Tropical Wave in the Central Atlantic (10/70)
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cycloneye
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Re: Tropical Wave in the Central Atlantic (10/60)
A little bit more convection.
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WeatherBoy2000
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Re: Tropical Wave in the Central Atlantic (10/60)
The GFS has been pretty consistent with this for the past few runs now, forming north of the lesser Antilles/Puerto Rico and becoming a low-end hurricane in the subtropics.
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cycloneye
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Re: Tropical Wave in the Central Atlantic (10/60)
2 PM TWO doesn't have anything new.
Near the Leeward Islands in the Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave located over the central tropical Atlantic continues
to produce a broad area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development of
this system, and a tropical depression could form late this week or
over the weekend while it moves near or to the north of the northern
Leeward Islands.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.
A tropical wave located over the central tropical Atlantic continues
to produce a broad area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development of
this system, and a tropical depression could form late this week or
over the weekend while it moves near or to the north of the northern
Leeward Islands.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.
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and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
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cycloneye
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Re: Tropical Wave in the Central Atlantic (10/70)
Code Red
Near the Leeward Islands in the Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave located several hundred miles east of the Leeward
Islands is producing a broad area of disorganized showers and
thunderstorms. Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual
development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to
form by this weekend while it moves near or to the north of the
northern Leeward Islands.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.
A tropical wave located several hundred miles east of the Leeward
Islands is producing a broad area of disorganized showers and
thunderstorms. Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual
development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to
form by this weekend while it moves near or to the north of the
northern Leeward Islands.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.
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Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
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Hurricaneman
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Re: Tropical Wave in the Central Atlantic (10/70)
This could be a possible low end hurricane for Bermuda
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Re: Tropical Wave in the Central Atlantic (10/70)
At this point this is mainly between a Bermuda/Atlantic Canada threat and total recurve if it develops at all, at least based on ensembles. GFS ensembles send a strong TS to Cat 1 Hurricane towards Bermuda's vicinity before giving Newfoundland and Nova Scotia some much-needed rain, while the Euro members that do develop trend east of Bermuda and OTS:
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Re: Tropical Wave in the Central Atlantic (10/70)
I wonder why this one is not tagged with an Invest?
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hurricane2025
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Re: Tropical Wave in the Central Atlantic (10/70)
No threat will prob soon but it’s a fish.. will be a weak one
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Re: Tropical Wave in the Central Atlantic (10/70)
hurricane2025 wrote:No threat will prob soon but it’s a fish.. will be a weak one
This may affect Bermuda.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.