
Texas Spring 2025
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Re: Texas Spring 2025
Whoa, just got slammed with a very hard thunderstorm. Rain rate was phenomenal for a bit. Some hail, up to quarter size maybe but not widespread. Pecan limb fell on roof. A lot of limbs down. East Austin. Mostly stopped now.
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Re: Texas Spring 2025
utpmg wrote:Whoa, just got slammed with a very hard thunderstorm. Rain rate was phenomenal for a bit. Some hail, up to quarter size maybe but not widespread. Pecan limb fell on roof. A lot of limbs down. East Austin. Mostly stopped now.
1.6" in my gauge. Fell in about 12 seconds.
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Re: Texas Spring 2025
utpmg wrote:utpmg wrote:Whoa, just got slammed with a very hard thunderstorm. Rain rate was phenomenal for a bit. Some hail, up to quarter size maybe but not widespread. Pecan limb fell on roof. A lot of limbs down. East Austin. Mostly stopped now.
1.6" in my gauge. Fell in about 12 seconds.
Wow. Are you exaggerating, or is that actually measured that fast? It did fall suddenly here, but didn't realize it was that quick.
Worst hail storm I've experienced since I moved back to ATX in 2003. Sadly, that sudden downpour caught some homeless man unprepared and he drowned not far from my house in central Austin. The assumption was he had been under one of the bridges that went over what is normally a trickle of a creek, Hancock Creek, which flows into Shoal Creek. When I went to look at the creek it was a roaring river approx 10ft above the normal creek bed.
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Re: Texas Spring 2025
Texoz wrote:utpmg wrote:utpmg wrote:Whoa, just got slammed with a very hard thunderstorm. Rain rate was phenomenal for a bit. Some hail, up to quarter size maybe but not widespread. Pecan limb fell on roof. A lot of limbs down. East Austin. Mostly stopped now.
1.6" in my gauge. Fell in about 12 seconds.
Wow. Are you exaggerating, or is that actually measured that fast? It did fall suddenly here, but didn't realize it was that quick.
Worst hail storm I've experienced since I moved back to ATX in 2003. Sadly, that sudden downpour caught some homeless man unprepared and he drowned not far from my house in central Austin. The assumption was he had been under one of the bridges that went over what is normally a trickle of a creek, Hancock Creek, which flows into Shoal Creek. When I went to look at the creek it was a roaring river approx 10ft above the normal creek bed.
Ah, no, just an exaggeration. It seemed that way; probably about 1/2 hour span though. The hail was much worse starting a few hundred yards south of me in Windsor Park. But I've had my share in the past, so just knock on wood.
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Re: Texas Spring 2025
Confirmed, a few blocks south of me inches of hail accumulated, pretty nasty over there.
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Re: Texas Spring 2025
utpmg wrote:utpmg wrote:Whoa, just got slammed with a very hard thunderstorm. Rain rate was phenomenal for a bit. Some hail, up to quarter size maybe but not widespread. Pecan limb fell on roof. A lot of limbs down. East Austin. Mostly stopped now.
1.6" in my gauge. Fell in about 12 seconds.
Hmm, maybe not such an exaggeration after all?
https://x.com/averytomascowx/status/1928075184537239949
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Re: Texas Spring 2025
This wet weather pattern looks to last well into the third week of june per ensembles, no signs of the death ridge, keep delaying summer for as long as possible, no complaints here!
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- captainbarbossa19
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Re: Texas Spring 2025
Stratton23 wrote:This wet weather pattern looks to last well into the third week of june per ensembles, no signs of the death ridge, keep delaying summer for as long as possible, no complaints here!
Yes perhaps the semi-permanent ridge will setup more over the desert southwest this summer. This year does not strike me as a 2023 or 2011 type summer. Soil levels are a lot more moist heading into summer which makes it much more difficult for the ground to heat up due to latent heat release. Usually the driest summers are dry in spring first from what I have seen.
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Re: Texas Spring 2025
captainbarbossa19 wrote:Stratton23 wrote:This wet weather pattern looks to last well into the third week of june per ensembles, no signs of the death ridge, keep delaying summer for as long as possible, no complaints here!
Yes perhaps the semi-permanent ridge will setup more over the desert southwest this summer. This year does not strike me as a 2023 or 2011 type summer. Soil levels are a lot more moist heading into summer which makes it much more difficult for the ground to heat up due to latent heat release. Usually the driest summers are dry in spring first from what I have seen.
