txtwister78 wrote:longhornweather wrote:Portastorm wrote:
Good points/comments! It’s not easy decision-making to be certain. But IMO the call didn’t need to made so early, especially with today being a holiday. They had time. And granted, I make these comments assuming the model trends for less QPF verify. Of course it doesn’t take much to create travel havoc … I’ve seen 0.05” of FZDZ shut this town down. So we shall see.
Meanwhile we have a very good, astute TV met here named Avery Tomasco. This morning he’s been all over this coming event and has noticed greater moisture return inland and earlier than anticipated. Furthermore the NAM is now showing more moisture inland and reversing the meso model trends for less precip. Yeah, I know it’s the NAM … lol … but one must hang his hat on whatever hook he can find.
It’s interesting and for some reason the Canadian has held firm with bringing solid accumulation to the Austin area. I’ve been waiting for it and the RGEM to cave but it hasn’t happened as of yet.
Some of these models are obviously going to be wrong in a big way and so we wait to find out which one.
The cloud deck advancing northward several hours ahead of schedule gives me some hope of a little more snow for areas along and north of IH-10. We're also already seeing areas of precipitation develop across south TX, which is also a bit earlier than expected. Promising trends this morning...we'll see how it all plays out tonight!