WPAC: YINXING - Post-Tropical

[Subtrop]

90W INVEST 241029 0000 7.0N 161.5E WPAC 15 1006

[Hayabusa]

Now low

ABPW10 PGTW 300000
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/300000Z-300600ZOCT2024//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/291951ZOCT2024//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA) :
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
(1) AT 29OCT24 1800Z, TYPHOON 23W (KONG-REY) WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.8N
125.5E, APPROXIMATELY 439 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, AND HAD
TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 125 KNOTS GUSTING TO 150 KNOTS.
SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 292100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
(2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 90W) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 6.0N
159.7E, APPROXIMATELY 981 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM. AMIMATED
MULTISPECTRAL STELLITE IMAGERY AND A 291947Z SSMIS 91GHZ SATELLITE
IMAGERY DEPICT A LOOSELY DEFINED AREA OF FLARING COVECTION WITH LOW LEVEL
STRUCURE BEGINING TO ORGANIZE AROUND THE CENTER. ENVIRONMANTAL ANALYSIS
REVEALS THAT INVEST 90W IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMNET FOR FURTHER
DEVELOPNMET, WITH GOOD EQUATORWARD DIVERGENCE ALOFT, VERY WARM SEA
SURFACE TEMPERATURES (31C), AIDED WITH LOW VERICAL WIND SHEAR (5-10 KTS).
GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT INVEST 90W WILL GENERALLY TRACK
NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE
ESTIMATED AT 13 TO 18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO
BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT
TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.
(2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST) :
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED LOW AREA IN PARA. 1.B.(1).//
NNNN

[Hayabusa]

Up to medium

ABPW10 PGTW 301800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/301800Z-310600ZOCT2024//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/301351ZOCT2024//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
(1) AT 30OCT24 1200Z, TYPHOON 23W (KONG-REY) WAS LOCATED NEAR
20.4N 123.6E, APPROXIMATELY 305 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN,
AND HAD TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 120 KNOTS GUSTING TO
145 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 301500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
(2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 90W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR
6.0N 159.7E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 5.6N 157.5E, APPROXIMATELY 92 NM
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF POHNPEI. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE
IMAGERY (EIR) DEPICTS A VERY BROAD AREA OF DENSE, PERSISTENT
CONVECTION WITH FRAGMENTED RAIN BANDS BEGINNING TO ORGANIZE AROUND THE
SOUTHERN PERIPHERY, AS WELL AS A 10311102Z METOPB ASCAT PASS REVEALING
A MORE SYMMETRICAL CIRCULATION. THE ENVIRONMENT IS FAVORABLE FOR
DEVELOPMENT WITH CONDUCIVE, VERY WARM (30-31CELSIUS) SEA SURFACE
TEMPERATURE VALUES, LOW (10-15 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND GOOD UPPER
LEVEL OUTFLOW. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT INVEST 90W
WILL TRACK GENERALLY NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 13 TO 18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA
LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS
IS UPGRADED TO MEDIUM.
(2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA 1.B.(1) TO
MEDIUM.//
NNNN

[Pasmorade]

Shame it just dissipated...

[Hayabusa]

Shame it just dissipated...

Some models are resurging on development... EPS 06Z...

[Hayabusa]

Back to low again...

[Hayabusa]

GFS 12z makes this a typhoon before a northern Luzon landfall

[Hayabusa]

Euro 12z also develops it to a typhoon too but it attempts to recurve

[Hayabusa]

ABPW10 PGTW 021800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/021800Z-030600ZNOV2024//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 90W) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 6.6N
140.7E, APPROXIMATELY 267 NM SOUTHEAST OF YAP. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL
SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS THE LOWER-LEVEL WINDS BEGINNING TO CONSOLIDATE
WITH THE CONVECTIVE BANDING STARTING TO WRAP AROUND THE LLCC.
ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES A MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR
DEVELOPMENT DUE TO LOW TO MODERATE (15-20 KNOT) VWS OFFSET BY GOOD
DIVERGENCE ALOFT WITH A POINT SOURCE TO THE SOUTH OF THE LLCC AIDING IN
DEVELOPMENT AND WARM (29-30C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. GLOBAL MODELS ARE
IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 90W WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK TO THE NORTHWEST
TOWARDS LUZON AND CONTINUE TO DEVELOP OVER THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS. HOWEVER,
GFS IS NOTABLY MORE AGGRESSIVE IN DEVELOPMENT THAN ECMWF ON THE LATEST
RUN. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS.
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL
FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS IS LOW.
(2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED LOW AREA IN PARA. 1.B.(1).//
NNNN

[Hayabusa]

12z

[cycloneye]

JMA has TD.

