Deep South Winter 2024-2025

[3090]

Well I updated my post from 'historic' to 'big' so as to not be so carried away because they have had 8 inches over there before, but 12 inches would be historic.

. When did New Orleans get 8” of snow???

Way back in 1895, but I remember not that long ago where the north shore got 8" via a freak ULL. Video's on YouTube, at least it used to be. We didn't even get a flake over here.

<edit> 2008. This link says 4-6 inches, but I remember seeing reports up to 8 on the north shore.
https://wgno.com/weather/will-new-orlea ... oric-snow/

There was documented 10” amounts in the Hammond/Pontchatoula area from family and friends with a tape measure shown stuck in the snow!

[Steve]

3090, you in the city or across the lake?

[Janie2006]

The last time I’ve seen such model consistency over *days* now for a Southern snowstorm?

1993. This could be a generational storm for the Deep South.

Meanwhile, 06z Euro has my Mobtown probabilities of snowfall greater than an inch up over 70% now.

[TallyTracker]

Thanks for the info Ralph. Feels like we are in uncharted territory over here

Within 100 hours and models all show accumulating snow for the Florida Panhandle and an ice storm from Tallahassee to Jacksonville to Charleston. Wonder if the recent Big Bend hurricanes will mitigate possible tree damage in that area since weak limbs likely have been pruned by hurricane winds.

I am hoping that but not confident. Probably in Perry, Madison and Lake City. Tallahassee we only got grazed. None of our trees know how to handle ice. I’m expecting epic tree carnage if we get ice.

[Steve]

Thanks for the info Ralph. Feels like we are in uncharted territory over here

Within 100 hours and models all show accumulating snow for the Florida Panhandle and an ice storm from Tallahassee to Jacksonville to Charleston. Wonder if the recent Big Bend hurricanes will mitigate possible tree damage in that area since weak limbs likely have been pruned by hurricane winds.

I am hoping that but not confident. Probably in Perry, Madison and Lake City. Tallahassee we only got grazed. None of our trees know how to handle ice. I’m expecting epic tree carnage if we get ice.

Y’all have the most trees of any city I’ve ever been to. And I’m from New Orleans.

[Kingarabian]

 https://x.com/webberweather/status/1880505712797000034

[Ivanhater]

Yeah, the euro ensemble trend is insane!

[Kingarabian]

ICON continues to be the most suppressed out of the four. Euro/GFS/CMC most bullish. Of course once we get into the NAM range that's a whole different story. It correctly sniffed out mainly sleet for NC last week while every other model showed snow for most areas.

[Ivanhater]

12z Nam is just sleet for the coast

[Kingarabian]

12z Nam is just sleet for the coast

It does have warm bias but who knows in this case.

[Ivanhater]

12z suite starting. Icon going. Let's see if it continues the less suppressed like it did at 06z

[cajungal]

https://share.icloud.com/photos/008bCl7 ... 5iFham3Oag

[Ivanhater]

12 continues the trend north....now heavier snow along the Gulf coast

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[cajungal]

12 continues the trend north....now heavier snow along the Gulf coast https://uploads.tapatalk-cdn.com/20250118/412a404f39a30cf053da268da9e2372f.jpg

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4.3 for me just SW of New Orleans! I will take it

[MississippiWx]

12 continues the trend north....now heavier snow along the Gulf coast https://uploads.tapatalk-cdn.com/20250118/412a404f39a30cf053da268da9e2372f.jpg

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Yep. Coming back north a bit. 6z runs other than the icon were a little more suppressed. It will be interesting to see if the north trends have stopped.

[Ivanhater]

12z rgem ..big hit for Gulf coast



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[Ivanhater]

The Rgem is the higher resolution Canadian so I am hoping the 12z Canadian brings that snow line all the way down to the coast

[BigB0882]

Do you happen to have a snow total map for that model?

[Ivanhater]

12z GFS brings snow line further toward the coast

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[MississippiWx]

Yep. So much for those northern shifts. Looks like those have stopped for now.