Texas Fall 2024

[snownado]

Lastly, this still ended up being the 9th driest October on record, as DFW picked up 0.21" on the last day of would would have otherwise been a futile month (because why not)...

[CaptinCrunch]

These nightly low temps of 73, 74 at the (checks notes) END OF OCTOBER are nuts. Reminds me of that December in 2021 where the average temps for the month blew the doors off the normals by 12 degrees.

After yesterday, DFW is at 76.1*F for the month (a whole 2*F higher than the previous warmest October on record).

That number should come down a bit after today, but still pretty impressive to the extent it was shattered (though not quite December 2021 shattered).

It won't drop unless today ends with a negative amount below the daily average, and todays high is still going to be above the normal average high of 71. I expect the New record to be about 75.5 which will be impressive with a solid 1.4 degrees over the previous record.

[Ntxw]

These nightly low temps of 73, 74 at the (checks notes) END OF OCTOBER are nuts. Reminds me of that December in 2021 where the average temps for the month blew the doors off the normals by 12 degrees.

After yesterday, DFW is at 76.1*F for the month (a whole 2*F higher than the previous warmest October on record).

That number should come down a bit after today, but still pretty impressive to the extent it was shattered (though not quite December 2021 shattered).

It won't drop unless today ends with a negative amount below the daily average, and todays high is still going to be above the normal average high of 71. I expect the New record to be about 75.5 which will be impressive with a solid 1.4 degrees over the previous record.

I didn't think we'd break it so soon given it was only back in 2016 (also a weak La Nina following El Nino with lots of global warmth) and that winter ended up being our warmest on record...

[CaptinCrunch]

After yesterday, DFW is at 76.1*F for the month (a whole 2*F higher than the previous warmest October on record).

That number should come down a bit after today, but still pretty impressive to the extent it was shattered (though not quite December 2021 shattered).

It won't drop unless today ends with a negative amount below the daily average, and todays high is still going to be above the normal average high of 71. I expect the New record to be about 75.5 which will be impressive with a solid 1.4 degrees over the previous record.

I didn't think we'd break it so soon given it was only back in 2016 (also a weak La Nina following El Nino with lots of global warmth) and that winter ended up being our warmest on record...

Why you got to go and bring that up

[snownado]

After yesterday, DFW is at 76.1*F for the month (a whole 2*F higher than the previous warmest October on record).

That number should come down a bit after today, but still pretty impressive to the extent it was shattered (though not quite December 2021 shattered).

It won't drop unless today ends with a negative amount below the daily average, and todays high is still going to be above the normal average high of 71. I expect the New record to be about 75.5 which will be impressive with a solid 1.4 degrees over the previous record.

I didn't think we'd break it so soon given it was only back in 2016 (also a weak La Nina following El Nino with lots of global warmth) and that winter ended up being our warmest on record...

Well even with December, 3 of the top 5 warmest were all within the last 10 years.

[Ntxw]

It won't drop unless today ends with a negative amount below the daily average, and todays high is still going to be above the normal average high of 71. I expect the New record to be about 75.5 which will be impressive with a solid 1.4 degrees over the previous record.

I didn't think we'd break it so soon given it was only back in 2016 (also a weak La Nina following El Nino with lots of global warmth) and that winter ended up being our warmest on record...

Why you got to go and bring that up

Being a winter lover that would ruin it for me. But can't lie and mask what's real. The longer I watch global temps and weather maps etc, the slow growth of true cold concerns me. Until something is in place can't help but get the feeling fantasy cold is 2 weeks out type winter, and end up above normal in real time.

Right now would not mind being hot, if cold were being balanced way to north just a matter of time. However its warm (relative) everywhere on the continent just about but a sliver in alaska and BC coasts.

[CaptinCrunch]

I didn't think we'd break it so soon given it was only back in 2016 (also a weak La Nina following El Nino with lots of global warmth) and that winter ended up being our warmest on record...

Why you got to go and bring that up

Being a winter lover that would ruin it for me. But can't lie and mask what's real. The longer I watch global temps and weather maps etc, the slow growth of true cold concerns me. Until something is in place can't help but get the feeling fantasy cold is 2 weeks out type winter, and end up above normal in real time.

Right now would not mind being hot, if cold were being balanced way to north just a matter of time. However its warm (relative) everywhere on the continent just about but a sliver in alaska and BC coasts.

Very true, and in fact I have been going back and forth with analog years of arctic sea coverage heading into November. While the growth of arctic sea ice has picked up from the middle of October, it is far behind in areas south of the pole. The rate of growth is slower in the southern arctic due to the extreme warmth over North America.

The June–August period is defined as the Northern Hemisphere's meteorological summer and the Southern Hemisphere's meteorological winter. The Northern Hemisphere summer 2024 temperature was the warmest on record, and marks the 46th consecutive summer with global temperatures nominally above the 20th-century average in the Northern Hemisphere. The Southern Hemisphere winter temperature also ranked warmest on record, and marks the 54th consecutive winter that was at least nominally warmer-than-average in the Southern Hemisphere.

