NATL: MELISSA - Aftermath - Discussion: Josh Morgerman video of Melissa is up

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rwfromkansas
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Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2041 Postby rwfromkansas » Mon Oct 27, 2025 10:51 pm

This is insane. I usually only watch hurricanes if there is a U.S. landfall, but this storm is terrifying.
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Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2042 Postby Jr0d » Mon Oct 27, 2025 10:52 pm

The College of DuPage's "NT Microphysics" combined IR satellite shows the mesovortex in the eye.

Unfortunately with my cellphone I cant a reasonably sized Gif to post on here.

https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=m ... =undefined
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Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2043 Postby Ptarmigan » Mon Oct 27, 2025 10:55 pm

The satellite images of Hurricane Melissa are frightening as it is close to Jamaica. :eek: :double: :( :cry:
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Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2044 Postby CrazyC83 » Mon Oct 27, 2025 10:55 pm

Highest flight level winds yet - 165 kt.
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Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2045 Postby zzzh » Mon Oct 27, 2025 10:55 pm

165kt FL in the NE
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Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2046 Postby Owasso » Mon Oct 27, 2025 10:55 pm

034630 1642N 07826W 6940 02488 //// +105 //// 155153 165 160 008 01
034700 1643N 07824W 6976 02589 //// +085 //// 155150 165 152 024 01
034730 1644N 07823W 6961 02702 //// +095 //// 152134 142 125 009 01
034800 1645N 07822W 6978 02755 //// +094 //// 153126 130 117 015 01

165KT FL
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Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2047 Postby Ptarmigan » Mon Oct 27, 2025 10:56 pm

Jamaica in November 1909 had 135 inches of rainfall.
https://ui.adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/2022A ... K/abstract

The slow movement of Melissa is going to dump heavy rain over a large area.
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Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2048 Postby CrazyC83 » Mon Oct 27, 2025 10:57 pm

902/22. Pressure 900 mb.
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Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2049 Postby zzzh » Mon Oct 27, 2025 10:57 pm

dropsonde 902mb 22kt. This supports 900mb
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Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2050 Postby Owasso » Mon Oct 27, 2025 10:57 pm

902mb sonde with 22kts
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Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2051 Postby Travorum » Mon Oct 27, 2025 10:57 pm

Dropsonde has 902mb with 22kt winds, that supports 900mb

Image
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Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2052 Postby MarioProtVI » Mon Oct 27, 2025 10:58 pm

900 sonde!!!
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Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2053 Postby CronkPSU » Mon Oct 27, 2025 10:59 pm

Hurricane2022 wrote:Looks like she has reached her big peak, as both IR and Radar are showing strong hints of an EWRC.


https://x.com/DerekOrtt/status/1983018897637777660

Derek doesn't think so...
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Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2054 Postby blp » Mon Oct 27, 2025 10:59 pm

Benchmark. Wilma was a beast.

Image
Last edited by blp on Mon Oct 27, 2025 11:00 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2055 Postby Travorum » Mon Oct 27, 2025 11:00 pm

Melissa works her way up to be tied with Camille for 7th most intense Atlantic hurricane.
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Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2056 Postby CrazyC83 » Mon Oct 27, 2025 11:00 pm

CrazyC83 wrote:The top 10 most intense storms now:

1) Wilma - 882
2) Gilbert - 888
3) 1935 Labor Day - 892
4) Milton - 895
4) Rita - 895
6) Allen - 899
7) Camille - 900
8) Katrina - 902
9) Melissa - 903
10) Dean - 905
10) Mitch - 905


Now here we are, with that dropsonde:

1) Wilma - 882
2) Gilbert - 888
3) 1935 Labor Day - 892
4) Milton - 895
4) Rita - 895
6) Allen - 899
7) Camille - 900
7) Melissa - 900
9) Katrina - 902
10) Dean - 905
10) Mitch - 905
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Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2057 Postby NDG » Mon Oct 27, 2025 11:00 pm

It has passed Katrina!!!
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Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2058 Postby CrazyC83 » Mon Oct 27, 2025 11:02 pm

As far as intensity, I'd still go with 155 kt. The dropsonde from earlier lends itself to that, and haven't seen the flight-level winds rise too much more yet.
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Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2059 Postby TeamPlayersBlue » Mon Oct 27, 2025 11:03 pm


Was thinking this would increase intensity as the trough approaches. You can see the northern part of the storm is beginning to vent northward now. Will improve outflow.
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Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2060 Postby got ants? » Mon Oct 27, 2025 11:03 pm


What more does it need to be, ti be 'annular"?
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