Texas Summer 2025

[rwfromkansas]

Pretty sure it rained on every square foot of DFW property except the one where they have the weather station.

It fell apart right before going there...twice tonight. And then redeveloped after passing. lol

[Texoz]

Looking at rainfall over the last week on the LCRA rain gauge. The "winner" for grand total is Bertram gauge just north of Lake Travis.

Their total is 22.83 inches in last week. Over toward Kerrville, the gauge at Mason has 20.32 inches. Just unbelievable totals for one week from a system (or systems?) that wasn't really sending warning signals in the forecast until a few days before the event began, and definitely no predictions of this much rain.

https://hydromet.lcra.org/

[HockeyTx82]

Pretty sure it rained on every square foot of DFW property except the one where they have the weather station.

It fell apart right before going there...twice tonight. And then redeveloped after passing. lol

This is not the rain you are looking for.......

If I woke up from a long nap today and checked the official record, no rain in DFW yesterday.

[Pas_Bon]

Pretty sure it rained on every square foot of DFW property except the one where they have the weather station.

It fell apart right before going there...twice tonight. And then redeveloped after passing. lol

Hey, that happens almost every time League City is about to get dumped on. I kid you not....I have video of a radar loop from Tuesday that showed a robust line of orange/red heading right toward League City, then literally form a DONUT around League City, then re-convene once over Galveston Bay.

[cstrunk]

Looks like things should start to dry out for most of Texas (but certainly not all).

I see the first 100F day has been added to my local forecast for next Wednesday.

[Cpv17]

Looks like things should start to dry out for most of Texas (but certainly not all).

I see the first 100F day has been added to my local forecast for next Wednesday.

I doubt it. Rain chances still look above normal to me for most of the state for the next couple weeks.

[wxman22]

Yep this weekend is looking very wet up here from a stalled frontal boundary…

Excessive Rainfall Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
1143 AM EDT Thu Jul 10 2025
Day 3
Valid 12Z Sat Jul 12 2025 - 12Z Sun Jul 13 2025

...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OVER MUCH OF THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS INTO THE OZARKS...

...Southern Plains into the Ozarks...

Concerns are growing for more organized convection developing into
Day 3, stemming from a subtle shortwave/upper-level low forming and
stalling out over the Southern High Plains. The bulk of the global
guidance is now indicating this scenario, and the ECMWF suite
(including the ECENS and AIFS) are of particular concern with the
most robust signal of the models (with the AIFS indicating a
southward shift of best QPF signal, quite close to more sensitive
areas of central/North TX). A large Slight Risk was introduced to
encompass the area where organized convective activity is expected
to occur, though many of the details will still need to be ironed
out as we enter the hi-res CAM period. In the meantime, the
combination of already saturated soils and terrain sensitivities
across the broader region with highly anomalous tropospheric
moisture (PWs of 2.0"+ expected, near 90th percentile) is
justification for a broad Slight Risk that can be more fine tuned
in subsequent cycles.

[cycloneye]

After the July 4th copious rains, the drought remains in South Central Texas.

 https://x.com/DroughtCenter/status/1943379499480965306

[utpmg]

A lot of room in Lake Travis yet, now at 660', "standard" pool is 681, spillway 714'.

[txtwister78]

A lot of moisture once again pooling down into Mexico with a stalled boundary across Texas could result in more flooding next week.

Need to watch how far south this boundary gets in addition to the tropical moisture from Mexico to see how all that interacts.

[Stratton23]

I can tell yall i definitely didnt have a very wet summer on my bingo card, its nice to for once not have any major drought/ wildfires across the state for the most part , though central texas could definitely use a long break, stalled front + ample tropical moisture next week + the possibility of weak low pressure in the gulf , definitely worth watching the flooding threat to texas

[Brent]

I can tell yall i definitely didnt have a very wet summer on my bingo card, its nice to for once not have any major drought/ wildfires across the state for the most part , though central texas could definitely use a long break, stalled front + ample tropical moisture next week + the possibility of weak low pressure in the gulf , definitely worth watching the flooding threat to texas

The fact we're still having a chance at 80s for highs is crazy. There's been summers we barely get into the 80s at night for a couple hours lately!

I mean it ain't over yet and August could still be ugly but fall is getting closer by the day

[wxman22]

[txtwister78]

Need to keep an eye out as to where this heavier precip axis sets up over the weekend into early next week as once again hi-res models appear to be further south compared to the globals putting portions of the Hill Country and even the San Antonio metro at risk (depending on the model like the RRFS for example) for heavier rainfall and potential flooding.

[Brent]

Good grief at the rain I don't think I've ever seen a summer like this in the Plains. Like this is just absurd at this point

[gpsnowman]

Good grief at the rain I don't think I've ever seen a summer like this in the Plains. Like this is just absurd at this point

Raining near the airport currently. Looks like a soggy weekend.

[rwfromkansas]

FWD seems to put heaviest rain west of DFW. Hope it pushes further SE so we have the coolest temps tomorrow.

[wxman22]

[Brent]

Power going in and out here

[txtwister78]

 https://x.com/iembot_ewx/status/1944029560787304687