June–August 2024 was the Northern Hemisphere's hottest meteorological summer on record, at 2.74 degrees F (1.52 degrees C) above average. The season, which also marks the Southern Hemisphere's winter, was the Southern Hemisphere's warmest winter on record at 1.73 degrees F (0.96 of a degree C) above average

There have been 15 consecutive months of record-hot global temperatures, spanning from June 2023 through August 2024. This breaks the previous record (May 2015 through May 2016) for longest record-warm global temperature streak in modern record (since 1980).

The truth is all around us, whether we choose to see or not. Summers will become hotter and last longer, while winters will continue to warm and grow shorter.

[Brent]

It's crazy in the same year we had a high of 6 here(colder than most winters) I feel like it's getting warmer and warmer... I mean I can't even believe its Halloween tbh ..

[CaptinCrunch]

It's crazy in the same year we had a high of 6 here(colder than most winters) I feel like it's getting warmer and warmer... I mean I can't even believe its Halloween tbh ..

Canada is truly beautiful

[snownado]

I didn't think we'd break it so soon given it was only back in 2016 (also a weak La Nina following El Nino with lots of global warmth) and that winter ended up being our warmest on record...

Why you got to go and bring that up

Being a winter lover that would ruin it for me. But can't lie and mask what's real. The longer I watch global temps and weather maps etc, the slow growth of true cold concerns me. Until something is in place can't help but get the feeling fantasy cold is 2 weeks out type winter, and end up above normal in real time.

Right now would not mind being hot, if cold were being balanced way to north just a matter of time. However its warm (relative) everywhere on the continent just about but a sliver in alaska and BC coasts.

There's also what I would describe as "microclimate" factors influencing DFW specifically too.

I'd go as far as to say those temp records pre-1950 or even pre-1970s aren't worth all that much because the region has increased in size eight-fold, with much more acute UHI effects accompanying that.

As an example, we're almost at the point now that nighttime lows in the 80s are the Summertime norm, which wasn't the case when the region wasn't nearly as developed/big 50 years ago.

Even with 1980, as much as we talk about the extreme dayttime temps that year, the nighttime temps weren't *AS* bad as some of the more recent top 10/20 hottest Summers.

[weatherdude1108]

Not sure what happened with the rainfall forecast, but we have had ZERO inches of rain so far today and it's 82 degrees imby. I think Mabry is going to end up with 0.01" officially for the month of October, 3.78" below normal, and an average daily temperature of 78.2, 6.4 degrees above normal.


https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=ewx

[Edwards Limestone]

Not sure what happened with the rainfall forecast, but we have had ZERO inches of rain so far today and it's 82 degrees imby. I think Mabry is going to end up with 0.01" officially for the month of October, 3.78" below normal, and an average daily temperature of 78.2, 6.4 degrees above normal.


https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=ewx

Same thing that always happens around here...we've now been in a horrible drought since 2020 really. Extremely frustrating.

I don't even take the rainfall forecasts seriously anymore- even if there's a good chance, it'll just be humid/drizzly anyway. Next summer is gonna be worse than 2011 if we keep it up.

[Iceresistance]

CMC, what are you doing!?


https://s1.gifyu.com/images/SOGlN.png

[CaptinCrunch]

CMC, what are you doing!?

https://s1.gifyu.com/images/SOGlN.png
https://s1.gifyu.com/images/SOGlN.png

Looks like the fantasy winter precipitation maps

They are pretty to look at though

[TropicalTundra]

can I blast Christmas music now?

[HockeyTx82]

can I blast Christmas music now?

Last time I checked we are still a free country, so do whatever you want.

[Iceresistance]

Brent, there is a 10 inch pixel over you on the new WPC map for 7 days out


https://s11.gifyu.com/images/SOJbT.png

[snownado]

These nightly low temps of 73, 74 at the (checks notes) END OF OCTOBER are nuts. Reminds me of that December in 2021 where the average temps for the month blew the doors off the normals by 12 degrees.

After yesterday, DFW is at 76.1*F for the month (a whole 2*F higher than the previous warmest October on record).

That number should come down a bit after today, but still pretty impressive to the extent it was shattered (though not quite December 2021 shattered).

It won't drop unless today ends with a negative amount below the daily average, and todays high is still going to be above the normal average high of 71. I expect the New record to be about 75.5 which will be impressive with a solid 1.4 degrees over the previous record.

75.7*F it is for the final October number at DFW...

[cstrunk]

0.20" Wednesday and 0.91" yesterday at my house. A welcome change.

Now if it could stop until after this weekend, that would be great for me!

[Ntxw]

Next 4 days will be mild for November, however it will be cloudy and rain for some and won't feel as warm as the warm stretches prior. Sunday we may tie or break the highest minimum for the date. Cooler the rest of the week closer to normal.