TD a
Issued at 2024/11/03 01:05 UTC
Analysis at 11/03 00 UTC
Grade TD
Scale -
Intensity -
Center position N8°00′ (8.0°)
E138°50′ (138.8°)
Direction and speed of movement WNW 30 km/h (17 kt)
Central pressure 1004 hPa
Maximum sustained wind speed near center 15 m/s (30 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 23 m/s (45 kt)

[cycloneye]

 https://x.com/EarthUncutTV/status/1852888184998539758

[Hayabusa]

JTWC TCFA

WTPN21 PGTW 030300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (INVEST 90W)//
RMKS/
1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN
200 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 7.9N 139.3E TO 15.0N 130.5E
WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY
ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME.
WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 18 TO 23 KNOTS. METSAT
IMAGERY AT 031730Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED
NEAR 8.6N 138.8E. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 21 KNOTS.
2. REMARKS: ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS THE LOW-
LEVEL WINDS CONSOLIDATING WITH CONVECTIVE BANDING WRAPPING AROUND THE
OBSCURED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS
INDICATES A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT DUE TO LOW TO MODERATE
(15-20 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, GOOD DIVERGENCE ALOFT WITH A POINT
SOURCE TO THE SOUTH, AND WARM (29-30C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. GLOBAL
MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 90W WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK TO THE
NORTHWEST TOWARDS LUZON AND CONTINUE TO DEVELOP OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM
SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR
THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS IS HIGH.
3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY
040300Z.//
NNNN

[Hayabusa]

EPS 18Z

[Hayabusa]

WDPN31 PGTW 030900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W (TWENTYFOUR)
WARNING NR 001//
RMKS/
1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS.
2. 6 HOUR SUMMARY AND ANALYSIS.

SUMMARY:
INITIAL POSITION: 9.7N 138.2E
INITIAL INTENSITY: 30 KTS
GEOGRAPHIC REFERENCE: 13 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF YAP
MOVEMENT PAST 6 HOURS: NORTHWESTWARD AT 17 KTS
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT: 19 FEET

SATELLITE ANALYSIS, INITIAL POSITION AND INTENSITY DISCUSSION:
ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) DEPICTS A COMPACT
SYSTEM WITH A SMALL BURST OF DEEP CONVECTION FIRING OFF NEAR THE
ASSESSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC), PASSING OVER OR VERY
NEAR YAP. A 030430Z AMSR2 COLOR ENHANCED 89GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE
REVEALED FRAGMENTED CONVECTIVE BAND WRAPPING INTO A SMALL LLCC JUST
SOUTHEAST OF YAP AT THAT TIME. SURFACE OBSERVATIONS FROM YAP SHOW
WINDS BACKING FROM NORTHEASTERLY AT 030000Z TO NORTH-NORTHWESTERLY
BY 030500Z AND THEN WEST-NORTHWESTERLY AT 030600Z AND FINALLY
WESTERLY BY 030700Z. MEAN SEA LEVEL PRESSURE BOTTOMED OUT AT
1003.9MB AT 030600Z AND THE COMBINATION OF WIND SHIFTS AND PRESSURE
READINGS STRONGLY SUGGEST THE LLCC PASSED JUST EAST AND THEN NORTH
OF YAP AROUND 0600Z. THE INITIAL POSITION IS ASSESSED WITH HIGH
CONFIDENCE BASED ON AN EXTRAPOLATION OF THE LLCC AS SEEN IN THE
AMSR2 IMAGERY AS WELL AS ANALYSIS OF THE SURFACE OBSERVATIONS NOTED
ABOVE. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS ASSESSED WITH MEDIUM CONFIDENCE,
HEDGED HIGHER THAN THE T1.5 DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM
PGTW AND KNES IN LIGHT OF EARLIER ASCAT AND OTHER SCATTEROMETER
DATA SHOWING A LARGE BAND OF SOUTHERLY WINDS IN THE EASTERN
HEMISPHERE EXCEEDING 25-30 KNOTS, WHICH ARE STARTING TO WRAP INTO
THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE CIRCULATION. THE IS FAVORABLE FOR
INTENSIFICATION, WITH LOW TO MODERATE (15-20 KNOTS) OF SHEAR, WARM
SSTS, AND MODERATE POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING
NORTHWEST AT A GOOD CLIP OF 17 KNOTS ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A DEEP-LAYER SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR) CENTERED FAR TO
THE NORTHEAST.

