NATL: HUMBERTO - Remnants - Discussion

[zhukm29]

Big eye is ready to take over:

[zhukm29]

[Sciencerocks]

[kevin]

This is one of the coolest EWRCs I've seen. Usually they occur when shear and other factors are also becoming less optimal so the hurricane just sort of collapses for a while and you don't really see what's going on. But this time you can see all the inner workings while Humberto just keeps going. More than a full day into an EWRC and still a pressure in the 920s, can't say I've seen that before.

[kevin]

Also based on Dvorak imagery the inner eyewall finally seems to have given up. Its final remains are being absorbed by the larger eyewall right now. And the larger eyewall already has a thin but closed W ring. Imagine what it'll look like if/when the larger eye fully clears out.

[Hurricane2022]

Not sure if the eye will be ever able to clear again. The VWS seems to be already picking up and considerably fast.

[aspen]

I’ve never seen such a stubborn inner eyewall. In any other storm, it would’ve been long gone by now and we would’ve seen a second peak.

Humberto is already starting to look a little squashed so it’s probably going to end up crippled and weakening from here on out.

[cheezyWXguy]

I’ve never seen such a stubborn inner eyewall. In any other storm, it would’ve been long gone by now and we would’ve seen a second peak.

Humberto is already starting to look a little squashed so it’s probably going to end up crippled and weakening from here on out.

Yeah, it looks like the inner eyewall is gone now, but conditions seem to be deteriorating judging by the squashed NW side. Still a chance it could clear, but it may just stay a lumbering grungy monster with a cloud filled eye from this point on. Imelda picking up steam isn’t helping.

[cheezyWXguy]

Recon finding pressure up another 10mb from last night. A secondary peak seems much less likely today imo

[cycloneye]

AF plane found Humberto more stronger.

SUMMARY OF 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...145 MPH...230 KM/H.

[MarioProtVI]

AF plane found Humberto more stronger.

SUMMARY OF 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...145 MPH...230 KM/H.

Really shows how critical recon is. Without it this would get at most 90 kt on satellite estimates.

Ironically this Humberto seems to be taking a page from 2019’s Humberto, where despite being sheared and a partially exposed LLC recon still found a solid major.

[cheezyWXguy]

AF plane found Humberto more stronger.

SUMMARY OF 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...145 MPH...230 KM/H.

Really shows how critical recon is. Without it this would get at most 90 kt on satellite estimates.

Ironically this Humberto seems to be taking a page from 2019’s Humberto, where despite being sheared and a partially exposed LLC recon still found a solid major.

No kidding, I never would have guessed they’d find stronger winds this morning. Between that, a pressure rise, and conditions becoming less favorable, I honestly don’t know what to think this will do. Guess I’ll just sit back and watch.

[sasha_B]

Central pressure filling in, but wind speeds also up, is pretty much the opposite of what I expected recon to find this morning given the observations last night. Very much looking forward to the TCR on Humberto.

[zhukm29]

This dropsonde from earlier is pretty nuts:

[Teban54]

One of the ugliest 125 kt Cat 4s that I've seen, which really shows the value of recon.

[Hurricane2022]

This dropsonde from earlier is pretty nuts:

If we didn't have IMELDA in the Bahamas with its immense outflow now, we possibly would be facing an even stronger Hurricane Humberto in the coming days. What a shame

[zhukm29]

This dropsonde from earlier is pretty nuts:
https://i.ibb.co/ymhfQgYs/HUMBERTO-AF308-0208-A-dropsonde-202509291144.png

If we didn't have IMELDA in the Bahamas with its immense outflow now, we possibly would be facing an even stronger Hurricane Humberto in the coming days. What a shame
https://i.imgur.com/74MpydH.jpeg

Imelda first stealing Humberto’s recon, and now stealing Humberto’s second peak - spoiled sibling energy

[snowystar]

This dropsonde from earlier is pretty nuts:
https://i.ibb.co/ymhfQgYs/HUMBERTO-AF308-0208-A-dropsonde-202509291144.png

If we didn't have IMELDA in the Bahamas with its immense outflow now, we possibly would be facing an even stronger Hurricane Humberto in the coming days. What a shame
https://i.imgur.com/74MpydH.jpeg

Imelda first stealing Humberto’s recon, and now stealing Humberto’s second peak - spoiled sibling energy

Next she will steal Humberto's Tropical Storm Watch

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours. This
Tropical Storm Watch may be replaced with a Hurricane Watch later
today due to Imelda.

[cheezyWXguy]

AF plane found Humberto more stronger.

SUMMARY OF 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...145 MPH...230 KM/H.

Really shows how critical recon is. Without it this would get at most 90 kt on satellite estimates.

Ironically this Humberto seems to be taking a page from 2019’s Humberto, where despite being sheared and a partially exposed LLC recon still found a solid major.

Feel like I need to refer back to this post from earlier today again, as it’s become even more true since. In its current state, this Humberto is less “taking a page” from Humberto 2019 and more “writing the sequel” Yet another Humberto clinging to major status as its center comes closer to being exposed.

[aspen]

Humberto’s intensity has caught up to its structural degradation. Pressure is now in the mid 950s, winds support a mid Cat 3.