https://x.com/dost_pagasa/status/1969689645404316090
WPAC: RAGASA - Typhoon
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cycloneye
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Re: WPAC: RAGASA - Typhoon
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mrbagyo
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Re: WPAC: RAGASA - Typhoon
At approximately 05:34 UTC today, Buoy No. 7810602 recorded a minimum sea level pressure of 952.9 hPa while positioned about 33.9 kilometers from the center of Super Typhoon Ragasa
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Hurricane2022
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Re: WPAC: RAGASA - Typhoon
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Sorry for the bad English sometimes...!
For reliable and detailed information for any meteorological phenomenon, please consult the National Hurricane Center, Joint Typhoon Warning Center , or your local Meteo Center.
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For reliable and detailed information for any meteorological phenomenon, please consult the National Hurricane Center, Joint Typhoon Warning Center , or your local Meteo Center.
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mrbagyo
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Re: WPAC: RAGASA - Typhoon
It appears Ragasa remains underestimated in terms of intensity, as Drifting Buoy No. 7810602 recorded an exceptionally low sea level pressure of 924.8 hPa at 06:34 UTC—despite being located approximately 23.5 kilometers (more or less) from the center of the super typhoon.
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Re: WPAC: RAGASA - Typhoon
Euro 06z says this won't peak till it's west of Batanes islands or by Tuesday afternoon 
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ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
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ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
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mrbagyo
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Re: WPAC: RAGASA - Typhoon
Its a 900.3 hPa Super typhoon
Holy Hell
https://twitter.com/IPTCWCDirector/status/1969737039969939621
Holy Hell
https://twitter.com/IPTCWCDirector/status/1969737039969939621
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Re: WPAC: RAGASA - Typhoon
If only the CMG is fully closed this could be a 7.5
TPPN12 PGTW 211216
A. SUPER TYPHOON 24W (RAGASA)
B. 21/1130Z
C. 18.75N
D. 125.49E
E. ONE/GK2A
F. T7.0/7.0/D1.5/24HRS STT: S0.0/03HRS
G. IR/EIR
H. REMARKS: 01A/PBO EYE/ANMTN. WMG EYE SURROUNDED BY W YIELDS AN E#
OF 6.0. ADDED 1.0 EYE ADJUSTMENT FOR W, TO YIELD A DT OF 7.0. BOTH
MET AND PT AGREE. DBO DT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS:
21/0801Z 18.77N 125.70E SSMS
LINDGREN
A. SUPER TYPHOON 24W (RAGASA)
B. 21/1130Z
C. 18.75N
D. 125.49E
E. ONE/GK2A
F. T7.0/7.0/D1.5/24HRS STT: S0.0/03HRS
G. IR/EIR
H. REMARKS: 01A/PBO EYE/ANMTN. WMG EYE SURROUNDED BY W YIELDS AN E#
OF 6.0. ADDED 1.0 EYE ADJUSTMENT FOR W, TO YIELD A DT OF 7.0. BOTH
MET AND PT AGREE. DBO DT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS:
21/0801Z 18.77N 125.70E SSMS
LINDGREN
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ヤンデレ女が寝取られるているのを見たい！！！
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically
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cycloneye
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Re: WPAC: RAGASA - Typhoon
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Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
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Hurricane2022
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Re: WPAC: RAGASA - Typhoon
Absolutely stunning. No doubt this is at ~900mb.
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Sorry for the bad English sometimes...!
For reliable and detailed information for any meteorological phenomenon, please consult the National Hurricane Center, Joint Typhoon Warning Center , or your local Meteo Center.
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For reliable and detailed information for any meteorological phenomenon, please consult the National Hurricane Center, Joint Typhoon Warning Center , or your local Meteo Center.
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Una cvm Christo, pro Christo, et in Christo. Sit nomen Domini benedictvm.
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Hurricane2022
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Re: WPAC: RAGASA - Typhoon
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Sorry for the bad English sometimes...!
For reliable and detailed information for any meteorological phenomenon, please consult the National Hurricane Center, Joint Typhoon Warning Center , or your local Meteo Center.
--------
Una cvm Christo, pro Christo, et in Christo. Sit nomen Domini benedictvm.
For reliable and detailed information for any meteorological phenomenon, please consult the National Hurricane Center, Joint Typhoon Warning Center , or your local Meteo Center.
--------
Una cvm Christo, pro Christo, et in Christo. Sit nomen Domini benedictvm.
Re: WPAC: RAGASA - Typhoon
Up to 145
24W RAGASA 250921 1200 18.9N 125.4E WPAC 145 911
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ヤンデレ女が寝取られるているのを見たい！！！
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically
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mrbagyo
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Re: WPAC: RAGASA - Typhoon
ERC?
What ERC?
What ERC?
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Hurricane2022
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Re: WPAC: RAGASA - Typhoon
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Sorry for the bad English sometimes...!
For reliable and detailed information for any meteorological phenomenon, please consult the National Hurricane Center, Joint Typhoon Warning Center , or your local Meteo Center.
--------
Una cvm Christo, pro Christo, et in Christo. Sit nomen Domini benedictvm.
For reliable and detailed information for any meteorological phenomenon, please consult the National Hurricane Center, Joint Typhoon Warning Center , or your local Meteo Center.
--------
Una cvm Christo, pro Christo, et in Christo. Sit nomen Domini benedictvm.
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1900hurricane
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Re: WPAC: RAGASA - Typhoon
Even for the Tropical Western Pacific, this is a pretty extreme scenario with an already ~900 mb TC preparing to come out of eyewall replacement with what appear to be very favorable conditions ahead. I've seen some (myself included) throw around Usagi '13 and Meranti '16 as general archetypes for Ragasa considering position, movement, and time of year, but it always creates awe for me when a TC like this comes to fruition.
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Re: WPAC: RAGASA - Typhoon
06z eps, showing almost Tip pressure (873 mb) peak ensemble...
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ヤンデレ女が寝取られるているのを見たい！！！
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically
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dexterlabio
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Re: WPAC: RAGASA - Typhoon
Looks like we're gonna see a bigger eye after Ragasa comes out of the EWRC.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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StormWeather
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Re: WPAC: RAGASA - Typhoon
Hayabusa wrote:06z eps, showing almost Tip pressure (873 mb) peak ensemble...
https://i.imgur.com/cMyYTdF.png
I wouldn’t be surprised considering it is around ~900 mb anyway with it just coming out of an EWRC and favorable conditions ahead for the time being.
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Just an average cyclone tracker
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
Re: WPAC: RAGASA - Typhoon
All that untapped potential had to go somewhere, looks like this is it. As the buoy indicates, around 900 mb now. Further intensification into the 880s/890s seems realistic. Any chance of a Taiwan or Hong Kong recon mission?
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Re: WPAC: RAGASA - Typhoon
dexterlabio wrote:Looks like we're gonna see a bigger eye after Ragasa comes out of the EWRC.
Huge indeed:
 |  |
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dexterlabio
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Re: WPAC: RAGASA - Typhoon
With 145kts/911mb ( or 900mb if that buoy reading verifies) I believe Ragasa is the strongest TC of the NHem this year.
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Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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