Texas Fall 2024
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Re: Texas Fall 2024
20-27/28th ish,blocking looks to keep the cold air trapped in place for at least a week
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- vbhoutex
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Re: Texas Fall 2024
As much as I know about weather and patterns, I am having a hard time buying into this, even though we are far past the "normal" changeover to fall. An average high of 90.7F so far for this month!! Are you kidding me? I hope the current forecasting for this event is correct and will bring on a true changeover!
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- Iceresistance
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Re: Texas Fall 2024
Yukon Cornelius wrote:What time period are we talking about?
The week before Thanksgiving
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
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Re: Texas Fall 2024
Both the 12z GFS and CMC want to bring snow to north and east texas with the trough really digging deep down into mexico
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- TeamPlayersBlue
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Re: Texas Fall 2024
Keep showing a hurricane in the gulf, the models are awfully close to having this massive trough in the US merge with this hurricane. Still long range but holy moly.
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Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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Re: Texas Fall 2024
TeamPlayersBlue wrote:Keep showing a hurricane in the gulf, the models are awfully close to having this massive trough in the US merge with this hurricane. Still long range but holy moly.
My Florida friends are already losing their minds about that. I am trying to tell them how wildly unlikely a Cat 3 in that position would be at this point in the season and they’re not having any of it.
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Re: Texas Fall 2024
GFS 18z GFS keeps the blocking pattern in place for 2 weeks, with another cold air mass building in NW canada behind late next weeks big cold blast
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Re: Texas Fall 2024
Stratton23 wrote:GFS 18z GFS keeps the blocking pattern in place for 2 weeks, with another cold air mass building in NW canada behind late next weeks big cold blast
That run is a thing of beauty, please be real, take that in a heartbeat. Would love to see a good start to winter.
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The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
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Re: Texas Fall 2024
Ntxw I would too! But hopefully not a precursor for a front loaded winter, id hate to waste all the cold in the first half lol
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Re: Texas Fall 2024
Moral of the story here is the delivery pattern looks like it will provide us with meaningful cold season fronts rather than just brief cool spell. Quality of the cold air will determine how significant it is.
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The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
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Re: Texas Fall 2024
Ntxw wrote:Moral of the story here is the delivery pattern looks like it will provide us with meaningful cold season fronts rather than just brief cool spell. Quality of the cold air will determine how significant it is.
I think it is determined by the epo/wpo. If they are negative, then we have a reason to get excited imo
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- TeamPlayersBlue
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Re: Texas Fall 2024
I personally think the 06z is more likely. I think the highs will merge over the top of the poles and really lock in the low over the CONUS. I dont see how both highs can be so close to each other over the poles and not merge, which is what many of the models are showing.
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Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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Re: Texas Fall 2024
Tulsa AFD already talking about it
The rain should end from west to east Monday night and into
Tuesday as the upper support shifts northeast of the area, but
another system will quickly follow on its heels mid week. The
evolution of this system is the one to watch, with a few model
solutions supporting some potential for winter weather mid to late
week. Plenty of uncertainty regarding that system`s evolution
continue to exist, but it bears watching.
The rain should end from west to east Monday night and into
Tuesday as the upper support shifts northeast of the area, but
another system will quickly follow on its heels mid week. The
evolution of this system is the one to watch, with a few model
solutions supporting some potential for winter weather mid to late
week. Plenty of uncertainty regarding that system`s evolution
continue to exist, but it bears watching.
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#neversummer
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Re: Texas Fall 2024
Stratton23 wrote:Its coming, thats 100% for certain, just a question of how cold
GFS has backed off cold here looks like seasonal temps.
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