Texas Winter 2024-2025
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025
I’m not seeing any super cold temps showing on the models this morning. Looks to be a period of below normal temperatures with a few cold shots. Hopefully Winter weather will accompany.
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025
Gotwood wrote:I’m not seeing any super cold temps showing on the models this morning. Looks to be a period of below normal temperatures with a few cold shots. Hopefully Winter weather will accompany.
My MSN weather app has next Sunday and Monday not getting above 32 with precip?
I known it's an app but I wonder what it's seeing?
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Location: Ponder, TX (all observation posts are this location unless otherwise noted)
- bubba hotep
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025
This is an absolute classic North Pacific setup for extreme cold.

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Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.
Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025
Gotwood wrote:I’m not seeing any super cold temps showing on the models this morning. Looks to be a period of below normal temperatures with a few cold shots. Hopefully Winter weather will accompany.
Looks pretty darn cold to me. I guess we all have different definitions of “super cold” though.
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025
iorange55 wrote:Gotwood wrote:I’m not seeing any super cold temps showing on the models this morning. Looks to be a period of below normal temperatures with a few cold shots. Hopefully Winter weather will accompany.
Looks pretty darn cold to me. I guess we all have different definitions of “super cold” though.
Some posters were talking about single digits.
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- bubba hotep
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025
Gotwood wrote:iorange55 wrote:Gotwood wrote:I’m not seeing any super cold temps showing on the models this morning. Looks to be a period of below normal temperatures with a few cold shots. Hopefully Winter weather will accompany.
Looks pretty darn cold to me. I guess we all have different definitions of “super cold” though.
Some posters were talking about single digits.
Single digits are always hard to come by in Dallas.
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Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.
Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025
Gotwood wrote:I’m not seeing any super cold temps showing on the models this morning. Looks to be a period of below normal temperatures with a few cold shots. Hopefully Winter weather will accompany.
And, god willing, we won't see any "super cold" weather with a power grid held up by glue & popsicle sticks....
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025
snownado wrote:Gotwood wrote:I’m not seeing any super cold temps showing on the models this morning. Looks to be a period of below normal temperatures with a few cold shots. Hopefully Winter weather will accompany.
And, god willing, we won't see any "super cold" weather with a power grid held up by glue & popsicle sticks....
Wrong, it's Cow Manure and Wooden Fence Posts!
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025
TWC has the coldest air of the season here already which for beyond a week is something. It's never shown really cold air that far out all winter
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- wxman22
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025
There's an overrunning event setting up at the end of the 12z ICON run.


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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025
Gotwood wrote:iorange55 wrote:Gotwood wrote:I’m not seeing any super cold temps showing on the models this morning. Looks to be a period of below normal temperatures with a few cold shots. Hopefully Winter weather will accompany.
Looks pretty darn cold to me. I guess we all have different definitions of “super cold” though.
Some posters were talking about single digits.
No one knows how cold it’ll be yet. That’s still pretty far out there. Stick with the ensembles, not the operationals. Haven’t checked ensembles today yet, but last night they looked very cold for Texas.
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025
wxman22 wrote:There's an overrunning event setting up at the end of the 12z ICON run.
https://i.ibb.co/rysHNSP/500h-anom-conus-4.png
That looks too far west.
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025
It's not just the storm, it's that cold air is coming in with it. Teens and 20s.
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The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
- Texas Snow
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025
Caught this in the FWD AFS this morning
A slight warming trend and increasing moisture will follow
towards the end of the week with the return of the south flow.
Uncertainty increases during this period with the placement and
progression of the next upper level trough. For now, we will
continue to message a low chance for rain Friday into Saturday
across the eastern half of the region given the sufficient low-
level warm advection in place. Beyond this, some extended guidance
suggests that an active weather pattern may persist into the
following week. This could bring another surge of cold air along
with precipitation chances for portions of our area.
A slight warming trend and increasing moisture will follow
towards the end of the week with the return of the south flow.
Uncertainty increases during this period with the placement and
progression of the next upper level trough. For now, we will
continue to message a low chance for rain Friday into Saturday
across the eastern half of the region given the sufficient low-
level warm advection in place. Beyond this, some extended guidance
suggests that an active weather pattern may persist into the
following week. This could bring another surge of cold air along
with precipitation chances for portions of our area.
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- cheezyWXguy
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025
rwfromkansas wrote:wxman22 wrote:There's an overrunning event setting up at the end of the 12z ICON run.
https://i.ibb.co/rysHNSP/500h-anom-conus-4.png
That looks too far west.
Just hasn’t finished digging as of the end of that run. I agree with 22 that if that plays out further it would allow for a favorable streaming of moisture out of the pacific. Makes me a little concerned it would set up an ice or mixed precip event, which isn’t great if longer duration significant cold is really to follow. Too far out to do anything but speculate, hopefully if there is a storm it manages to pass through after the cold air establishes itself without too much suppression so that the full column is below freezing.
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025
Not falling for this again move that precipitation north 100 miles.
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025
Gotwood wrote:
Not falling for this again move that precipitation north 100 miles.
Maybe with Trudeau stepping down it'll be better
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Location: Ponder, TX (all observation posts are this location unless otherwise noted)
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- wxman22
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

rwfromkansas wrote:wxman22 wrote:There's an overrunning event setting up at the end of the 12z ICON run.
https://i.ibb.co/rysHNSP/500h-anom-conus-4.png
That looks too far west.
It’s not too far west it’s just that the ICON run stops before the trough moves further east.
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