2025 Storm2k North Atlantic Hurricane Season Numbers Poll

[cycloneye]

Information for the members about the graphics mainly the second one. The bottom one is for members who apart from the numbers, add the ACE, and that is why as of this post, there are 4 members that have not added ACE and are not on that graphic. Again, many thanks to USTropics for providing them for the poll. By the way, considering is only march 11, the poll has begun in a good way on participation.

[chris_fit]

12/7/3 ACE: 125 Final

[cycloneye]

12/7/3 ACE: 125 Final

#16 at list.

[Woofde]

16-8-4, ACE: 140. Above average, but nothing crazy, that's my preliminary guess.

[AtlanticWind]

I am going with 17/7/3 preliminary numbers. Ace 131

[cycloneye]

I am going with 17/7/3 preliminary numbers. Ace 131

Added as #18 on the list.

[wxman57]

I have a question - what does #4 in the rules mean?

4-Unnamed Storms that may form in the North Atlantic basin will count as part of the numbers.

I thought we were predicting the number of named storms, not unnamed storms. Who decides what would qualify as an "unnamed storm"? Can you provide an example of such a storm that would count? The NHC doesn't report unnamed storms in the yearly totals. On rare occasions, they could upgrade a depression or a low pressure area to a TS or STS when the seasonal post-storm reports come out, but these are not issued until the following year.

[cycloneye]

I have a question - what does #4 in the rules mean?

4-Unnamed Storms that may form in the North Atlantic basin will count as part of the numbers.

I thought we were predicting the number of named storms, not unnamed storms. Who decides what would qualify as an "unnamed storm"? Can you provide an example of such a storm that would count? The NHC doesn't report unnamed storms in the yearly totals. On rare occasions, they could upgrade a depression or a low pressure area to a TS or STS when the seasonal post-storm reports come out, but these are not issued until the following year.

Hi wxman57. Took out that part. I dont remember why it was there as it was a few years back.

[chaser1]

Please correct my 14/6/2 forecast to show as "preliminary" (not final).

[cycloneye]

Please correct my 14/6/2 forecast to show as "preliminary" (not final).

Done.

[WaveBreaking]

I’m going with 17/6/3 and an ACE of 135 (preliminary). I feel like we’ll see more junk this year compared to 2024.

[tolakram]

14/6/2 ACE 100 FINAL

My wild guesses have been correct twice in 10 years.

[cycloneye]

14/6/2 ACE 100 FINAL

My wild guesses have been correct twice in 10 years.

Let's see if this year you nail it again. The poll has 20 on the list with your numbers.

[ElectricStorm]

16/6/2 ACE 105 preliminary

[kanye]

22/11/7 240 FINAL

[cycloneye]

22/11/7 240 FINAL

#22 on the list

[sasha_B]

I'm going to say 18/9/5 (preliminary; will update with a final prediction in May). I'm generally expecting this season to be pretty similar to last season by the numbers, although not nearly so bizarre in terms of their distribution. May be a bit bullish, but we've had a long run of above-average seasons and given the potential for a La Nina or favourable neutral ENSO phase + the low likelihood of 2024's peak-season "shutdown" repeating itself, I don't think that the cooler-but-still-high Atlantic SSTs are going to be a strong enough countervailing force for 2025 to buck that trend entirely.

[TampaFl]

17/6/5 Ace 125 Preliminary

[cycloneye]

As of March 13 at 1:40 PM EDT, the average from the 24 participants according to the graphics is 16/9/4.

[kevin]

16/8/5 - 145 ACE

Preliminary.