Trough of low pressure in central subtropical Atlantic: (Is invest 90L)

[cycloneye]

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sun Jun 22 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

1. Central Subtropical Atlantic:
A trough of low pressure located about 500 miles east-southeast
of Bermuda is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
Some slow development of this system is possible during the next
couple of days before it moves into a region of strong upper-level
winds. This system is expected to move northeastward over the
central Atlantic during the next few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.



Forecaster Cangialosi

[HurricaneAndre2008]

This one is like a coin flip for development.

[cycloneye]

[HurricaneAndre2008]

https://i.imgur.com/gOrwL5D.gif

This will be our best bet for a while in the Atlantic!!

[Sciencerocks]

Looks pretty good and if it had time it could develop into Andrea. I'd go with 30%. Broad low level circ and convection. Only has about 24-36 hours.

[cycloneye]

They upped to 20%.

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Sun Jun 22 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

1. Central Subtropical Atlantic:
Satellite data indicate that a weak low pressure system has formed
about 450 miles east-southeast of Bermuda. The associated showers
and thunderstorms remain disorganized, but some slow development is
possible during the next day or so while the low moves northeastward
over the central Atlantic. By Monday night, however, the system is
expected to move over cool waters and into a region of strong
upper-level winds, ending its opportunity for development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.



Forecaster Cangialosi/Hagen

[HurricaneAndre2008]

AL, 90, 2025062218, 01, CARQ, 0, 313N, 576W, 20, 1017, LO, 64, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1019, 120, 20, 0, 0, L, 0, X, 350, 3, INVEST, S,

https://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopi ... 9#p3126929