Texas Winter 2024-2025

Winter Weather Discussion

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Harp.1
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#2001 Postby Harp.1 » Fri Jan 03, 2025 12:12 am

As long as those vorts keep digging west, we all have a chance.
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#2002 Postby Quixotic » Fri Jan 03, 2025 12:16 am

Starting to think 1978 more than any other analogue
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#2003 Postby Brandon8181 » Fri Jan 03, 2025 12:17 am

Valid question, but why is the UKmet so dumb? Thoughts?
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#2004 Postby DW5522 » Fri Jan 03, 2025 12:18 am

The Sunday storm looks to lay down a heck of snowpack upstream. Hopefully it lingers around long enough to give the second front a little extra punch in north tx. One cold rain is all I can stomach.
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#2005 Postby Iceresistance » Fri Jan 03, 2025 12:20 am

Harp.1 wrote:As long as those vorts keep digging west, we all have a chance.

Barring the cold leaving too quickly, but the snowpack to the north won't let that happen
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Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#2006 Postby Iceresistance » Fri Jan 03, 2025 12:24 am

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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#2007 Postby CaptinCrunch » Fri Jan 03, 2025 12:24 am

Stratton23 wrote:Wow, Just wave after wave of cold on the GFS through the end of the run, with system after system


January is definitely showing us the money if you're a winter weather lover.

If January does play out to be this active the carry over to February should linger into Valentine's Day.

I think Monday's models will nail down about 75% of the puzzle for NTX. I'm more intrigued with what the models are seeing in the long range. If this parade of systems and continued waves of Arctic air materializes then January may end up looking like 1977/78 and hopefully that continues into February.
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#2008 Postby HockeyTx82 » Fri Jan 03, 2025 12:28 am



Okay if the GFS does not win out for North Texas at this point and we get a dusting or nothing I'll never take that model serious again.

I mean it's been sniffing this out for like 300hrs and it's just juicing it up the closer we get.....

What the heck
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#2009 Postby Ntxw » Fri Jan 03, 2025 12:29 am

Daily SOI has been running some negatives. Good sign for subtropical jet to wake up, espcially in cold ENSO.
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#2010 Postby Brandon8181 » Fri Jan 03, 2025 12:30 am

HockeyTx82 wrote:


Okay if the GFS does not win out for North Texas at this point and we get a dusting or nothing I'll never take that model serious again.

I mean it's been sniffing this out for like 300hrs and it's just juicing it up the closer we get.....

What the heck


Yup over 300 hours, and some of those runs were really good. It will be mind blowing if it verifies or close to verifies.
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#2011 Postby Cpv17 » Fri Jan 03, 2025 12:31 am

HockeyTx82 wrote:


Okay if the GFS does not win out for North Texas at this point and we get a dusting or nothing I'll never take that model serious again.

I mean it's been sniffing this out for like 300hrs and it's just juicing it up the closer we get.....

What the heck


Look how juiced up the snow over Kansas and Missouri has gotten over the past couple days. That’s a sign that things are favorable.
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#2012 Postby Iceresistance » Fri Jan 03, 2025 12:33 am

Euro is refusing to trend south for this weekend's system

All it did was jump west
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#2013 Postby Brandon8181 » Fri Jan 03, 2025 12:37 am

How do you post images? I see the image button, but what do you do beyond that? Sucks being old :(
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#2014 Postby Stratton23 » Fri Jan 03, 2025 12:39 am

That Euro run proces its the hellen keller of cold air, it cant see it at all
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#2015 Postby Harp.1 » Fri Jan 03, 2025 12:41 am

Stratton23 wrote:That Euro run proces its the hellen keller of cold air, it cant see it at all

Yet, it’s the model that had such frigid temperatures several days ago, isn’t it?
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#2016 Postby Stratton23 » Fri Jan 03, 2025 12:42 am

Harp.1 several days ago yep, but the Euro is absolutely worthless at seeing cold air, anything else its decent with, cold air it sucks
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#2017 Postby JayDT » Fri Jan 03, 2025 12:45 am



Wow :double: Oh man if this would verify…
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#2018 Postby TropicalTundra » Fri Jan 03, 2025 12:55 am

Brandon8181 wrote:How do you post images? I see the image button, but what do you do beyond that? Sucks being old :(


I use Imgur most of the time, but you can also use ImgBB.

Post an image on either of those sites, and copy the image address. Press the img button and make sure there’s no spaces between (so like [img]linktoimage[/img])
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#2019 Postby Gotwood » Fri Jan 03, 2025 12:56 am


This is my happy place
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#2020 Postby Brandon8181 » Fri Jan 03, 2025 12:56 am

TropicalTundra wrote:
Brandon8181 wrote:How do you post images? I see the image button, but what do you do beyond that? Sucks being old :(


I use Imgur most of the time, but you can also use ImgBB.

Post an image on either of those sites, and copy the image address. Press the img button and make sure there’s no spaces between (so like [url]linktoimage[/url] )


Thank you!
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