2025 WPAC Season

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Hayabusa
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2025 WPAC Season

#1 Postby Hayabusa » Fri Dec 20, 2024 5:54 am

2024 wasn't that active in ACE, after El Nino ended in early 2024, the rest of the year was in a neutral state and the latest 3 month ONI it's still in cool neutral but other indices like the RONI says La Nina. Moving to 2025 latest CPC predictions show a higher percentage probability of ENSO neutral for 2025, an ENSO neutral for the Pacific typhoon season could mean more ACE just as much if not more than an El Nino season or you know it could end like 2024 again, the coupled ocean-atmosphere are not in sync... well I still predict above average maybe I'll be finally right for 2025 :P

Unless 98W becomes a named storm and/or a year end/crossover named TC forms as the GFS is hinting, here are the next names.
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ヤンデレ女が寝取られるているのを見たい!!!
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically

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Re: 2025 WPAC Season

#2 Postby xtyphooncyclonex » Fri Dec 20, 2024 10:17 am

Assuming nothing gets named from here on in 2024, 2025 starts with the exact same name in 2019 (Pabuk).

Having a two seasons with the same is rare because of the continuous naming convention, in contrast to the EPac/Atl. It did come close (2009 ran one name ahead of 2003).
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Re: 2025 WPAC Season

#3 Postby cycloneye » Mon Feb 24, 2025 10:56 am

Will this years typhoon season has it's first cyclone after May 25th or it has something before that date when in 2024, the first one, Ewiniar developed?
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Re: 2025 WPAC Season

#4 Postby cycloneye » Sun Mar 16, 2025 7:26 am

cycloneye wrote:Will this years typhoon season has it's first cyclone after May 25th or it has something before that date when in 2024, the first one, Ewiniar developed?


Almost a month after I posted that, and basin is still sleeping. :sleeping:
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Re: 2025 WPAC Season

#5 Postby Hayabusa » Sun Mar 16, 2025 9:33 am

cycloneye wrote:
cycloneye wrote:Will this years typhoon season has it's first cyclone after May 25th or it has something before that date when in 2024, the first one, Ewiniar developed?


Almost a month after I posted that, and basin is still sleeping. :sleeping:

The GFS wants to form a low in the 3rd week as the MJO passes, but it's the GFS...
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ヤンデレ女が寝取られるているのを見たい!!!
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically

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Re: 2025 WPAC Season

#6 Postby Hayabusa » Tue Apr 15, 2025 2:14 pm

Watch for possible tropical development as it nears the end of April, CFS shows something... while GFS (as usual the most aggressive) and Euro AI started to hint it.
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ヤンデレ女が寝取られるているのを見たい!!!
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically

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Re: 2025 WPAC Season

#7 Postby StormWeather » Sun Apr 20, 2025 8:48 pm

Does anyone know if the JTWC’s operational highlights and challenges for 2024 globally are out?
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Re: 2025 WPAC Season

#8 Postby cycloneye » Tue Apr 22, 2025 9:27 pm

CPC does not have any development thru May 13.

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Re: 2025 WPAC Season

#9 Postby cycloneye » Thu Apr 24, 2025 8:56 am

Finnally, looks like an ensemble consensus to have the first named storm next week. Wutip is the name that will be used.

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Re: 2025 WPAC Season

#10 Postby mrbagyo » Sun Apr 27, 2025 4:13 am

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Re: 2025 WPAC Season

#11 Postby cycloneye » Thu May 01, 2025 6:59 am

Let's see if May 2025 there are Tropical storms and typhoons like in the past 5 years.

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