Texas Fall 2024

[Edwards Limestone]

 https://x.com/NWSSanAntonio/status/1850732718059041115

[Stratton23]

Im hearing that La nina maybe struggling to develop, as chances for la nina have actually decreased since the last Enso update, maybe more of an ENSO Neutral winter could be in store

[CaptinCrunch]

**Updated**
October 1st-29th

AV Daily High - 85.6
AV Daily Low - 66.0
AV Monthly - 75.8 (Warmest October on Record 2016-AV Monthly 74.1)
DPTR FN Normal +7.7
Total Monthly Precip - T
DPTR FN Normal - -4.09

DFW Should see widely scattered showers Wednesday afternoon thru Thursday morning, that will kill the driest October on record, but with temps still running a good +10-15 degrees above normal the hottest October on record still looks to happen by a good bit. Currently we are running +1.7 degrees above the record set back in 2016.

[cstrunk]

Things are looking dicey for my wedding weekend, with rain now likely on Thursday and good chances on Friday too, as the front moves in and stalls out somewhere in the area. I'm hoping the front lifts far enough north/west on Saturday morning that the rain stays away for the wedding/reception in the afternoon/evening. It hasn't rained for 30+ days... just my luck...

[Yukon Cornelius]

Hey look our last day in the 90s once again..

[Ntxw]

It will finally feel like October...in November .

[Brent]

I know we want cold but I keep remembering the last 2 winters dumped cold before Thanksgiving and both the winters completely sucked... So maybe it's better we don't right now

Cause we have to have a better winter this year. Like I'm over it. It's not up for debate anymore

[CaptinCrunch]

Hey look our last day in the 90s once again..

Right, the DFW forecast high's for Today thru Friday, 88/85/85/72/72
The normal daily high for Oct 31st/Nov 1st is 71 degrees. But, according to that same forecast Sat/Sun will push back into the upper 70s to near 80.

[Ntxw]

Hey look our last day in the 90s once again..

Right, the DFW forecast high's for Today thru Friday, 88/85/85/72/72
The normal daily high for Oct 31st/Nov 1st is 71 degrees. But, according to that same forecast Sat/Sun will push back into the upper 70s to near 80.

Yep in a little over a week upper 70s is considered too warm.

[wxman22]

Updated Rainfall amounts from the WPC.

[Brent]

Dang Tulsa hit 90! Third latest on record!

Bring on the rain

[Quixotic]

Smells like 2005-2006. Godawful

[Quixotic]

The dry spell is insane. I can’t remember a fall like this. Throwing in 80s and 90s just makes me want to move.

[Brent]

The dry spell is insane. I can’t remember a fall like this. Throwing in 80s and 90s just makes me want to move.

Oh even up here I swear if we have another sucky winter I'm gonna seriously question our 9 inch average because something isn't adding up to have winters like this over and over. Like I'm fine not wasting cold right now but yeah

05-06 was better than the last two winters here at least

[Golfisnteasy7575]

The dry spell is insane. I can’t remember a fall like this. Throwing in 80s and 90s just makes me want to move.

When you have a -pdo off the charts and + epo, we shouldn't be surprised!!

[mmmmsnouts]

It can’t be good for the ecosystem when you keep getting these, like, 7-10 day runs with a lot of rain and then it’s weeks and weeks of warm and dry. The leaves on the trees are changing color, but not because it’s fall.

I already have my doubts about how long Texas will have a tolerable climate and enough water to go around… this is not helping.

[Quixotic]

The dry spell is insane. I can’t remember a fall like this. Throwing in 80s and 90s just makes me want to move.

Oh even up here I swear if we have another sucky winter I'm gonna seriously question our 9 inch average because something isn't adding up to have winters like this over and over. Like I'm fine not wasting cold right now but yeah

05-06 was better than the last two winters here at least

DFW had 14.5” of rain. I have a picture of a desiccated turtle with giant cracks in the soil. Grass fires everywhere. It was terrible.

[Stratton23]

EPS/ GEPS have a -NAO /- EPO/ —AO blocking pattern developing after the first week of november , very interesting

[Gotwood]

EPS/ GEPS have a -NAO /- EPO/ —AO blocking pattern developing after the first week of november , very interesting

We are due a snow storm for thanksgiving lol

[CaptinCrunch]

Halloween week heat across the country will shatter October records, More than 100 daily record highs from the southern Plains
to the Great Lakes are likely from Monday to Thursday this week.

The final few days of October will feature roughly 100 new daily record highs as the thermometer soars to summerlike levels Monday through Thursday.
For locations like Washington, D.C., and New York City, a forecast high near 80 degrees on Thursday will make it feel more like Labor Day in terms of the warm temperatures than Halloween.
Monday's high temperatures are expected to reach 15 to 25 degrees above average across the Great Plains and into parts of the South and Midwest.

This will mean temperature readings in the 80s and 90s for Texas and the Southwest with 60s and 70s for highs across the Upper Midwest. Unseasonably warm air heading East next week could make for a hotter-than-average Halloween in New York, Philadelphia, Boston and Raleigh-Durham. Highs in those locations are forecast to be at least 15 to 20 degrees above average. For example, New York City is forecasted to hit a high of 82 next Thursday; Boston is expected to hit 77 and Philadelphia 82. Those temperatures are more typical of early September than late October. Normal average highs there are 59, 57 and 62, respectively.

While the warm temperatures will prevent jackets from ruining costumes, warmer Halloweens are the future as October nights trend warmer due to the influence of human-driven climate change.
According to Climate Central, October nights have warmed in 216 U.S. cities (89% of 242 analyzed) by 3.3 degrees Fahrenheit on average since 1970.
The Midwest and Northeast will see cooler temperatures by Friday, but the South will stay hot into the weekend.

Warmer-than-normal temperatures are expected across the Midwest to all the way to the East through next week. On the flip side, Western states and the Rockies will see a cool-down, with temperatures likely at or below normal levels for this time of year. Along with the uncommon warmth, much of the U.S. is abnormally dry, with widespread drought conditions reported across a huge part of the country. Only eight states in the lower 48 are currently not experiencing moderate or more severe drought conditions, according to the most recent report from the U.S. Drought Monitor.