't look like anything to sneeze at, though.
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion: Makes landfall near Siesta Key in Sarasota county / 120 mph

#5248 Postby Poonwalker » Wed Oct 09, 2024 9:45 pm

Little update from Seminole. Gustier winds than Irma for me. Still have power. Insane amount of rain. I think that will be the story here along with power outages and some trees down. There is nowhere for all this rain to go. Plus the ground was already saturated.

Edited: I lost power. Looks like Pinellas has about 70 percent without power now.
Last edited by Poonwalker on Wed Oct 09, 2024 10:31 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion: Makes landfall near Siesta Key in Sarasota county / 120 mph

#5249 Postby edu2703 » Wed Oct 09, 2024 9:47 pm

Steve wrote:
Meteorcane wrote:As predicted the backside of this system is no joke. A sensor set up by UF on the beach in Venice just measured sustained 92 gust 107... hopefully people don't think that just because it isn't raining, the winds won't be significant.  https://x.com/SheaGibsonWx/status/1844198360020095219



Some people wanted to down play. That was wrong. Effects are coming in multiple ways.


Milton's thread on r/tropicalweather is being spammed by idiots writing comments like 'overhyped storm', 'not big deal', 'media manipulation', 'NHC got it wrong',' It's not even a Cat 2. What a joke', etc. Moderators are working overtime to delete these comments.

I can be sure no one writing these comments is on Milton's path.
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion: Makes landfall near Siesta Key in Sarasota county / 120 mph

#5250 Postby UTSARoadrunner4 » Wed Oct 09, 2024 9:47 pm

cheezyWXguy wrote:
Pipelines182 wrote:Looks like Tampa got spared again. Their mayor is going to regret telling people they would meet certain death if they didn’t evacuate.

These weakening storms really just don’t pack much punch in the wind department, do they? Cat 1 Beryl had more impressive winds over land from the videos I’ve seen.

Do you think that the people in the low lying evacuation zones wouldn’t face certain death if Milton had made landfall in St Petersburg and funneled the max storm surge into the bay? Knowing that such an outcome was well within the margin of error until basically this morning, do feel it would have been a wiser decision to gamble that many lives?


I’ve thought about this throughout the day. I knew there was going to be a point in time where people are going to chastise the Mayor of Tampa for what she said. Tbh it’s a “damned if you do, damned if you don’t” situation. Like you said, if she decided to be indifferent about Milton, and he made landfall at Clearwater, then people would be calling for her resignation for not being urgent enough. I can’t speak for most people, but I rather my elected official be urgent or even slightly dramatic with what’s presented to them than be lax. And I rather them be wrong but have my things to come home to. Rather than them being lax, wrong, and then I have to be rescued or put in a casket because they weren’t being urgent enough and I listened to them.
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion: Makes landfall near Siesta Key in Sarasota county / 120 mph

#5251 Postby Poonwalker » Wed Oct 09, 2024 9:47 pm

psyclone wrote:What a beating. Free pressure wash for everything

I went out in a swimsuit and used a broom brush to scrub the pool pavers. Didn’t have to worry about getting cleaning detergents in the pool because it was constantly overflowing. Deck has never been so clean
Last edited by Poonwalker on Wed Oct 09, 2024 9:52 pm, edited 3 times in total.
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion: Makes landfall near Siesta Key in Sarasota county / 120 mph

#5252 Postby Jebda » Wed Oct 09, 2024 9:48 pm

Auburndale, Polk County here. Has felt like I was riiiight on the edge of most things for the majority of today. Many of the tornado warnings and now just barely on the edge of the flood emergency. Power has flickered a few times. Been decently windy and rainy. Fingers crossed if it gets worse it won't last for very long.
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion: Makes landfall near Siesta Key in Sarasota county / 120 mph

#5253 Postby Abdullah » Wed Oct 09, 2024 9:51 pm

1.68 million, or 15%, of the 11.6 million households in Florida are without power right now.

755K, or 44%, of the 1.71 million households in the Tampa Bay metro area are without power right now.

392K, or 70%, of the 560K households in the Sarasota metro area are without power right now.

