Texas Winter 2024-2025

Winter Weather Discussion

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ravyrn
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#821 Postby ravyrn » Tue Dec 24, 2024 8:25 pm

These dropped around 6:30pm near Slocum, Texas in Southeast Anderson County. These photos were taken about 30 minutes after the fact and after a very heavy rain. They were golf ball or ping-pong ball sized. I saw some stones drop on the porch that weren't uniformly formed into a sphere and were probably close to 3" wide. Interestingly enough all the stones that fell on the porch melted before I could get out. These photos were a few of many that remained on the ground. Biggest hailstorm I've ever experienced in my 41 years. This Christmas ain't Christmas'ing correctly.
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#822 Postby Cpv17 » Tue Dec 24, 2024 9:04 pm

Correct me if I’m wrong, but I think there’s a correlation between thunderstorms in the south and winter weather. I forgot where I heard this though.
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#823 Postby HockeyTx82 » Tue Dec 24, 2024 9:10 pm

Cpv17 wrote:Correct me if I’m wrong, but I think there’s a correlation between thunderstorms in the south and winter weather. I forgot where I heard this though.


Yes, there's an old saying that goes, “If there's thunder in the winter, snow will fall within ten days.” While it's not always scientifically accurate, this bit of folklore suggests a connection between thunderstorms and impending winter weather.

In reality, weather patterns can be complex, and while a thunderstorm may be followed by cold weather, it's not a guarantee. Nature has its own way of surprising us!

Are you bracing for winter weather soon?

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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#824 Postby Stratton23 » Tue Dec 24, 2024 9:15 pm

Cpv17 thats interesting, ive never heard of that
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#825 Postby ThunderSleetDreams » Tue Dec 24, 2024 9:42 pm

Cpv17 wrote:Correct me if I’m wrong, but I think there’s a correlation between thunderstorms in the south and winter weather. I forgot where I heard this though.


It’s played out frequently in the past 25 years. It’s quite uncanny.
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#826 Postby Cpv17 » Tue Dec 24, 2024 9:46 pm

Stratton23 wrote:Cpv17 thats interesting, ive never heard of that


Yeah man, it’s been around for awhile. I might’ve heard it from JB.
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#827 Postby Golfisnteasy7575 » Tue Dec 24, 2024 11:10 pm

I'm hopeful we can cash in while the cold pattern is here in january. If the pna is ultimately positive, we will be on the outside looking in most likely. Most niñas are front loaded, meaning if we don't cash in by mid january, that probably will be it. I know we have February, but typically a se ridge and trough is on west coast. Hopeful it don't happen, but something to watch for sure. That is why we only average what we average on snow every winter :grr:
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#828 Postby Texas Snowman » Tue Dec 24, 2024 11:52 pm

Wow, a tornado warning on Christmas Eve!

——————

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
1044 PM CST Tue Dec 24 2024

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CST FOR CENTRAL FAYETTE COUNTY...

At 1044 PM CST, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located 7 miles southeast of Muldoon, or 7 miles northwest of Schulenburg, moving east at 10 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado and ping pong ball size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely.

Locations impacted include... La Grange, Muldoon, Swiss Alp, Freyburg, Rutersville, O'Quinn, Rabbs Prairie, Floy, Ellinger, Plum, Ammannsville, Mullins Prairie, Nechanitz, and Holman.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris.

Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

&&

TIME...MOT...LOC 0444Z 270DEG 7KT 2977 9696

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.50 IN

$$
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#829 Postby Brent » Tue Dec 24, 2024 11:53 pm

I've heard that about snow 10 days after a storm before too and I can remember a couple big incidents where it didn't verify especially the 2015 tornado in DFW

Anyway I just hope we can get our snow sooner rather than later....I mean we'll probably have another chance in February or even March especially up here but I'd rather not wait after the last two winters have been so pathetic
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#830 Postby Iceresistance » Wed Dec 25, 2024 12:02 am

MJO is stuck in Phase 6
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Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#831 Postby Stratton23 » Wed Dec 25, 2024 12:06 am

Iceresistance wont be for much longer, it will be in phase 7 to start january
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#832 Postby Brent » Wed Dec 25, 2024 12:09 am

I haven't seen this so far SE yet

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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#833 Postby Quixotic » Wed Dec 25, 2024 12:15 am

2012: Tornado warnings in the morning turned into 6” of snow in Denton and Collin counties that evening. They shut down DNT and my crying 3 month old made me want to get out of the car and walk off into the storm.
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#834 Postby Stratton23 » Wed Dec 25, 2024 12:20 am

That 00z GFS is back with a vengeance with a big sdump of arctic air, has some snow in huntsville lol
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#835 Postby Brent » Wed Dec 25, 2024 12:31 am

Quixotic wrote:2012: Tornado warnings in the morning turned into 6” of snow in Denton and Collin counties that evening. They shut down DNT and my crying 3 month old made me want to get out of the car and walk off into the storm.


There was Christmas 2009 here too which went from storms to blizzard conditions in like 2 hours apparently... I'm still waiting for another storm like that :lol: it's crazy how Tulsa had two blizzards in back to back winters with February 2011 and nothing really close since. 2021 and the last somewhat big storm in 2022 didn't have much wind and the snow has been too light to matter since

Maybe some year
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#836 Postby Cpv17 » Wed Dec 25, 2024 1:19 am

45 day EPS snowfall forecast is damn near a continental glacier ..sheesh. Chance for snow all the way down into the RGV.
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#837 Postby Throckmorton » Wed Dec 25, 2024 2:01 am

Some GEFS mean forecasted temperatures in Oklahoma, northern Texas, and Austin for Jan. 8th (12/25, 00Z run):

43–23...Amarillo
52–39...Austin Camp Mabry
45–34...Dallas
38–26...Oklahoma City
36–25...Tulsa
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#838 Postby Lagreeneyes03 » Wed Dec 25, 2024 2:20 am

HockeyTx82 wrote:
Cpv17 wrote:Correct me if I’m wrong, but I think there’s a correlation between thunderstorms in the south and winter weather. I forgot where I heard this though.


Yes, there's an old saying that goes, “If there's thunder in the winter, snow will fall within ten days.” While it's not always scientifically accurate, this bit of folklore suggests a connection between thunderstorms and impending winter weather.

In reality, weather patterns can be complex, and while a thunderstorm may be followed by cold weather, it's not a guarantee. Nature has its own way of surprising us!

Are you bracing for winter weather soon?

Copilot search response


Well the TikTok meteorologists were touting a big southern snow/ice event for first week in January so maybe? I think it was way oversensationaized. Showed DFW getting a few inches of snow, and Arkansas with over a foot.
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#839 Postby Stratton23 » Wed Dec 25, 2024 6:09 am

GFS drops the arctic hammer again, another cold run
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#840 Postby gpsnowman » Wed Dec 25, 2024 9:06 am

Merry Christmas all you weather nuts!! Have a great day and may we all see a big snow this winter.
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