NATL: LORENZO - Models
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ScottNAtlanta
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NATL: LORENZO - Models
There are some strange looking tracks on the models. Does a loop back to the SW after seemingly going out
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Re: NATL: INVEST 97L - Models
ScottNAtlanta wrote:There are some strange looking tracks on the models. Does a loop back to the SW after seemingly going out
The most difficult part of trying to track hurricanes in October and November, figuring out where the hell they go
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Re: NATL: INVEST 97L - Models
HWRF gonna HWRF 
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TC naming lists: retirements and intensity
Most aggressive Advisory #1's in North Atlantic (cr. kevin for starting the list)
Most aggressive Advisory #1's in North Atlantic (cr. kevin for starting the list)
Re: NATL: LORENZO - Models
6z GFS keeps Lorenzo alive for the entire 384 hrs
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TC naming lists: retirements and intensity
Most aggressive Advisory #1's in North Atlantic (cr. kevin for starting the list)
Most aggressive Advisory #1's in North Atlantic (cr. kevin for starting the list)
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AnnularCane
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Re: NATL: LORENZO - Models
Looks like he's having a lot of fun out there.
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DorkyMcDorkface
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Re: NATL: LORENZO - Models
Odd track aside some models are depicting a very compact system, almost like the polar opposite of the last Lorenzo (2019) which was massive. Perhaps the ambient dry environment the NHC denoted is partly to blame?
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Re: NATL: LORENZO - Models
Teban54 wrote:6z GFS keeps Lorenzo alive for the entire 384 hrs
https://i.postimg.cc/XqcDvtfB/gfs-mslp-pcpn-eatl-fh6-384.gif
Related to this, the 18Z EPS has most of the active members loop in a circle back to the MDR but then behind that other MDR AOI!
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Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Re: NATL: LORENZO - Models
Teban54 wrote:6z GFS keeps Lorenzo alive for the entire 384 hrs
https://i.postimg.cc/XqcDvtfB/gfs-mslp-pcpn-eatl-fh6-384.gif
12 Z kills it, but the vorticity remains coherent enough that you can track it as it loops around and then eventually enters the Caribbean, where it helps to jumpstart future Melissa, which then tries to pull a Sandy.
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