Image
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion: Makes landfall near Siesta Key in Sarasota county / 120 mph

#5254 Postby xMarcel » Wed Oct 09, 2024 9:52 pm

I'm right now seeing a lot of amateur livestreams in TikTok in the Tampa Bay Area and I'm a bit worried for them.....
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion: Makes landfall near Siesta Key in Sarasota county / 120 mph

#5255 Postby skillz305 » Wed Oct 09, 2024 9:54 pm

Guys… pray for the treasure coast. That tornado that went thru Vero was completely devastating. The images I’ve seen look horrible. A lot of people lost their homes. I’m not sure if it was the same tornado but one also ravaged thru northern St. Lucie County where it went thru the Spanish Lakes Community. 15 people from that community have been pronounced deceased at local hospital. Others missing. Worst tornados in Florida history?
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:flag:Hurricanes: Andrew 1992 - Irene 1999 - Frances 2004 - Jeanne 2004 - Katrina 2005 - Wilma 2005 - Matthew 2016 - Irma 2017 - Ian 2022 - Nicole 2022 - Milton 2024

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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion: Makes landfall near Siesta Key in Sarasota county / 120 mph

#5256 Postby Sciencerocks » Wed Oct 09, 2024 9:56 pm

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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion: Makes landfall near Siesta Key in Sarasota county / 120 mph

#5257 Postby storm_in_a_teacup » Wed Oct 09, 2024 9:58 pm

edu2703 wrote:
Steve wrote:
Meteorcane wrote:As predicted the backside of this system is no joke. A sensor set up by UF on the beach in Venice just measured sustained 92 gust 107... hopefully people don't think that just because it isn't raining, the winds won't be significant.  https://x.com/SheaGibsonWx/status/1844198360020095219



Some people wanted to down play. That was wrong. Effects are coming in multiple ways.


Milton's thread on r/tropicalweather is being spammed by idiots writing comments like 'overhyped storm', 'not big deal', 'media manipulation', 'NHC got it wrong',' It's not even a Cat 2. What a joke', etc. Moderators are working overtime to delete these comments.

I can be sure no one writing these comments is on Milton's path.


Well your first problem is you went on r/tropicalweather :lol:
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I know I can't straddle the atmosphere...just a tiny storm in your teacup, girl.

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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion: Makes landfall near Siesta Key in Sarasota county / 120 mph

#5258 Postby eastcoastFL » Wed Oct 09, 2024 9:58 pm

UTSARoadrunner4 wrote:
cheezyWXguy wrote:
Pipelines182 wrote:Looks like Tampa got spared again. Their mayor is going to regret telling people they would meet certain death if they didn’t evacuate.

These weakening storms really just don’t pack much punch in the wind department, do they? Cat 1 Beryl had more impressive winds over land from the videos I’ve seen.

Do you think that the people in the low lying evacuation zones wouldn’t face certain death if Milton had made landfall in St Petersburg and funneled the max storm surge into the bay? Knowing that such an outcome was well within the margin of error until basically this morning, do feel it would have been a wiser decision to gamble that many lives?


I’ve thought about this throughout the day. I knew there was going to be a point in time where people are going to chastise the Mayor of Tampa for what she said. Tbh it’s a “damned if you do, damned if you don’t” situation. Like you said, if she decided to be indifferent about Milton, and he made landfall at Clearwater, then people would be calling for her resignation for not being urgent enough. I can’t speak for most people, but I rather my elected official be urgent or even slightly dramatic with what’s presented to them than be lax. And I rather them be wrong but have my things to come home to. Rather than them being lax, wrong, and then I have to be rescued or put in a casket because they weren’t being urgent enough and I listened to them.


I agree 100%. Real leaders do what they have to in order to prevent loss of life. Consequences be dammed. And that’s what she did there. She didn’t want anyone to not take it as a life threatening event which it was
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion: Makes landfall near Siesta Key in Sarasota county / 120 mph

#5259 Postby TR772 » Wed Oct 09, 2024 10:01 pm

The east side of Vero beach is wrecked in places.
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion: Makes landfall near Siesta Key in Sarasota county / 120 mph

#5260 Postby CronkPSU » Wed Oct 09, 2024 10:03 pm

roof is coming off the Trop (Tropicana Field in St Pete, home of the Rays)

https://x.com/bc_johnson/status/1844207 ... FezRDDrNhw
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