
That would be our best storm in 3 years if it verifies

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Ntxw wrote:EPS ticked up again. It's about as good as I've seen for our region for that model set. At least since Feb 21 down south/east.
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Norman OK
1233 PM CST Wed Jan 8 2025
OKZ004>031-033>040-044-TXZ086-089-090-091200-
/O.EXB.KOUN.WW.Y.0002.250109T1200Z-250110T1400Z/
Harper-Woods-Alfalfa-Grant-Kay-Ellis-Woodward-Major-Garfield-
Noble-Roger Mills-Dewey-Custer-Blaine-Kingfisher-Logan-Payne-
Beckham-Washita-Caddo-Canadian-Oklahoma-Lincoln-Grady-McClain-
Cleveland-Pottawatomie-Seminole-Harmon-Greer-Kiowa-Jackson-
Tillman-Comanche-Stephens-Garvin-Cotton-Wichita-Archer-Clay-
Including the cities of Alva, Buffalo, Kingfisher, Blanchard,
Prague, Enid, Arnett, Stroud, Temple, Guthrie, Medford,
Weatherford, Seiling, Oklahoma City, Scotland, Granite, Wewoka,
Frederick, Duncan, Cherokee, Gage, Okarche, Wellston, Tuttle,
Walters, Watonga, Blackwell, Stillwater, Leedey, Cheyenne,
Newcastle, Helena, Archer City, Wakita, Geary, Woodward, Norman,
Shattuck, Hammon, Hobart, Laverne, Perry, Taloga, Carmen, Hinton,
Lamont, Seminole, Wynnewood, Elk City, Lakeside City, Henrietta,
Vici, Moore, Holliday, Chickasha, Mustang, Cordell, Purcell,
Hennessey, Yukon, Clinton, Fargo, El Reno, Altus, Pauls Valley,
Fairview, Sheppard AFB, Shawnee, Hollis, Wichita Falls, Okeene,
Chandler, Burns Flat, Anadarko, Sentinel, Lawton, Meeker,
Lindsay, Concho, Davenport, Pond Creek, Snyder, Ponca City,
Sayre, and Mangum
1233 PM CST Wed Jan 8 2025
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM THURSDAY TO 8 AM CST
FRIDAY...
* WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations up to 2 inches.
* WHERE...Portions of central, east central, northern, northwest,
southern, southwest, and western Oklahoma and northern Texas.
* WHEN...From 6 AM Thursday to 8 AM CST Friday.
* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous
conditions could impact the Thursday morning and evening commutes.
wxman22 wrote:Wichita Falls is now under a winter weather advisory for up to 2 inches.
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Norman OK
1233 PM CST Wed Jan 8 2025
OKZ004>031-033>040-044-TXZ086-089-090-091200-
/O.EXB.KOUN.WW.Y.0002.250109T1200Z-250110T1400Z/
Harper-Woods-Alfalfa-Grant-Kay-Ellis-Woodward-Major-Garfield-
Noble-Roger Mills-Dewey-Custer-Blaine-Kingfisher-Logan-Payne-
Beckham-Washita-Caddo-Canadian-Oklahoma-Lincoln-Grady-McClain-
Cleveland-Pottawatomie-Seminole-Harmon-Greer-Kiowa-Jackson-
Tillman-Comanche-Stephens-Garvin-Cotton-Wichita-Archer-Clay-
Including the cities of Alva, Buffalo, Kingfisher, Blanchard,
Prague, Enid, Arnett, Stroud, Temple, Guthrie, Medford,
Weatherford, Seiling, Oklahoma City, Scotland, Granite, Wewoka,
Frederick, Duncan, Cherokee, Gage, Okarche, Wellston, Tuttle,
Walters, Watonga, Blackwell, Stillwater, Leedey, Cheyenne,
Newcastle, Helena, Archer City, Wakita, Geary, Woodward, Norman,
Shattuck, Hammon, Hobart, Laverne, Perry, Taloga, Carmen, Hinton,
Lamont, Seminole, Wynnewood, Elk City, Lakeside City, Henrietta,
Vici, Moore, Holliday, Chickasha, Mustang, Cordell, Purcell,
Hennessey, Yukon, Clinton, Fargo, El Reno, Altus, Pauls Valley,
Fairview, Sheppard AFB, Shawnee, Hollis, Wichita Falls, Okeene,
Chandler, Burns Flat, Anadarko, Sentinel, Lawton, Meeker,
Lindsay, Concho, Davenport, Pond Creek, Snyder, Ponca City,
Sayre, and Mangum
1233 PM CST Wed Jan 8 2025
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM THURSDAY TO 8 AM CST
FRIDAY...
* WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations up to 2 inches.
* WHERE...Portions of central, east central, northern, northwest,
southern, southwest, and western Oklahoma and northern Texas.
* WHEN...From 6 AM Thursday to 8 AM CST Friday.
* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous
conditions could impact the Thursday morning and evening commutes.
wxman22 wrote:Wichita Falls is now under a winter weather advisory for up to 2 inches.
