Texas Winter 2024-2025

[Iceresistance]

heck no to pacific air, im turning on my fan and blowing that junk far out of texas , it doesnt belong here

I don't mind it if it only lasts maybe a week or so after this cold

This isn't last winter tho, that was when the pacific air would not stop.

[Stratton23]

Iceresistance thats true, last winter was really bad with the pacific air, either way i detest it, may need to look at alaska or northern canada for a new home down the road, im getting awfully tired of the spring weather down here, i definitely have an acquired taste for hating warmth

[gpsnowman]

Shouldn't favorable MJO phases have a say so in our late Feb into March timeframe? Hoping for at least some wetter weather as we head to spring.

[txtwister78]

While we wait for our cold next week, the I-95 corridor folks (across the NE) continue to scratch their heads in astonishment at the possibility that the GFS may end up getting the win over the Euro up there robbing them of their blizzard. Bastardi refusing to cave just yet but he acknowledges it now. Euro/EPS had over a foot of snow across that region and now it's caved to the GFS taking most of the QPF out to sea as opposed to cutting north along the coast.

[wxman57]

No significant changes with 12Z Models. I added in the NAM (pink). It's near the colder ICON for Wed AM but near the warmest (GFS) by Wednesday PM. Hard freeze for you folks up in the D-FW area, light freeze of SE TX. No big deal. My pilot remains on vacation as this winter comes to a close this week. I always like reaching mid-February, as I know that the warmth of spring is very near. Bring on the heat!

MAWA!!

https://wxman57.com/images/HOU12ZFeb16.jpg



https://wxman57.com/images/DFW12ZFeb16.jpg

[orangeblood]

DFW has the potential to set 3 All-Time records for Feb 19 & 20th this week, all time low temp of 18F on the 20th along with Max Low Minimums of 31F (19th) and 35F (20th). There is nothing “normal” about this Arctic Outbreak for North Texas, it’s potentially historic for this time of year!

[gpsnowman]

No doubt. I am excited about the cold. Can't wait to witness the wind shift with a rapid drop in temperatures. I don't want freezing rain at all so dry cold is better than no cold. It's just a few days then warmth begins.

[rwfromkansas]

Iceresistance thats true, last winter was really bad with the pacific air, either way i detest it, may need to look at alaska or northern canada for a new home down the road, im getting awfully tired of the spring weather down here, i definitely have an acquired taste for hating warmth

In an ideal world I could do a job with a warm home and a cold one to move back and forth lol.

The NWS issued an extreme cold watch for all the talk of moderating.

Still looks dry darn it.

[Brent]

Springfield mentioning 14 inches possible but right now Tulsa probably closer to 3-5 inches

Weird storm so far I would have expected more of a south shift with the Arctic air and so far it's just not happening. I mean 3-5 is ok but more of a what could have been if that's the end result

[rwfromkansas]

My Kansas hometown looks to get another 7-8 inches.

Absolutely epic winter up there this year. Wish I was there.

Too bad teacher salaries stink.

[Brent]

TWC almost straight snow here but is it right

Most of the models have us losing a lot of snow at the onset to sleet and freezing rain with plunging temps???

[wxman22]

The Extreme Cold Watch was expanded and now includes most of the northern half of the state.

[wxman57]

DFW has the potential to set 3 All-Time records for Feb 19 & 20th this week, all time low temp of 18F on the 20th along with Max Low Minimums of 31F (19th) and 35F (20th). There is nothing “normal” about this Arctic Outbreak for North Texas, it’s potentially historic for this time of year!

I doubt anyone will remember it in a few years. Just a couple of hard freezes with no precip. The models were wrong about extreme cold last week (lower single digits). We had record highs last week in some areas. Just a brief cold shot before spring. Fortunately, barely a light freeze in Houston.

[Portastorm]

Some interesting comments in the afternoon forecast discussion out of NWS Austin/San Antonio … the cold may stick around longer than initially pronged and now a wintry mix possibility exists for Friday. To stratton23’s credit, he mentioned this showing up in the models yesterday. At least for south central Texas, this could end up being more than a cold nothing-burger.

[Stratton23]

Portastorm yeah ive been watching the trends over the past 24 hours, definitely some icing potential exists in central texas , that being said it looks pretty light if it occurs at all, but that also being said, even just a very light coating of ice can turn a bridge into a skating rink, definitely worth watching over the next 2-3 days

[txtwister78]

DFW has the potential to set 3 All-Time records for Feb 19 & 20th this week, all time low temp of 18F on the 20th along with Max Low Minimums of 31F (19th) and 35F (20th). There is nothing “normal” about this Arctic Outbreak for North Texas, it’s potentially historic for this time of year!

I doubt anyone will remember it in a few years. Just a couple of hard freezes with no precip. The models were wrong about extreme cold last week (lower single digits). We had record highs last week in some areas. Just a brief cold shot before spring. Fortunately, barely a light freeze in Houston.

Agreed. Good news is the threat of dangerous cold (wind chill threat in particular) should be more limited in scope to late evening/early morning hours across the watch area when most folks are hopefully sheltered (hopefully warming centers will be available for those in need) as temps rebound quickly in the afternoon even across a good portion of the watch area.

Hill Country, Central and even parts of N Central regions now climb above freezing Wed afternoon and that actually stretches a little further north Thursday afternoon. In fact, NWS San Angelo and NWS DFW now have highs Thursday even warmer in the afternoon to around 40 degrees thanks to sunny skies so that's encouraging. Hopefully those numbers continue to climb a bit but encouraging that we're not talking about sustained long periods of below freezing temps that some models had last week.

[wxman22]

We're getting in range of the higher resolution models starting tonight. The RAP shows a decent sized shield of what looks to be moderate to "heavy" freezing drizzle Tuesday moving east towards the Metroplex at the end of the run.

[Brent]

Over 12 hours of snow on TV wow that's not even including the onset freezing rain or whatever it is

If that happens I don't see us only getting a couple inches

[bubba hotep]

We're getting in range of the higher resolution models starting tonight. The RAP shows a decent sized shield of what looks to be moderate to "heavy" freezing drizzle Tuesday moving east towards the Metroplex at the end of the run.

https://i.ibb.co/SXb4FMdk/download-31.png

https://i.ibb.co/Xry6x5Ws/download-32.png

It will be a race of the surface cold vs. the mid-level drying. Which one wins out?

[Brent]

Icon with 15 inches here on the Kuchera map this is crazy trends so close

The mix pushing further away from here seems to be the trend