Texas Winter 2024-2025
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.

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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025
Looks like the initial wind shift is through Ponder, about an hour ago. Just checked the home weather station.
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Location: Ponder, TX (all observation posts are this location unless otherwise noted)
Location: Ponder, TX (all observation posts are this location unless otherwise noted)
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025
Regarding March, honestly, it may be too late for real winter by that point, but anything to keep the temps into a more reasonable level is fine with me. Hold off those 80s.
I think the front is nearly here in north Fort Worth from the radar and my home station showing the wind just switched to the northeast.
This is WELL above schedule.
I think the front is nearly here in north Fort Worth from the radar and my home station showing the wind just switched to the northeast.
This is WELL above schedule.
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025
Stratton23 wrote:Doesnt look like winter is done in the first week of march, not from what ive been seeing and hearing from folks like ryab maue, even if its just 60’s and 40’s, bring it on! Sure beats the heck out of those 80’s any day of the week!
Check out the GFS around hour 300
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- bubba hotep
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025
The front is sloshing through the northern burbs but hasn't reached the urban core yet.
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Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.
Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025
rwfromkansas wrote:Regarding March, honestly, it may be too late for real winter by that point, but anything to keep the temps into a more reasonable level is fine with me. Hold off those 80s.
I think the front is nearly here in north Fort Worth from the radar and my home station showing the wind just switched to the northeast.
This is WELL above schedule.
Historically speaking March gets more snow/more events than December for DFW. Especially before the 15th. It just hasn't been so lately due to the very warm late winters.
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The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025
Good point about early March still being good timing for North TX.
FYI, front is here in Saginaw/north FW.
My temp has gone from 50 to 43 and wind from the north.
FYI, front is here in Saginaw/north FW.
My temp has gone from 50 to 43 and wind from the north.
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025
Ntxw wrote:rwfromkansas wrote:Regarding March, honestly, it may be too late for real winter by that point, but anything to keep the temps into a more reasonable level is fine with me. Hold off those 80s.
I think the front is nearly here in north Fort Worth from the radar and my home station showing the wind just switched to the northeast.
This is WELL above schedule.
Historically speaking March gets more snow/more events than December for DFW. Especially before the 15th. It just hasn't been so lately due to the very warm late winters.
Yep, the Easter 2007 April snow gives us all hope.
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025
Sleeting at 19°F, seems like I got a crazy warm nose
Earlier, it was freezing mist, the 12z OUN sounding had a double warm nose
Earlier, it was freezing mist, the 12z OUN sounding had a double warm nose
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025
Brent wrote::cold:15 degrees
Still at least 8 hours to go maybe more
https://i.ibb.co/HDf1vB6B/IMG-20250218-115901737-HDR.jpg
Snow at 15 degrees. Amazing.
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025
Not showing up well on radar but 8F and snowing in Amarillo. 22F also light snow in Lubbock. Front is coming through Dallas and Collin counties now.
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The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025
If you like winter weather in north texas, ensembles are showing a pretty decent setup for that part of the state in early march, -EPO blocking, trough centered over the central to SW US , TPV anchored over hudson bay, some resistance from the SE ridge which can be a good thing, might not be a bad set up for early march in north texas, but at least the first half of march looks below normal temperature wise for most of the state, nothing crazy, but definitely cooler than average looks like a good bet
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025
Harp.1 wrote:Stratton23 wrote:Doesnt look like winter is done in the first week of march, not from what ive been seeing and hearing from folks like ryab maue, even if its just 60’s and 40’s, bring it on! Sure beats the heck out of those 80’s any day of the week!
Check out the GFS around hour 300
Freezing rain and sleet in March in Houston seems most unlikely, but we're getting once or twice a decade cold snaps 4 of the last 5 winters. If the 300 hour GFS was correct adjusted for its poor handling of cold air, that would be snow. I don't know when the GFS is correct at 300 hours.
Ensemble suggests precip isn't a problem, but temps would be 30 degrees above snow/ice.
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025
Can someone please post a good radar that shows mist? It’s coming down at a pretty good clip in my parts but nothing showing on the radars I have.
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025
Stratton23 wrote:If you like winter weather in north texas, ensembles are showing a pretty decent setup for that part of the state in early march, -EPO blocking, trough centered over the central to SW US , TPV anchored over hudson bay, some resistance from the SE ridge which can be a good thing, might not be a bad set up for early march in north texas, but at least the first half of march looks below normal temperature wise for most of the state, nothing crazy, but definitely cooler than average looks like a good bet
MJO 1-2-3 in March > guidance.
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The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
- wxman57
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025
rylo7956 wrote:I was just thinking if this front could cause Lake effect Snow. Couple of years ago Coppell got almost 1.5 inches of lake effect snow and with water temps in the low 50's maybe we see a repeat tonight
On Christmas Eve, 1983, a strong Arctic front had moved through SE TX. On the south shore of Clear Lake, they recorded an inch of lake-effect snow in the strong north wind. That was a brutally cold period, with single-digit lows in Houston and highs in the lower 20s. We were below freezing for nearly 5 full days.
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- wxman57
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025
Gotwood wrote:Can someone please post a good radar that shows mist? It’s coming down at a pretty good clip in my parts but nothing showing on the radars I have.
Mist droplets are generally too small to show up on radar.
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025
3F up near Perryton and 81F down near Brownsville.

El Paso will hardly feel this at all as the cold air doesn't really make it up there. Same extremes in New Mexico, Clayton 10F, Santa Fe...what cold?

El Paso will hardly feel this at all as the cold air doesn't really make it up there. Same extremes in New Mexico, Clayton 10F, Santa Fe...what cold?
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The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
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