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Norman OK
1233 PM CST Wed Jan 8 2025
OKZ004>031-033>040-044-TXZ086-089-090-091200-
/O.EXB.KOUN.WW.Y.0002.250109T1200Z-250110T1400Z/
Harper-Woods-Alfalfa-Grant-Kay-Ellis-Woodward-Major-Garfield-
Noble-Roger Mills-Dewey-Custer-Blaine-Kingfisher-Logan-Payne-
Beckham-Washita-Caddo-Canadian-Oklahoma-Lincoln-Grady-McClain-
Cleveland-Pottawatomie-Seminole-Harmon-Greer-Kiowa-Jackson-
Tillman-Comanche-Stephens-Garvin-Cotton-Wichita-Archer-Clay-
Including the cities of Alva, Buffalo, Kingfisher, Blanchard,
Prague, Enid, Arnett, Stroud, Temple, Guthrie, Medford,
Weatherford, Seiling, Oklahoma City, Scotland, Granite, Wewoka,
Frederick, Duncan, Cherokee, Gage, Okarche, Wellston, Tuttle,
Walters, Watonga, Blackwell, Stillwater, Leedey, Cheyenne,
Newcastle, Helena, Archer City, Wakita, Geary, Woodward, Norman,
Shattuck, Hammon, Hobart, Laverne, Perry, Taloga, Carmen, Hinton,
Lamont, Seminole, Wynnewood, Elk City, Lakeside City, Henrietta,
Vici, Moore, Holliday, Chickasha, Mustang, Cordell, Purcell,
Hennessey, Yukon, Clinton, Fargo, El Reno, Altus, Pauls Valley,
Fairview, Sheppard AFB, Shawnee, Hollis, Wichita Falls, Okeene,
Chandler, Burns Flat, Anadarko, Sentinel, Lawton, Meeker,
Lindsay, Concho, Davenport, Pond Creek, Snyder, Ponca City,
Sayre, and Mangum
1233 PM CST Wed Jan 8 2025
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM THURSDAY TO 8 AM CST
FRIDAY...
* WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations up to 2 inches.
* WHERE...Portions of central, east central, northern, northwest,
southern, southwest, and western Oklahoma and northern Texas.
* WHEN...From 6 AM Thursday to 8 AM CST Friday.
* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous
conditions could impact the Thursday morning and evening commutes.
Winter_Wisher wrote:I am choosing to only look at Euro model, most accurate with DFW getting 7-9 inches. Just trust me, I have no experience in this.
Stratton23 wrote:txtwister78 to be far the ensembles and most op runs were never bullish about anything happening next week, trame frame has always been late month, that looks like a potentially more potent arctic airmass centered more over the central US, might be our best opportunity for widespread winter weather across the entire state
Ntxw wrote:EPS ticked up again. It's about as good as I've seen for our region for that model set. At least since Feb 21 down south/east.
txtwister78 wrote:I think we've got two more weeks of winter to watch for before things begin to warm up heading into Feb. Too soon to say if winter is over after that but definitely looks as it stands right now that as we transition we could see one or two more shots before winter takes a break for a bit.
orangeblood wrote:Ntxw wrote:EPS ticked up again. It's about as good as I've seen for our region for that model set. At least since Feb 21 down south/east.
Yep, it's now clustering in the 6-10" range for DFW and continues to send a stronger signal to the FW NWS office. That office is now chasing totals and will likely continue doing so towards this ENS Mean range
https://images.weatherbell.com/meteogram/ecmwf-ensemble/KDFW/indiv_snow/1736337600/1736337600-hZtkYu4z3dU.png
HockeyTx82 wrote:orangeblood wrote:Ntxw wrote:EPS ticked up again. It's about as good as I've seen for our region for that model set. At least since Feb 21 down south/east.
Yep, it's now clustering in the 6-10" range for DFW and continues to send a stronger signal to the FW NWS office. That office is now chasing totals and will likely continue doing so towards this ENS Mean range
https://images.weatherbell.com/meteogram/ecmwf-ensemble/KDFW/indiv_snow/1736337600/1736337600-hZtkYu4z3dU.png
Okay so this is one model with an extreme, right? Why should we take this one verbatim that it's the actual solution? Or is it just crying out for attention and people are just avoiding it because it's so just left field?
txtwister78 wrote:Meanwhile the NBM trended a little lower and so it's going to be an interesting model "fight" to see what transpires with these accumulations. I just think something is wrong with the euro algorithm when it comes to these marginal events where it is overdoing snowfall totals in a big way but hey we won't have to wait long to figure all that out.
https://images.weatherbell.com/model/nbm-conus/tx/total_snow/1736348400/1736834400-UaTJkTzkg0s.png
orangeblood wrote:Ntxw wrote:EPS ticked up again. It's about as good as I've seen for our region for that model set. At least since Feb 21 down south/east.
Yep, it's now clustering in the 6-10" range for DFW and continues to send a stronger signal to the FW NWS office. That office is now chasing totals and will likely continue doing so towards this ENS Mean range
https://images.weatherbell.com/meteogram/ecmwf-ensemble/KDFW/indiv_snow/1736337600/1736337600-hZtkYu4z3dU.png
Ralph's Weather wrote:SHV expanded warning to include all of the former watch and added an advisory for counties south of I20. I see Advisories are now issued down to Del Rio for all of the Hill Country west of I-35.
To go along with that I expect them to upgrade grids to match here along I-20.
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