INITIAL WIND RADII BASIS: NOT APPLICABLE (THERE ARE NO INITIAL WIND
RADII).

CURRENT STEERING MECHANISM: SOUTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF A DEEP-LAYER
STR FAR TO THE NORTHEAST.

AGENCY DVORAK AND AUTOMATED FIXES:
PGTW: T1.5 - 25 KTS
RJTD: T1.0 - 25 KTS
KNES: T1.5 - 25 KTS

FORECASTER ASSESSMENT OF CURRENT ENVIRONMENT: FAVORABLE
VWS: 15-20 KTS
SST: 30-31 CELSIUS
OUTFLOW: MODERATE POLEWARD

ANALYSIS CONFIDENCE:
INITIAL POSITION: HIGH
INITIAL INTENSITY: MEDIUM
INITIAL WIND RADII: NOT APPLICABLE

3. FORECAST REASONING.

SIGNIFICANT FORECAST CHANGES: THIS INITIAL PROGNOSTIC REASONING
MESSAGE ESTABLISHES THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY.

FORECAST DISCUSSION: TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 24W (TWENTYFOUR) WILL
CONTINUE TO TRACK NORTHWESTWARD AT A STEADY 16 TO 17 KNOTS, ALONG
THE SOUTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE STRONG STR TO THE NORTHEAST, FOR
THE NEXT 48 TO 60 HOURS. AROUND TAU 60, THE SYSTEM WILL BEGIN TO
SLOW DOWN AS A PASSING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH MOVES BY TO THE NORTH,
INDUCING A BREAK IN THE RIDGE TO THE EAST OF TAIWAN. THE SYSTEM IS
ANTICIPATED TO BE STRONG ENOUGH BY THAT POINT TO RESIST THE URGE TO
PULL TOO FAR NORTH INTO THE FAIRLY WEAK BREAK IN THE STEERING
RIDGE, BUT A THE STEERING GRADIENT WEAKENS, TD 24W WILL SLOW DOWN.
BY TAU 72, A RELATIVELY SHALLOW (EXTENDING UP TO ABOUT 850-700MB)
WEDGE OF NORTHERLY FLOW WILL DIVE SOUTHWARD AS PART OF A COLD SURGE
EVENT. THIS NORTHERLY FLOW WILL SERVE TO SLOW THE FORWARD PROGRESS
OF TD 24W EVEN MORE, WITH TRACK SPEEDS EXPECT TO BE DOWN TO ABOUT
THREE KNOTS AFTER TAU 72. WHILE THE DEEP LAYER STEERING FLOW
REMAINS RELATIVELY WEAK AFTER TAU 72, THE LOW- TO MID-LEVEL
NORTH-NORTHEASTERLIES WILL HELP TO FORCE TD 24W ONTO A MORE
WESTWARD, OR EVEN WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD TRACK AFTER TAU 72. BY TAU 96,
THE STEERING GRADIENT WILL TIGHTEN UP ONCE AGAIN AS BUILDING STR
OVER HONG KONG EXTENDS EASTWARD OVER TAIWAN, WHICH WILL ACCELERATE
TD 24 TO THE WEST THROUGH THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. IN TERMS
OF INTENSITY, WHILE THE ENVIRONMENT IS FAVORABLE, IT IS NOT
EXCEPTIONALLY SO, AND MID-LEVEL SHEAR COULD BE A PROBLEM THROUGH
MOST OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. THUS, SLOW BUT STEADY INTENSIFICATION
IS EXPECTED THROUGH TAU 72, REACHING A PEAK OF 75 KNOTS BY THAT
POINT. AS THE SYSTEM CRASHES INTO THE COLD SURGE AFTER TAU 72,
RELATIVELY COOL AND DRY AIR WILL START TO GET INGESTED INTO THE
WESTERN PORTION OF THE SYSTEM, THE ONLY QUESTION IS HOW FAR INTO
THE CORE WILL IT PENETRATE, WHICH WILL BE HIGHLY DEPENDENT UPON THE
STRENGTH OF THE SYSTEM AT THAT POINT. INTENSITY IS EXPECTED TO PEAK
AND THEN SLOWLY DECREASE AFTER TAU 96 AS THE SYSTEM MOVES INTO
COOLER WATERS LEFT BEHIND BY STY 23W, WHICH COMBINED WITH THE DRY
AIR ENTRAINMENT WILL LEAD A STEADILY WORSENING ENVIRONMENT.

