Texas Summer 2025

[snownado]

Southern portions of dfw may not be out of the woods yet on the wind threat. That surge near weatherford looks to be moving due east. Probably will miss most of the metro to the south anyway, but still worth watching especially if you live just south of Dallas and Ft Worth

Even if it does eventually move into the southern areas, the storm mode having since gone messy out ahead of it would stunt the wind potential.

[snownado]

https://x.com/NWSFortWorth/status/19319 ... lcTlA&s=19

[cheezyWXguy]

Southern portions of dfw may not be out of the woods yet on the wind threat. That surge near weatherford looks to be moving due east. Probably will miss most of the metro to the south anyway, but still worth watching especially if you live just south of Dallas and Ft Worth

Even if it does eventually move into the southern areas, the storm mode having since gone messy out ahead of it would stunt the wind potential.

Not sold on that, this localized bowing segment seems to be holding its own at least for now. 90+mph velocities showing up near weatherford on the dfw radar and a pretty clear notch on the southern end that just went tornado warned

Edit: you beat me to the warning, haha

[rwfromkansas]

Weatherford has been a magnet lately. 80 mph on radar.

[snownado]

Southern portions of dfw may not be out of the woods yet on the wind threat. That surge near weatherford looks to be moving due east. Probably will miss most of the metro to the south anyway, but still worth watching especially if you live just south of Dallas and Ft Worth

Even if it does eventually move into the southern areas, the storm mode having since gone messy out ahead of it would stunt the wind potential.

Not sold on that, this localized bowing segment seems to be holding its own at least for now. 90+mph velocities showing up near weatherford on the dfw radar and a pretty clear notch on the southern end that just went tornado warned

Edit: you beat me to the warning, haha

Tornado Warning is cancelled now. It's just a broad Severe T'Storm Warning.

[TomballEd]

Might get some rain out of this down here in Houston per latest HRRR 7 am-ish.

Arlington getting slammed while Bedford gets lucky seems to happen a lot. Not sure why.

[cstrunk]

80 mph 1.25" hail warning for Longview. This might get interesting.

[mmmmsnouts]

Arlington getting slammed while Bedford gets lucky seems to happen a lot. Not sure why.

Depends which part of Arlington. We’re in the northwest corner and we get the soaking rain but relatively few fireworks. The southern part down past I-20 and headed towards Mansfield is getting hit harder.

[Quixotic]

There’s your bow in east Texas.

[cstrunk]

There’s your bow in east Texas.

I was right in the middle of that, in Longview. Warned for 80 mph. I don't think we hit 40 mph. Tornado sirens went off.

[Quixotic]

There’s your bow in east Texas.

I was right in the middle of that, in Longview. Warned for 80 mph. I don't think we hit 40 mph. Tornado sirens went off.

Had the same thing here but I’m guessing 65mph. Initial outflow. Could hear it coming. Was warned for 80. No hail thank god.

[Gotwood]

Power still off at my place have a ton of meat in my freezer praying they get it back on soon.

[wxman22]

Busy last night. Though we had a weak disturbance here in the afternoon that stabilized the atmosphere locally. So I didn’t see too much here besides some heavy rain and thunder/lightning. There may be some flooding issues this week also.

[TomballEd]

The corpse of the NTX storms made it to Houston around 7 am with a gentle farmer's rain and a couple of rumbles of thunder. Cloud debris in the area may keep any afternoon refires in check.

[Ntxw]

For sure the twin cyclones (Barbara and Cosme) in the EPAC is a signal that the wet pattern will go for another week maybe week and a half before the shift, in some parts of the state.

[txtwister78]

I think that WPC precip graphic will likely shift a little further south with time.

Euro op along with its ensemble (wow) continue to paint some hefty rainfall amounts across SC TX this week. ICON ensemble also matches up well with the Euro scenario with the CMC not too far behind and my goodness don't look at the 12z UKMET run. Lol.

Obviously the hi-res models will have to fine tune this daily as real-time conditions/boundaries play out but at least the bullish rainfall signal continues further south.

[Cpv17]

The corpse of the NTX storms made it to Houston around 7 am with a gentle farmer's rain and a couple of rumbles of thunder. Cloud debris in the area may keep any afternoon refires in check.

We got a good heavy downpour here this morning and an hour later the sun was out and has been out ever since. Hardly any clouds over here.

[Cpv17]

For sure the twin cyclones (Barbara and Cosme) in the EPAC is a signal that the wet pattern will go for another week maybe week and a half before the shift, in some parts of the state.

Well hopefully it continues for the southern half of the state. Y’all are good up there.

[South Texas Storms]

I think that WPC precip graphic will likely shift a little further south with time.

Euro op along with its ensemble (wow) continue to paint some hefty rainfall amounts across SC TX this week. ICON ensemble also matches up well with the Euro scenario with the CMC not too far behind and my goodness don't look at the 12z UKMET run. Lol.

Obviously the hi-res models will have to fine tune this daily as real-time conditions/boundaries play out but at least the bullish rainfall signal continues further south.

I'm skeptical of some of the really heavy rain amounts some of the models are showing for south and central TX. I feel like MCS cold pools will help the slow-moving trough to track a bit faster eastward than the global models are showing. Only exception will be if we see a rain bomb develop, which is certainly possible with this pattern.

[Cpv17]

How can the GEFS and EPS be so different? That’s a huge difference.