Yeah after fires in March we've had a record wet April and extremely wet May and no sign of it ending. Its been quite a flip since the winter
I'm cautiously optimistic maybe summer won't be completely out of control. Maybe
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#neversummer
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Re: Texas Spring 2025
As usual, line of showers and storms looks to split to miss/mostly miss my N Harris County yard.
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Re: Texas Spring 2025
Brent wrote:captainbarbossa19 wrote:Stratton23 wrote:This wet weather pattern looks to last well into the third week of june per ensembles, no signs of the death ridge, keep delaying summer for as long as possible, no complaints here!
Yes perhaps the semi-permanent ridge will setup more over the desert southwest this summer. This year does not strike me as a 2023 or 2011 type summer. Soil levels are a lot more moist heading into summer which makes it much more difficult for the ground to heat up due to latent heat release. Usually the driest summers are dry in spring first from what I have seen.
Yeah after fires in March we've had a record wet April and extremely wet May and no sign of it ending. Its been quite a flip since the winter
I'm cautiously optimistic maybe summer won't be completely out of control. Maybe
CanSIPs look great JJA, seasonable summer, temps normal to even slightly below. Near normal to slightly above rainfall. SETX looks generally protected by ridging to the W. NMME is heat and drought. I have no idea which long range model usually verifies best.
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- wxman22
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Re: Texas Spring 2025
A day 5 severe weather risk has been added here. This is the early June setup I was talking about a couple of days ago. Still a lot of uncertainties on how things will play out.


...D5/Tuesday...
Complex severe potential is expected across the central states.
Low-amplitude shortwave impulses should be progressing across parts
of the northern Upper Midwest to the central High Plains on Tuesday
morning. Some guidance suggests extensive overnight convection may
be ongoing within a favorably diffluent upper-flow regime,
characterized by a coupled southern-stream left-exit and
northern-stream right-entrance regime. This renders substantial
uncertainty on where more robust boundary-layer destabilization
should occur. Warm mid-level temperatures in the southern stream
should yield modest mid-level lapse rates, which further lowers
confidence. Nevertheless, a broad and rich moist sector and adequate
deep-layer shear, along with widespread convection during the
afternoon/evening, indicate scattered severe storms remain possible.
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Re: Texas Spring 2025
TomballEd wrote:Brent wrote:captainbarbossa19 wrote:
Yes perhaps the semi-permanent ridge will setup more over the desert southwest this summer. This year does not strike me as a 2023 or 2011 type summer. Soil levels are a lot more moist heading into summer which makes it much more difficult for the ground to heat up due to latent heat release. Usually the driest summers are dry in spring first from what I have seen.
Yeah after fires in March we've had a record wet April and extremely wet May and no sign of it ending. Its been quite a flip since the winter
I'm cautiously optimistic maybe summer won't be completely out of control. Maybe
CanSIPs look great JJA, seasonable summer, temps normal to even slightly below. Near normal to slightly above rainfall. SETX looks generally protected by ridging to the W. NMME is heat and drought. I have no idea which long range model usually verifies best.
Current fires in Western Canada reminds me of 2021. Coolish Summer down here.
It will get hot in late July and early August but nothing screams scorching summer so far. The past few summers have given us signs with early heat and death ridges kicking off in MX late spring.
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The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
- txtwister78
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Re: Texas Spring 2025
Another widespread rainfall event for the region overnight. Our aquifer has climbed over seven feet this week and that number will obviously continue to rise with this latest round of rainfall. As is the case in flash flood alley, too much of a good thing in a short period of time resulted in some high water rescues and cars submerged in flood waters across a few areas this morning.
Overall, talk about making up for some missed opportunities though. Obviously this won't erase the drought but it should put a nice dent into it across the SA metro and surrounding areas. Hopefully that's reflected in the next update.
Overall, talk about making up for some missed opportunities though. Obviously this won't erase the drought but it should put a nice dent into it across the SA metro and surrounding areas. Hopefully that's reflected in the next update.
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- txtwister78
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Re: Texas Spring 2025
While other areas across the metro have picked up more than this, our official reporting site (Airport) still looks great. May finally "looks" like May around here as it relates to our rainfall bucket
https://x.com/News4SA/status/1928531883937149014
https://x.com/News4SA/status/1928531883937149014
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