Texas Winter 2024-2025
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.

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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025
Down to 30 IMBY, so rapidly falling.
It's just a race of how far will it dry out before things can stick? Already seeing dry pavement in spots.
It's just a race of how far will it dry out before things can stick? Already seeing dry pavement in spots.
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- wxman22
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025
You can see the localized snow bands on this radar.
https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/? ... 00-usa-rad
https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/? ... 00-usa-rad
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025
We've been getting some decent rain showers here in Austin and it looks like the front is about to move through the city soon. Are we expecting this rain to come to a screeching halt once it blows through? It seems like the temp is dropping like a rock right behind it. I love my moisture, however I hope things dry out before we hit freezing. 

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Resident Rain Miser
I am a weather hobbyist living 3.5 miles south of Downtown Austin and in no way or fashion should anything I say concerning forecasts be taken seriously. Please check your local NWS for accurate weather forecasting and conditions.
I am a weather hobbyist living 3.5 miles south of Downtown Austin and in no way or fashion should anything I say concerning forecasts be taken seriously. Please check your local NWS for accurate weather forecasting and conditions.
- txtwister78
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025
JDawg512 wrote:We've been getting some decent rain showers here in Austin and it looks like the front is about to move through the city soon. Are we expecting this rain to come to a screeching halt once it blows through? It seems like the temp is dropping like a rock right behind it. I love my moisture, however I hope things dry out before we hit freezing.
Should be ok. Some models like the 3km NAM try to bring a little freezing drizzle in at midnight but NWS didn't mention it in their AFD so they don't seem to be too concerned. Would be very quick in duration though and wind should also help to minimize or dry whatever does manage to fall (If anything) but still something to keep an eye on just in case overnight into early morning hours.
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025
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Don't hold me accountable for anything I post on this forum. Leave the real forecasting up to the professionals.
Location: Ponder, TX (all observation posts are this location unless otherwise noted)
Location: Ponder, TX (all observation posts are this location unless otherwise noted)
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025
https://streamable.com/ov226s
Its trying but it's a mighty struggle with the wind... Probably barely an inch here

Its trying but it's a mighty struggle with the wind... Probably barely an inch here

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#neversummer
Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025
Took a while but temps finally starting to free fall down to 25 IMBY now hit 32 around 1:45ish
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025
HockeyTx82 wrote:https://www.weather.gov/fwd
The returns by WF, is that what might get DFW later on?
I’m praying it pushes our way. My area is in a dry lull right now.
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025
NWS DFW twitter mentioned possibly of LES this evening around area lakes.
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025
SPC RAP based analysis has elevated CAPE around 500 J/Kg, not great, HRRR is between 500 and 1000J/Kg above the stable surface layer. Shear is 60 knots, not bad.
The storms approaching Houston from the SW may have small hail, which is as close to winter precip as we are likely to get. I can't post images from work. I can't see most images either.
The storms approaching Houston from the SW may have small hail, which is as close to winter precip as we are likely to get. I can't post images from work. I can't see most images either.
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025
If it does happen, it will be when the upper shortwave comes across and moistens the mid levels, then it's up to the wind blowing persistently near the surface.


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The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025
Think we we get a warmup / thaw out for about a week after this Arctic blast , but already by day 9-10 on the GFS and ensembles, we see the EPO going negative again and the TPV setting up around hudson bay with a deep trough setting up over the central US, MJO going into 1-2-3 late february and first week of march, think it wont be until the 2nd half of march where spring takes hold, until then, Winter holds all the cards in the deck
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025
Stratton23 wrote:Think we we get a warmup / thaw out for about a week after this Arctic blast , but already by day 9-10 on the GFS and ensembles, we see the EPO going negative again and the TPV setting up around hudson bay with a deep trough setting up over the central US, MJO going into 1-2-3 late february and first week of march, think it wont be until the 2nd half of march where spring takes hold, until then, Winter holds all the cards in the deck
One thing about the +PNA, it's hard to keep sustained warmth when flow is NW. We'll definitely get periods given it's late February climo but it may underachieve from the long range to medium range, until the next colder regime.
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The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025
Down to 27 so getting into danger zone.
Just may not be wet enough.
Just may not be wet enough.
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- wxman22
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025
Still getting moderate snow here! The wonderful thing is that the snow will stick around for a few days.





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- txtwister78
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025
rwfromkansas wrote:Down to 27 so getting into danger zone.
Just may not be wet enough.
That's a good thing. Hopefully it stays that way. Doesn't take much though.
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025
wxman22 wrote:Still getting moderate snow here! The wonderful thing is that the snow will stick around for a few days.![]()
https://i.postimg.cc/N0Q3r4kn/IMG-0983.jpg
https://i.postimg.cc/yYqqh9h7/IMG-0985.jpg
Does the cold up there feel different from the cold down here?
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025
rwfromkansas wrote:Down to 27 so getting into danger zone.
Just may not be wet enough.
Are we supposed to be getting more drizzle/misting tonight?
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