Texas Winter 2024-2025

[txtwister78]

I think the Euro moved a little toward the GFS/CMC tonight. Tomorrow should be fun.

[Gotwood]

I think the Euro moved a little toward the GFS/CMC tonight. Tomorrow should be fun.

Just went back in time and looked at posts leading up to last storm. Euro very early I think 7 days did well and then it wasn’t until 2 days before the storm most models started to see what ended up happening for the most part. You were pretty spot on the entire time so Kudos to you.

[Stratton23]

Well based on the trends tonight, looks like I need to go out and by myself a pair of ice skates, because i’ll probably need them soon lol

[TropicalTundra]

3k NAM run very interesting. The snowband up north gets pretty far south but slowly dissipates just short of DFW. Abilene might get a few flurries, again might still be too dry

[Brent]

Wow at the Winter Storm Watch from Lake Charles already.....5-7 inches possible

This could be a historic storm down there

[TropicalTundra]

3k NAM run very interesting. The snowband up north gets pretty far south but slowly dissipates just short of DFW. Abilene might get a few flurries, again might still be too dry

Front also just passed through here at 3:50

[Ralph's Weather]

Euro is not seeing the warm nose that other models are seeing. With a Gulf low always bet on the warm nose winning. Canadian has the warm nose but given it's cold leanings it still has northern SE TX as snow. GFS has the line more like North of College Station to Jasper. NAM has the line similar to GFS but it has a big QPF hole over SE TX. I will continue to say I feel like the jackpot area to be in for show is Lufkin and I would take my chances on the moisture in E TX vs fighting warm nose in SE TX. I know many in SE TX are excited by this storm but it looks like a messy mix for all of SE TX. I feel very comfortable saying DFW gets more snow than Houston out of this one.

[kassi]

My forecast for Beaumont. NWS Lake Charles does ours.
While slightly optimistic, I'll believe it when I see it.




This was 3 hours ago. Snow chances have gone up.
I'm not 3 miles east of Beaumont, btw. I'm in Beaumont.

[Ralph's Weather]

I see that watches have gone up in SE TX. The watch is for snow on particular. Personally I think the watch I warranted but I would focus on sleet and freezing rain potential down there. Guess we will see if the Euro wins in saying no warm nose, but that's not where I would bet.

[Ivanhater]

Ralph, we need you again

Map for 06z Euro by chance?

[Ralph's Weather]

Ralph, we need you again

Map for 06z Euro by chance?

Posted a summary on the other thread. Generally 6Z models hold course on what each have been showing recently. No consensus yet but the models.

[sphelps8681]

Wow at the Winter Storm Watch from Lake Charles already.....5-7 inches possible

This could be a historic storm down there

I am in the watch as well. I am about 45 miles west of Lake Charles. If I only new how to share pics I would post some.

[Steve]

Wow at the Winter Storm Watch from Lake Charles already.....5-7 inches possible

This could be a historic storm down there

I am in the watch as well. I am about 45 miles west of Lake Charles. If I only new how to share pics I would post some.

The way it works is you link them from a host site. If it’s NWS which we can hotlink to, you right click on the image and copy image link. This is the code:

[ img ] paste of your image link [ / img ]
^^ just remove the spaces between the brackets so it’s open bracket img close bracket, image link and open bracket forward slash img close bracket with no spaces. That’s how it works on desktop. Mobile is more complicated.

[3090]

I see that watches have gone up in SE TX. The watch is for snow on particular. Personally I think the watch I warranted but I would focus on sleet and freezing rain potential down there. Guess we will see if the Euro wins in saying no warm nose, but that's not where I would bet.

Watches posted all the way over to SELA for 4”-6” snow totals by the NWS. It’s on now! Let’s geaux!

[kassi]

Wow at the Winter Storm Watch from Lake Charles already.....5-7 inches possible

This could be a historic storm down there

I am in the watch as well. I am about 45 miles west of Lake Charles. If I only new how to share pics I would post some.

I'm on my phone. I did screenshots of the NWS forecasts. I then cropped them to the days I wanted to post. I went to https://imgbb.com/ and uploaded both screenshots (one at a time) and then copied their "BBCode full linked" url and posted it here. Your forecast is very similar to the one I posted though.

[Ralph's Weather]

I see that watches have gone up in SE TX. The watch is for snow on particular. Personally I think the watch I warranted but I would focus on sleet and freezing rain potential down there. Guess we will see if the Euro wins in saying no warm nose, but that's not where I would bet.

Watches posted all the way over to SELA for 4”-6” snow totals by the NWS. It’s on now! Let’s geaux!

I think it's wild that they are that confident along and south of I10. I would go less than 2" sleet and snow for Beaumont and Lake Charles ranging up to 4 to 8" snow as you get north of Jasper. There is a solid chance that Beaumont doesn't get any snow.

[UTSARoadrunner4]

06z GFS: Areas primarily between I-20 and US 190 see snow at first. Snow line eventually moves south to US 290/SH 105. South Louisiana hits the motherload at the 90 hour mark. SE Texas also gets in on the fun too.

06z Canadian: Larger snow event at the 84 hour mark, from Permian Basin to North Louisiana. Southernmost snow line is from Del Rio, to Austin, to near Deweyville, to Eunice, LA. Basically a slushy, sleety mess along the I-10 corridor, in Texas, at the 90 hour mark. From 90 to 96 hour mark, areas from Lumberton, TX all the way to Central Alabama see the heavier amounts of snow. This includes my Cajun & Creole folks in The Boot.

At this point, ICON is my best friend. Snow starts in the East Texas (College Station, Huntsville, Nacogdoches, Waxahachie) at the 72 hour mark, then makes it way to the coast. At the 78 hour mark, Bexar County finally gets included in the snow games. Snow line is from near Eagle Pass to Harris/Galveston County line, to Lake Ponchartrain.
From 81 hour to 87 hour mark, the Coastal Plains and parts of South Texas have their fun.

[jasons2k]

The initial front has been long advertised as coming through here Midday Saturday. When I woke up the wind was already blowing out of the north.

[Portastorm]

The initial front has been long advertised as coming through here Midday Saturday. When I woke up the wind was already blowing out of the north.

Yep. The stronger winds and much colder air is lagging about 12 hours behind frontal passage.

[Ralph's Weather]

ICON seems too cold and suppressed. 23F and snow for Beaumont Tue morning is unlikely. It has the low pretty far south in the Gulf. I don't but that; these things trend north not south as the event nears.