Texas Winter 2024-2025

[wxman57]

Here are all the 12Z models for D-FW. Nothing too extreme. A dry cold. Nothing remotely like 2021.

https://wxman57.com/images/DFW12ZFeb15.jpg

[wxman22]

The front made it through here about 20 minutes ago, winds are gusting out of the NW at 30 mph.

[wxman22]

[Brent]

NW of OKC

[gpsnowman]

https://i.ibb.co/m56tBPZT/image-2025-02-15-155217663.png

The purple blob has shifted ever so slightly to the west and south compared to the previous graphic

[Brent]

Weatherbug actually has a below zero low here

Yes it's gonna be short lived but it may be just as cold as the big outbreaks lately

[Stratton23]

Interesting that the 18z Euro has a secondary shortwave moving in from the west coast, still cold air in place, breaking out freezing rain in central texas at day 6, though its light

[rwfromkansas]

I just want enough for a snow day, that could just be light ice with the cold. Lol

Snow is zero chance so…

[orangeblood]

The goal post moving on this thread is something else…..the entire discussion last week was which model picked up on the Arctic Outbreak in the longer range sooner than the others, 7-10 days out. It was never about the 3-5 day range. The GFS was last to see it by far and that was our entire point about it being a poor performer outside of 6-7 plus days. It almost always place catch up. It’s due to its well documented low resolution outside of 7 days, it’s usually always late to the party and it was no different this time around. It had a high of 50F at DFW from 8 days out for this Thursday, Euro had 28F. NWS office currently has a forecast high of 32F. Pretty clear which one will be more accurate from that range and picked up on the pattern change way before the other, regardless of whether it “warms” a little from where it was in long range.
The GFS is a decent model from 4-5 days out but outside of that it doesn’t perform as well compared to the Euro and even CMC during Arctic Outbreaks. The skill scores in the 7–10 day range and even the physics of the model bear this out, I’m not just making this up out of thin air.

Not really interested in the nuances of a few degrees here or there in the 3-5 day range, all globals get fairly accurate and converge at that range. My comments are strictly for the medium to longer range and stand by them regarding the GFS. Haven’t seen much to change my mind this time around either, it was lost until just a couple of days ago

[Brent]

Winter weather advisory now here for up to an inch of snow tonight. Accumulating snow in OKC

I'm telling you we've overperformed on every winter event here

And someone just posted about a possible blizzard on Tuesday

[GeauxTigers]

Winter weather advisory now here for up to an inch of snow tonight. Accumulating snow in OKC

I'm telling you we've overperformed on every winter event here

And someone just posted about a possible blizzard on Tuesday

Hope y’all get a ton and enjoy it. Hoping NTX at least gets some freezing rain or anything.

[Brent]

Pretty decent burst tbh

https://streamable.com/9kzlgl

[HockeyTx82]

Speaking of cold, canada just booed our Anthem again at the NHL 4 Nations Tournament.

3 fights broke out in the first 9 seconds.

Game is on Ch 8 ABC

Nothing like a cold front with wind howling out of the north, to watch a good hockey game.

vs canada

[Brent]

If this is a preview of Tuesday



I heard nonstop sirens for 5 minutes

[gpsnowman]

:froze:

If this is a preview of Tuesday

https://i.ibb.co/xtpsrz7H/IMG-20250215-194754826-HDR.jpg

I heard nonstop sirens for 5 minutes

I think Tulsa will be pretty close to the jackpot zone Tuesday -Wednesday. Pics or it didn't happen!!!

[Brent]

Wowser if this is a preview of Tuesday

https://streamable.com/5nrtzw

[Brent]

[Gotwood]

:cold:

https://i.ibb.co/ycRxjq7V/IMG-20250215-204105717-HDR.jpg

Just remember this for next winter when it’s your turn to miss out on the fun lol.

[GeauxTigers]

Speaking of cold, canada just booed our Anthem again at the NHL 4 Nations Tournament.

3 fights broke out in the first 9 seconds.

Game is on Ch 8 ABC

Nothing like a cold front with wind howling out of the north, to watch a good hockey game.

vs canada

Amierica first. And love winter weather.

[Brent]

:cold:

https://i.ibb.co/ycRxjq7V/IMG-20250215-204105717-HDR.jpg

Just remember this for next winter when it’s your turn to miss out on the fun lol.

This is making up for the last two winters where it barely snowed i guess

I knew that wasn't normal up here. 3 inches in 2 years finally a year where we hit average at least