2025 Severe Weather

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cycloneye
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Re: 2025 Severe Weather Update= So far 430 tornadoes this year

#201 Postby cycloneye » Sat Apr 05, 2025 4:28 pm

@NWSFortWorth
Our storm survey team confirmed an EF-0 #tornado touched down in Van Zandt County yesterday south and east of Grand Saline. The tornado had a path length of 9 miles, path width of 75 yards, and max winds of 80 mph #txwx


 https://x.com/NWSFortWorth/status/1908632536181534883


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Re: 2025 Severe Weather

#202 Postby cycloneye » Sun Apr 06, 2025 6:26 am

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Re: 2025 Severe Weather

#203 Postby cycloneye » Sun Apr 06, 2025 7:18 am

Between March 29 and April 5 there have been 2,507 Storm Reports,150 Tornado Reports,737 Hail Reports and 1,621 Wind Reports.

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Re: 2025 Severe Weather

#204 Postby cycloneye » Sun Apr 06, 2025 12:11 pm

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Re: 2025 Severe Weather

#205 Postby cycloneye » Sun Apr 06, 2025 12:17 pm

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Re: 2025 Severe Weather

#206 Postby cycloneye » Mon Apr 07, 2025 6:42 am

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Re: 2025 Severe Weather

#207 Postby cheezyWXguy » Mon Apr 07, 2025 8:59 am

@cycloneye - even though you seem to be the only person regularly posting in this thread, I appreciate all these updates. I’m sure others do too.
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Re: 2025 Severe Weather

#208 Postby cycloneye » Mon Apr 07, 2025 9:24 am

Tornado Watch for Florida Panhandle (Big Bend area Tallahassee) and Georgia.

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Re: 2025 Severe Weather

#209 Postby cycloneye » Mon Apr 07, 2025 1:26 pm

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Re: 2025 Severe Weather

#210 Postby cycloneye » Mon Apr 07, 2025 1:44 pm

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Re: 2025 Severe Weather

#211 Postby cycloneye » Mon Apr 07, 2025 9:28 pm

Late April thru early May looks like is going to be very active with severe weather.

@webberweather
These analogs hint at a fairly classic late April into early May this year with potential for above average tornado activity over climatologically favored areas of the Great Plains, including in/around Oklahoma.

The mean anomaly is plotted on the left & the mean of the analogs is on the right.


 https://x.com/webberweather/status/1909426596877893870


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Re: 2025 Severe Weather

#212 Postby cycloneye » Thu Apr 10, 2025 7:04 pm

Here is Eric Webb's message.

@webberweather
The CFS & ECMWF are in surprisingly good agreement at this range that the MJO may begin to enter the Indian Ocean in mid-late May.

If this continued propagating eastward, that would be a favorable #S2S indicator for tornado activity over the CONUS in late May/early June.

My confidence isn't terribly high in this outcome just yet, however when the CFS & ECMWF agree on MJO propagation even this far out, it's usually correct.

I'm curious what this forecast will look like after this upcoming bout of severe weather over the Great Plains late April into early May.



 https://x.com/webberweather/status/1910437127604547814


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Re: 2025 Severe Weather

#213 Postby cycloneye » Fri Apr 11, 2025 8:00 pm

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Re: 2025 Severe Weather

#214 Postby TomballEd » Sat Apr 12, 2025 12:36 pm

Just a glance at the GFS suggests Easter weekend could have severe storms in the Plains. Canadian also shows strong mid level SW flow over strong low level S winds.

I can't get image to load but URL uploaded from my PC from Tropical Tidbits.

https://ibb.co/XZPcXwPt
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Re: 2025 Severe Weather

#215 Postby cycloneye » Tue Apr 15, 2025 9:12 am

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Re: 2025 Severe Weather

#216 Postby cycloneye » Thu Apr 17, 2025 10:35 am

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Re: 2025 Severe Weather

#217 Postby cycloneye » Thu Apr 17, 2025 10:38 am

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Re: 2025 Severe Weather

#218 Postby ElectricStorm » Thu Apr 17, 2025 11:17 pm

Apparently there was a Tornado Emergency in IA earlier and I can see why :eek: wasn't expecting that today

 https://twitter.com/ben_williams_wx/status/1913065666992537753


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Re: 2025 Severe Weather

#219 Postby cstrunk » Fri Apr 18, 2025 1:26 pm

ElectricStorm wrote:Apparently there was a Tornado Emergency in IA earlier and I can see why :eek: wasn't expecting that today

https://twitter.com/ben_williams_wx/status/1913065666992537753


I was keeping a close eye on that last night since I have family in the area. When that storm starting diving a bit further south than I expected I tried to get ahold of my parents but they were in evening church service and had their phones off. It got a little hairy there for about 30 minutes as I couldn't get ahold of them. Luckily it stayed north of where they were and they had driven home without incident.

That storm was a beast. Glad that it seemed to miss the little towns in the area.
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Re: 2025 Severe Weather

#220 Postby cycloneye » Fri Apr 18, 2025 7:46 pm

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