WPAC: PODUL - Post-Tropical

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cycloneye
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Re: WPAC: PODUL - Tropical Storm

#41 Postby cycloneye » Sun Aug 10, 2025 9:44 pm

JTWC now has three typhoon positions. Taiwan will get bad weather from this, but hopefully, nothing too bad.

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Re: WPAC: PODUL - Tropical Storm

#42 Postby Hayabusa » Mon Aug 11, 2025 6:39 am

smap earlier at 21z... ~68 kts 1 min
WP, 16, 202508102119, 30, SMAP, IR, , 2100N, 13350E, , 1, 64, 1, , , , 34, NEQ, 119, 109, 29, 1, , , , , 1, 0, , W, NASA, RSS, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , 1, max. wind is 10 minute sustained
WP, 16, 202508102119, 30, SMAP, IR, , 2100N, 13350E, , 1, 64, 1, , , , 50, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0, , , , , 1, 0, , W, NASA, RSS, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , 1, max. wind is 10 minute sustained
WP, 16, 202508102119, 30, SMAP, IR, , 2100N, 13350E, , 1, 64, 1, , , , 64, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0, , , , , 1, 0, , W, NASA, RSS, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , 1, max. wind is 10 minute sustained
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Re: WPAC: PODUL - Tropical Storm

#43 Postby Hayabusa » Mon Aug 11, 2025 7:47 am

Really interesting that traditional global models have trended from dissipation to the Euro AI solution, just like with Man-yi
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Re: WPAC: PODUL - Tropical Storm

#44 Postby Hayabusa » Mon Aug 11, 2025 8:19 am

06z eps, another one but possible two areas to watch for development in the not too far range...
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ヤンデレ女が寝取られるているのを見たい！！！
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Re: WPAC: PODUL - Tropical Storm

#45 Postby Hurricane2022 » Mon Aug 11, 2025 12:59 pm

Gosh!
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Re: WPAC: PODUL - Tropical Storm

#46 Postby StormWeather » Mon Aug 11, 2025 1:12 pm

Hurricane2022 wrote:Gosh!
https://i.imgur.com/PqdXUFC.gif

If that’s an eye, then oh boy here we go…
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Re: WPAC: PODUL - Severe Tropical Storm

#47 Postby cycloneye » Mon Aug 11, 2025 5:08 pm

JMA has it as Severe Tropical Storm and JTWC as Typhoon.

T2511(Podul)
Issued at 2025/08/11 21:45 UTC
Analysis at 08/11 21 UTC
Grade STS
Scale -
Intensity -
Center position N20°55′ (20.9°)
E128°35′ (128.6°)
Direction and speed of movement W 30 km/h (16 kt)
Central pressure 985 hPa
Maximum sustained wind speed near center 30 m/s (60 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 45 m/s (85 kt)
Radius of 50-kt wind area 55 km (30 NM)


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Re: WPAC: PODUL - Severe Tropical Storm

#48 Postby Hayabusa » Mon Aug 11, 2025 11:09 pm

SAR fix earlier at 21z shows 80kt vmax but could be a contaminated value
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ヤンデレ女が寝取られるているのを見たい！！！
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
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Re: WPAC: PODUL - Typhoon

#49 Postby Hayabusa » Tue Aug 12, 2025 2:58 am

Jma back to typhoon at 06z
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ヤンデレ女が寝取られるているのを見たい！！！
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
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Re: WPAC: PODUL - Typhoon

#50 Postby cycloneye » Tue Aug 12, 2025 6:01 am

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Re: WPAC: PODUL - Typhoon

#51 Postby cycloneye » Tue Aug 12, 2025 12:40 pm

New peak intensity at 95 kt.

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Re: WPAC: PODUL - Typhoon

#52 Postby cycloneye » Tue Aug 12, 2025 12:43 pm

Looks like a RI as it approaches Taiwan.

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Re: WPAC: PODUL - Typhoon

#53 Postby ChrisH-UK » Tue Aug 12, 2025 4:50 pm

James Reynolds is streaming live from Taiwan as he chases Podul.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JFV2a7Flpio
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Re: WPAC: PODUL - Typhoon

#54 Postby StormWeather » Tue Aug 12, 2025 4:53 pm

cycloneye wrote:Looks like a RI as it approaches Taiwan.

https://i.imgur.com/HbsDhXc.gif

This thing has likely surpassed 100 kts by now.
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Re: WPAC: PODUL - Typhoon

#55 Postby Yellow Evan » Tue Aug 12, 2025 5:26 pm

Large core so winds will take time to catch up. Taiwan radar should give us a good idea with regards to intensity.
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Re: WPAC: PODUL - Typhoon

#56 Postby Hurricane2022 » Tue Aug 12, 2025 8:40 pm

Holy cow! :eek:
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Re: WPAC: PODUL - Typhoon

#57 Postby cycloneye » Tue Aug 12, 2025 10:21 pm

 https://x.com/iCyclone/status/1955457596644790684

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Re: WPAC: PODUL - Typhoon

#58 Postby Subtrop » Tue Aug 12, 2025 10:21 pm

:double:
TPPN13 PGTW 130311
A. TYPHOON 16W (PODUL)
B. 13/0230Z
C. 22.30N
D. 121.46E
E. THREE/GK2A
F. T5.5/5.5/D2.0/24HRS STT: D0.5/03HRS
G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI
H. REMARKS: 11A/PBO RAGGED EYE/ANMTN. EYE EMBEDDED 68NM IN CDO
YIELDS AN E# OF 7.0. SUBTRACTED 1.0 FOR A RAGGED EYE TO YIELD A DT
OF 6.0. MET YIELDS 4.5. PT YIELDS 5.5. DBO PT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS:
12/2205Z 22.00N 122.43E MMWI
MUSE
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Re: WPAC: PODUL - Typhoon

#59 Postby mrbagyo » Tue Aug 12, 2025 10:33 pm

Green Island (elev 110 meters)

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Re: WPAC: PODUL - Typhoon

#60 Postby dexterlabio » Wed Aug 13, 2025 12:13 am

Yeah, I did found the older model forecasts of total dissipation as dubious, especially in this part of the Western Pacific..
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