Possible Development near the NW Bahamas/SE Florida

[kevin]

2. Southwestern Atlantic:
An area of low pressure may form near the northwestern Bahamas and
southern Florida by Saturday. Any additional development is
expected to be slow to occur as the system moves northwestward
across the Florida Peninsula into the Gulf of America.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

[caneman]

2. Southwestern Atlantic:
An area of low pressure may form near the northwestern Bahamas and
southern Florida by Saturday. Any additional development is
expected to be slow to occur as the system moves northwestward
across the Florida Peninsula into the Gulf of America.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

https://i.imgur.com/gkZ7QSR.png

Just saw that as well. Any model support?

[AtlanticWind]

Some support on the Euro ensembles

[wzrgirl1]

It’s these homegrown ones we need to watch. Well it’s only at 10% now let’s see what happens. How strong could it get before crossing Florida doesn’t seem like it would have much time?

[Hypercane_Kyle]

GFS has a tropical storm impacting Florida.

[kevin]

Tiny, but closed tropical system on 06z GFS within 48 hours with winds up to 40 kt. Afterwards makes landfall again in the Panhandle as a TD or remnant. Could indeed become a short-lived tropical storm. Some locations along the Florida coast would get 6 - 10 inches of rain according to this run.

[Steve H.]

Strong southwesterly shear is over this area right now. With high pressure building down the east coast, maybe it will let up.

[eastcoastFL]

Rainy morning in Stuart, interested to see how this plays out over the next few days.

[eastcoastFL]

It’s these homegrown ones we need to watch. Well it’s only at 10% now let’s see what happens. How strong could it get before crossing Florida doesn’t seem like it would have much time?

It could spin up a quick TS. The concerning part to me would be what happens when it crosses into the GOM?

[cycloneye]

8 AM:

Southwestern Atlantic:
An area of low pressure may form along a remnant frontal boundary
near the northwestern Bahamas and southern Florida over the next
couple of days. Any additional development is expected to be slow
to occur as the system moves northwestward across the Florida
Peninsula and into the Gulf of America.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

[jhpigott]

Appears to be some turning in the radar over West End, Grand Bahama

https://www.sfwmd.gov/weather-radar/current-weather-conditions

[Blown Away]

Latest.

[SFLcane]

Just some enhanced rainfall over Florida which is still needed. Not really much support for anything strong.

[boca]

Here in Coconut Creek it’s sunny so far looks like it’s a Martin county and north will be dealing with the rain

[jlauderdal]

Here in Coconut Creek it’s sunny so far looks like it’s a Martin county and north will be dealing with the rain

Give it a chance; the setup looks efficient through Sunday, at least.

https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussio ... isc=qpferd

[SFLcane]

Here in Coconut Creek it’s sunny so far looks like it’s a Martin county and north will be dealing with the rain

NBM has the highest totals over Palm Beach and north but in general this should wipe any remaining drought over the area for sure.

[cycloneye]

2 PM:

Southwestern Atlantic:
An area of low pressure may form along a remnant frontal boundary
near the northwestern Bahamas and southern Florida during the next
day or two. Any additional development is expected to be slow to
occur as the system moves northwestward across the Florida Peninsula
and into the Gulf of America.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

[Nuno]

Here in Coconut Creek it’s sunny so far looks like it’s a Martin county and north will be dealing with the rain

NBM has the highest totals over Palm Beach and north but in general this should wipe any remaining drought over the area for sure.

https://i.imgur.com/ZVj671B.jpeg

Just in time for dry season soon

[jlauderdal]

Here in Coconut Creek it’s sunny so far looks like it’s a Martin county and north will be dealing with the rain

Give it a chance; the setup looks efficient through Sunday, at least.

https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussio ... isc=qpferd

Took a few hours....https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/metwatch/ ... 55&yr=2025

[TheHurricaneGod]

I'm in Okeechobee for the weekend, on the east side. Most of the rain has missed to the south and has stayed about 15-20 miles SE of here the whole day. Maybe that changes in a few hours. Quite humid with dews in the mid-upper 70s but with little diurnal variation looks likely, along with numerous showers and thunderstorms.

Turns out a surprise little tropical storm now in the cards.