Texas Winter 2024-2025

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Gotwood
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#5161 Postby Gotwood » Sun Jan 12, 2025 10:36 pm

Icon says -34 for Denver and a winter storm for us. This might be a wild arctic blast after all.
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#5162 Postby Gotwood » Sun Jan 12, 2025 10:38 pm

Ntxw wrote:0z ICON continues on the western camp with late this weekend's system and accompanying early cold front.

I googled it and that would be a record temp for Denver. Pretty wild and with that HP sitting in Colorado and a winter storm I don’t even want to know how cold it would get in NTX.
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#5163 Postby wxman22 » Sun Jan 12, 2025 10:39 pm

Image
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#5164 Postby gpsnowman » Sun Jan 12, 2025 10:41 pm

-34 in Denver is total insanity.
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#5165 Postby Gotwood » Sun Jan 12, 2025 10:42 pm

gpsnowman wrote:-34 in Denver is total insanity.

-53 wind chill.
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#5166 Postby Ntxw » Sun Jan 12, 2025 10:43 pm

ICON is low 20s at DFW and teens in West Texas before snow moves in.
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#5167 Postby cheezyWXguy » Sun Jan 12, 2025 10:44 pm


I can see why the icon is breaking out precip in this panel, the 500mb system clearly digs far enough south to tap pacific moisture. And with temps in the teens, I imagine those snowfall ratios would be quite impressive. Wouldn’t take much qpf to produce some decent totals.
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#5168 Postby jasons2k » Sun Jan 12, 2025 10:57 pm

Haven’t posted much but I’ve been checking a couple times a day, pretty concerned about an ice storm down here.

Oh look, the 540 thickness line is south of DFW this time
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#5169 Postby gpsnowman » Sun Jan 12, 2025 11:06 pm

Our Denver man TeamPlayersBlue is in for a frigid treat.
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#5170 Postby Ntxw » Sun Jan 12, 2025 11:18 pm

0z GFS though isn't ICON you can see it has shifted westward with the trough (this weekend.) Beyond that it still has the trough progressive.
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#5171 Postby gpsnowman » Sun Jan 12, 2025 11:19 pm

Ntxw wrote:0z GFS though isn't ICON you can see it has shifted westward with the trough (this weekend.)

So not a full on cave but headed that way?
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#5172 Postby Harp.1 » Sun Jan 12, 2025 11:24 pm

Gfs still says no.
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#5173 Postby Ntxw » Sun Jan 12, 2025 11:26 pm

gpsnowman wrote:
Ntxw wrote:0z GFS though isn't ICON you can see it has shifted westward with the trough (this weekend.)

So not a full on cave but headed that way?


Just for that early system. It hasn't caved yet for the brutal cold, modest cold but brunt is locked up in Midwest.
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#5174 Postby Gotwood » Sun Jan 12, 2025 11:32 pm

Ntxw wrote:
gpsnowman wrote:
Ntxw wrote:0z GFS though isn't ICON you can see it has shifted westward with the trough (this weekend.)

So not a full on cave but headed that way?


Just for that early system. It hasn't caved yet for the brutal cold, modest cold but brunt is locked up in Midwest.

GFS looks like the outlier at this point. The position of the HP on the Euro and ICON were nearly identical.
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#5175 Postby Stratton23 » Sun Jan 12, 2025 11:33 pm

Based on tonight’s runs, the GFS is quickly becoming an outlier to the rest of the guidance
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#5176 Postby Stratton23 » Sun Jan 12, 2025 11:35 pm

Sweet mother of Jefferson Davis! That 00z CMC is jaw dropping
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#5177 Postby Gotwood » Sun Jan 12, 2025 11:35 pm

I’m trying not to get ahead of myself but CMC showing insane cold too
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#5178 Postby Ntxw » Sun Jan 12, 2025 11:37 pm

Stratton23 wrote:Based on tonight’s runs, the GFS is quickly becoming an outlier to the rest of the guidance


Yeah, CMC is a tad dry, but very cold. It would be closer to the Euro. GFS vs the world, it better not get this wrong or we will bash it until 2026.
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#5179 Postby Harp.1 » Sun Jan 12, 2025 11:40 pm

It will be interesting to see if the Euro sticks to its guns.
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#5180 Postby Ntxw » Sun Jan 12, 2025 11:41 pm

12z Euro
Image

0z CMC
Image

0z GFS for 22nd.
Image
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