Texas Winter 2024-2025

[Brent]

I dunno someone from OKC said this morning it may be March before any real warmth

[Ntxw]

Initial front is crossing Oklahoma, will swing through NTX tonight and the rest of the state tomorrow morning. It will be reinforcing shots of cold the next few days as we get deeper into the colder air mass.

https://i.imgur.com/TVZ5DVO.png

https://i.imgur.com/RBQwO6T.gif

What’s the MJO looking like?

MJO still has a good week of favorable movement, it will move through the MC while weakening. It won't have as strong an influence but technically still not favorable through those phases until it re-emerges in the WHEM. After the first few days of February we will likely see a possible flat Aleutian ridge appear and that will warm the southeast up and eventually us with canonical Nina. That's the ugly pattern of the past few years.

[Steve]

Initial front is crossing Oklahoma, will swing through NTX tonight and the rest of the state tomorrow morning. It will be reinforcing shots of cold the next few days as we get deeper into the colder air mass.

https://i.imgur.com/TVZ5DVO.png

https://i.imgur.com/RBQwO6T.gif

What’s the MJO looking like?

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/ ... r_wh.shtml

Pick your favorites. Massive amplification through 2 and 3. If it was hurricane season someone would be in trouble next week or so.

[txtwister78]

Just glanced at the Euro Weeklies and that pretty much says get your winter fix in while you can, because February definitely looks warmer (at least for now).

[Stratton23]

Yall can call me the unofficial cold miser on this board lol, I absolute loath anything over 60 degrees here haha

[txtwister78]

That sucks lol, anything over 50 degrees here in the winter is just beyond miserable

I read you, but not exactly uncommon when you consider our climate/region, but more importantly think about how the forecast busted for January. It's going to finish as a very cold month overall for much of the state and that's pretty significant down here so could've been much worse.

[Steve]

Yall can call me the unofficial cold miser on this board lol, I absolute loath anything over 60 degrees here haha

There are plenty of cold places you don’t have to deal with it. Nunavut has your name on it.

[Stratton23]

Steve too extreme for me, my ideal range is uppers 20’s to low 40’s, lived in norway for several years, snowed almost every day in the winter, lovely times

[Steve]

Steve too extreme for me, my ideal range is uppers 20’s to low 40’s, lived in norway for several years, snowed almost every day in the winter, lovely times

Haha. I’ll take freaky winter sleet and snow but as a born and raised Gulf of Mexican, I like my 90’s (and 60’s and 70’s in the winter). You’ll get some happy days next week. My teeth will be chattering. .

[Stratton23]

Steve haha i get that! I also lived in dubai for a couple of years so i definitely have had my fair share of hot days lol , next week should be fun for everyone, better than a big ice storm for sure

[Steve]

NAM 12k is running and out to 54 on TT and 60 on pivotal. Next couple of cycles will be in range.

[Quicksilver17]

Steve too extreme for me, my ideal range is uppers 20’s to low 40’s, lived in norway for several years, snowed almost every day in the winter, lovely times

Haha. I’ll take freaky winter sleet and snow but as a born and raised Gulf of Mexican, I like my 90’s (and 60’s and 70’s in the winter). You’ll get some happy days next week. My teeth will be chattering. .

Steve,

I am with you on Sleet/Snow. I hope we get record snowfall amounts in the Houston/Tomball area - if some of the models pan out. I was stationed in Germany and also loved working in Denver for a short time. I love a good winter like that! I don't miss the summers we have even though I am a Native Houstonian. I do agree with Strat that the temps only need to be around the mid 20s though.

[Ntxw]

Yall can call me the unofficial cold miser on this board lol, I absolute loath anything over 60 degrees here haha

I am with you on this. May-September is hot enough, let the cold months be cold! Anything above 50 is no bueno for me in DJF.

[Quixotic]

I hate summer.

[Stratton23]

Mid 20’s on the nam12k 00z, nasty ice/ sleet storm in se texas, warm nose shows its ugly head, yuckkk

[Steve]

I hate summer.

Haha. I hated school so summer is automatically great. I’ll be in a button up in concrete downtown New Orleans and it’s 98 and I’m smiling.

Nam giving hope to a lot more of hill country and RGV. It ends about 5am Tuesday before the snow kicks in. Looking good. Houston getting ice then (12km Nam)
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysi ... 1800&fh=84

[wxman22]

The front just went through here.These winds are gusty already had a wind gust officially at the airport/base of 43 mph. And the temps are dropping fast.

[txtwister78]

Mid 20’s on the nam12k 00z, nasty ice/ sleet storm in se texas, warm nose shows its ugly head, yuckkk

Yup. Closer call across SC TX where it's more sleet and snow

[fendie]

0Z 12-km NAM Steve is referencing from 12 pm Monday - 6 am Tuesday. Plenty more mesoscale model watching over the next couple days.

[Gotwood]

0Z 12-km NAM Steve is referencing from 12 pm Monday - 6 am Tuesday. Plenty more mesoscale model watching over the next couple days.

https://i.imgur.com/x7rlgGd.gif

Of course that snow is just going to disappear in OK lol.