MODEL DISCUSSION: DETERMINISTIC TRACK GUIDANCE SHOWS A MODERATE
AMOUNT OF SPREAD THROUGH TAU 72, THOUGH ALL AVAILABLE GUIDANCE DOES
AGREE ON A GENERAL NORTHWESTWARD TRACK THROUGH THIS POINT IN THE
FORECAST. THE UKMET ENSEMBLE MEAN IS THE FURTHEST WEST OF THE
TRACKERS, WHILE NAVGEM IS THE MOST POLEWARD, WITH A 230NM SPREAD
BETWEEN THEM. AFTER TAU 72, THINGS GET A BIT SQUIRRELLY, THOUGH ALL
MODELS DO AGREE THAT THE SYSTEM WILL SLOW DOWN AT THIS POINT. WHERE
THEY TAKE THE SYSTEM AFTER THE SLOWDOWN VARIES WILDLY HOWEVER. THE
GFS DRIVES THE SYSTEM WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AND OVER NORTHERN LUZON BY
TAU 120, WHILE THE NAVGEM CONTINUES TRACKING THE SYSTEM NORTHWARD
TOWARDS MIYAKOJIMA, LEADING TO A 400NM SPREAD BY THE END OF THE
FORECAST PERIOD. THE GEFS AND ECENS MEAN TRACKERS ALONG WITH THE
CONSENSUS (NOT INCLUDING NAVGEM) TAKE THE SYSTEM WESTWARD INTO THE
EASTERN PART OF THE LUZON STRAIT. THE JTWC FORECAST LIES ON THE
NORTHERN EDGE OF GUIDANCE PACKAGE THROUGH TAU 72, THEN MOST CLOSELY
FOLLOWS THE GEFS, ECENS AND CONSENSUS MEAN THROUGH TAU 120.
INTENSITY GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT ON A STEADY RATE OF
INTENSIFICATION TO TAU 84, FOLLOWED BY A WEAKENING TREND
THEREAFTER. THE JTWC FORECAST IS CONSISTENT WITH THE CONSENSUS MEAN
THROUGH THE ENTIRE FORECAST.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE:
TRACK 0 - 72 HR: HIGH
TRACK 72-120 HR: MEDIUM
INTENSITY 0 - 72 HR: HIGH
INTENSITY 72-120 HR: MEDIUM//
NNNN

[Hayabusa]

JTWC up to TS in 12z while JMA still TD

[cycloneye]

JMA upgrades to TS Yinxing.

T2422(Yinxing)
Issued at 2024/11/03 19:05 UTC
Analysis at 11/03 18 UTC
Grade TS
Scale -
Intensity -
Center position N11°25′ (11.4°)
E134°30′ (134.5°)
Direction and speed of movement W 30 km/h (16 kt)
Central pressure 1002 hPa
Maximum sustained wind speed near center 18 m/s (35 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 25 m/s (50 kt)
Radius of 30-kt wind area 330 km (180 NM)

[WaveBreaking]

Surprised no one’s talking about Yinxing. It looks like it’s trying to pull a fast one imo

[underthwx]

Shame it just dissipated...

Some models are resurging on development... EPS 06Z...

https://i.imgur.com/FCjvB38.png

Looks as if Luzon may recieve impacts? I have family in that region, please forgive my concerns if I seem biased, i do care about everyone's well-being.

[underthwx]

Surprised no one!s talking about Yinxing. It looks like it’s trying to pull a fast one imo

https://i.imgur.com/d0f5Z5T.gif

Definitely looking formidable WB. And believe me, I'm paying attention.